Measly-Morbidity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,456

lifetime

Volume

$3.76K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 07-25 09:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

54% 0% $-4

Sports

32% 0% $-10

Politics

14% — —

Tech

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 175 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	21	$71	215	228	-13	open	—	06-16 10:43
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	27	$69	116	25	+91	open	—	07-20 12:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	24	$68	69	69	+0	open	—	06-26 13:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	22	$65	112	122	-10	open	—	06-14 14:53
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	22	$58	108	108	+0	open	—	06-12 15:16
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	13	$37	35	35	+0	open	—	06-12 12:49
will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216 619	13	$25	35	35	+0	open	—	06-18 00:13
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	7	$23	25	25	+0	open	—	06-12 14:07
Roland Garros WTA: Jil Teichmann vs Magdalena Frech	6	$20	32	7	+25	open	—	05-27 19:11
iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	4	$19	20	20	+0	open	—	06-27 13:53
Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Miomir Kecmanovic	4	$19	20	10	+10	open	—	05-27 16:20
T20 Ireland Tri-Series, Women: Ireland vs West Indies	5	$18	21	21	+0	open	—	06-01 21:36
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	12	$16	69	20	+49	open	—	06-17 17:51
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	5	$16	14	14	+0	open	—	06-14 11:19
will wti reach 85 in june 2026 from june 16	3	$15	9	9	+0	open	—	06-27 13:53
Roland Garros ATP: Vit Kopriva vs Corentin Moutet	6	$13	49	0	+49	open	—	05-26 16:31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	3	$13	13	8	+5	open	—	07-25 09:04
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	5	$13	12	12	+0	open	—	06-29 01:31
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers	6	$13	43	0	+43	open	—	05-28 02:38
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	8	$13	17	17	+0	open	—	06-06 15:48
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes	3	$13	15	15	+0	open	—	06-03 02:37
Roland Garros WTA: Alina Korneeva vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto	6	$13	27	0	+27	open	—	05-26 15:20
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskaya	4	$13	15	10	+5	open	—	06-01 12:02
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	4	$13	9	8	+0	open	—	06-22 12:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	3	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	06-27 13:53
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	3	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	06-27 13:54
Roland Garros WTA: Yulia Putintseva vs Camila Osorio	5	$12	32	0	+32	open	—	05-28 13:57
trump meets with putin by december 31	3	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	06-27 13:53
Roland Garros ATP: Emilio Nava vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli	6	$12	40	0	+40	open	—	05-25 15:20
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	4	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	06-12 12:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-25 09:04:09	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0x206816…
07-24 19:04:52	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	No	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x420f7d…
07-22 14:30:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x5ad761…
07-20 12:48:19	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xb7641d…
07-20 12:47:24	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xe497a5…
07-20 12:47:01	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xae3521…
07-20 12:46:24	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x6cc76c…
07-20 12:46:12	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd4f01b…
07-20 12:39:40	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x363a52…
07-20 12:38:55	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xc63b66…
07-20 12:38:55	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xc63b66…
07-20 12:34:37	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x81fd2e…
07-20 12:24:28	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc7b761…
07-20 12:22:54	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x98e913…
07-20 12:20:03	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xc6bd4d…
07-20 12:18:39	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x6ab10c…
07-20 12:18:39	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x6ab10c…
07-20 12:16:42	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x65f402…
07-20 12:15:24	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x057b45…
07-20 12:11:24	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x0b0e12…
07-20 12:11:24	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x0b0e12…
07-20 12:07:25	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x55bf93…
07-20 12:06:33	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x62dfd7…
07-20 12:02:10	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5f918a…
07-20 11:59:07	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x821566…
07-20 11:59:07	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x821566…
07-20 11:00:10	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xbe14a9…
07-20 10:59:19	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x933d43…
07-20 10:56:49	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xa7f411…
07-16 20:55:32	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x07afb3…
07-14 20:20:05	Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xedd6b8…
07-12 08:32:53	Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x60f1a9…
07-12 03:45:59	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	8	82¢	$6	0x498ff9…
07-10 08:07:19	Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xec34b1…
07-09 23:22:05	Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xb5ae1f…
07-09 07:49:26	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	No	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x1b6a77…
07-09 06:41:40	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	53¢	$1	0x9b5ffa…
06-29 01:31:44	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	7	62¢	$4	0x07fb2a…
06-27 13:54:19	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xc74c31…
06-27 13:54:16	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x480660…
06-27 13:54:10	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x56a58e…
06-27 13:54:05	russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	No	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0xa77916…
06-27 13:54:02	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	8	83¢	$6	0xe3f8c8…
06-27 13:54:01	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0xd3adb5…
06-27 13:53:53	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	76¢	$7	0x0babce…
06-27 13:53:50	will wti reach 85 in june 2026 from june 16	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x1f1348…
06-27 13:53:47	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0x06c938…
06-27 13:53:43	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x8f9c1d…
06-27 13:53:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x05cef9…
06-27 13:53:38	trump meets with putin by december 31	No	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x542a41…
06-27 13:53:31	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x1a41ac…
06-27 13:53:23	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	SELL	15	39¢	$6	0x633e84…
06-27 13:53:20	iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	Yes	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0x754586…
06-26 16:23:07	iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x8d5087…
06-26 16:08:23	iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x339a25…
06-26 16:05:52	iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x6afb30…
06-26 13:57:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0x391381…
06-26 02:56:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc9a91c…
06-26 02:56:17	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	30	6¢	$2	0x2a4ff2…
06-25 21:07:26	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x2cb4fa…
06-25 20:30:55	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x694404…
06-25 14:37:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x8bbae8…
06-25 09:03:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	8	48¢	$4	0x5dafe8…
06-24 17:34:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x731bb0…
06-24 16:34:31	SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0xb00635…
06-24 16:27:37	SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x28ed11…
06-24 14:02:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xd1b20e…
06-24 07:34:29	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x9de3e8…
06-24 05:34:16	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xe2f51e…
06-23 16:41:01	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x3ac436…
06-23 14:45:32	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xfa6e09…
06-23 13:41:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	3	47¢	$2	0x51525a…
06-23 13:34:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x5a9e37…
06-23 12:21:28	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x34b88e…
06-23 08:49:02	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd5f73c…
06-22 14:17:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x384f6b…
06-22 13:36:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x6d7d0f…
06-22 12:14:41	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	No	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0x15beb5…
06-22 12:07:49	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x564895…
06-22 11:47:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	3	45¢	$2	0x8eb546…
06-22 08:42:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x5eeb24…
06-22 08:22:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xa7417e…
06-22 06:53:05	russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x55526b…
06-22 06:53:02	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	No	BUY	4	71¢	$2	0xb21d34…
06-22 02:04:41	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0x57fc42…
06-22 01:57:25	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0xfaf3d3…
06-21 23:07:01	will wti reach 85 in june 2026 from june 16	No	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x07be01…
06-21 22:04:55	will wti reach 85 in june 2026 from june 16	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x2c13a8…
06-21 04:52:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0xb4e830…
06-21 04:45:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0xb9eea0…
06-20 17:23:16	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x1ce9b0…
06-20 16:58:43	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x425be2…
06-20 16:09:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x59e033…
06-20 15:48:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x98f768…
06-20 14:52:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x86a881…
06-20 11:10:13	SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x27f95c…
06-19 22:34:55	trump meets with putin by december 31	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xffd9a5…
06-19 22:07:49	trump meets with putin by december 31	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x53dabf…
06-19 03:50:20	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x0a8554…
06-18 13:14:26	makerfield by election restore britain receives 10 20260609002937160	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xc6f5a6…