Measly-Morbidity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,419

lifetime

Volume

$3.65K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 06-29 01:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

53% 0% $-4

Sports

33% 0% $-10

Politics

13% — —

Tech

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 175 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes		+5	$1	18¢	$1	$-0	06-01 13:16
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No		+1	$3	50¢	$1	$-2	06-27 13:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	21	$71	215	228	-13	open	—	06-16 10:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	24	$68	69	69	+0	open	—	06-26 13:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	22	$65	112	122	-10	open	—	06-14 14:53
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	22	$58	108	108	+0	open	—	06-12 15:16
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	13	$37	35	35	+0	open	—	06-12 12:49
will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216 619	13	$25	35	35	+0	open	—	06-18 00:13
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	7	$23	25	25	+0	open	—	06-12 14:07
Roland Garros WTA: Jil Teichmann vs Magdalena Frech	6	$20	32	7	+25	open	—	05-27 19:11
iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	4	$19	20	20	+0	open	—	06-27 13:53
Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Miomir Kecmanovic	4	$19	20	10	+10	open	—	05-27 16:20
T20 Ireland Tri-Series, Women: Ireland vs West Indies	5	$18	21	21	+0	open	—	06-01 21:36
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	12	$16	69	20	+49	open	—	06-17 17:51
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	5	$16	14	14	+0	open	—	06-14 11:19
will wti reach 85 in june 2026 from june 16	3	$15	9	9	+0	open	—	06-27 13:53
Roland Garros ATP: Vit Kopriva vs Corentin Moutet	6	$13	49	0	+49	open	—	05-26 16:31
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	5	$13	12	12	+0	open	—	06-29 01:31
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers	6	$13	43	0	+43	open	—	05-28 02:38
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	8	$13	17	17	+0	open	—	06-06 15:48
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes	3	$13	15	15	+0	open	—	06-03 02:37
Roland Garros WTA: Alina Korneeva vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto	6	$13	27	0	+27	open	—	05-26 15:20
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskaya	4	$13	15	10	+5	open	—	06-01 12:02
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	4	$13	9	8	+0	open	—	06-22 12:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	3	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	06-27 13:53
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	3	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	06-27 13:54
Roland Garros WTA: Yulia Putintseva vs Camila Osorio	5	$12	32	0	+32	open	—	05-28 13:57
trump meets with putin by december 31	3	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	06-27 13:53
Roland Garros ATP: Emilio Nava vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli	6	$12	40	0	+40	open	—	05-25 15:20
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	4	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	06-12 12:03
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	3	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	06-10 05:24
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR (BO5) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2	6	$12	41	0	+41	open	—	05-29 02:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 01:31:44	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	7	62¢	$4	0x07fb2a…
06-27 13:54:19	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xc74c31…
06-27 13:54:16	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x480660…
06-27 13:54:10	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x56a58e…
06-27 13:54:05	russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	No	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0xa77916…
06-27 13:54:02	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	8	83¢	$6	0xe3f8c8…
06-27 13:54:01	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0xd3adb5…
06-27 13:53:53	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	76¢	$7	0x0babce…
06-27 13:53:50	will wti reach 85 in june 2026 from june 16	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x1f1348…
06-27 13:53:47	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0x06c938…
06-27 13:53:43	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x8f9c1d…
06-27 13:53:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x05cef9…
06-27 13:53:38	trump meets with putin by december 31	No	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x542a41…
06-27 13:53:31	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x1a41ac…
06-27 13:53:23	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	SELL	15	39¢	$6	0x633e84…
06-27 13:53:20	iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	Yes	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0x754586…
06-26 16:23:07	iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x8d5087…
06-26 16:08:23	iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x339a25…
06-26 16:05:52	iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x6afb30…
06-26 13:57:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0x391381…
06-26 02:56:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc9a91c…
06-26 02:56:17	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	30	6¢	$2	0x2a4ff2…
06-25 21:07:26	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x2cb4fa…
06-25 20:30:55	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x694404…
06-25 14:37:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x8bbae8…
06-25 09:03:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	8	48¢	$4	0x5dafe8…
06-24 17:34:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x731bb0…
06-24 16:34:31	SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0xb00635…
06-24 16:27:37	SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x28ed11…
06-24 14:02:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xd1b20e…
06-24 07:34:29	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x9de3e8…
06-24 05:34:16	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xe2f51e…
06-23 16:41:01	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x3ac436…
06-23 14:45:32	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xfa6e09…
06-23 13:41:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	3	47¢	$2	0x51525a…
06-23 13:34:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x5a9e37…
06-23 12:21:28	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x34b88e…
06-23 08:49:02	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd5f73c…
06-22 14:17:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x384f6b…
06-22 13:36:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x6d7d0f…
06-22 12:14:41	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	No	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0x15beb5…
06-22 12:07:49	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x564895…
06-22 11:47:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	3	45¢	$2	0x8eb546…
06-22 08:42:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x5eeb24…
06-22 08:22:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xa7417e…
06-22 06:53:05	russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x55526b…
06-22 06:53:02	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	No	BUY	4	71¢	$2	0xb21d34…
06-22 02:04:41	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0x57fc42…
06-22 01:57:25	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0xfaf3d3…
06-21 23:07:01	will wti reach 85 in june 2026 from june 16	No	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x07be01…
06-21 22:04:55	will wti reach 85 in june 2026 from june 16	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x2c13a8…
06-21 04:52:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0xb4e830…
06-21 04:45:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0xb9eea0…
06-20 17:23:16	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x1ce9b0…
06-20 16:58:43	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x425be2…
06-20 16:09:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x59e033…
06-20 15:48:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x98f768…
06-20 14:52:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x86a881…
06-20 11:10:13	SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x27f95c…
06-19 22:34:55	trump meets with putin by december 31	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xffd9a5…
06-19 22:07:49	trump meets with putin by december 31	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x53dabf…
06-19 03:50:20	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x0a8554…
06-18 13:14:26	makerfield by election restore britain receives 10 20260609002937160	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xc6f5a6…
06-18 13:07:07	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	SELL	3	16¢	$1	0x1b09eb…
06-18 13:00:17	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0x35c00e…
06-18 12:53:26	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xd1af19…
06-18 11:39:56	makerfield by election restore britain receives 10 20260609002937160	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xf0efcf…
06-18 11:10:02	makerfield by election restore britain receives 10 20260609002937160	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x2f0cdd…
06-18 00:13:02	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216 619	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xcc1872…
06-17 23:59:22	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216 619	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x89e3aa…
06-17 23:45:46	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216 619	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x4f4206…
06-17 18:35:46	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216 619	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x5a8ae0…
06-17 18:29:55	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216 619	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x2bb02d…
06-17 17:51:01	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0xea4cf1…
06-17 17:28:23	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x4b20aa…
06-17 17:22:44	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x23d126…
06-17 16:37:04	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216 619	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x69550b…
06-17 16:29:55	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 22 2026 20260607225940216 619	Yes	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x8f8d58…
06-17 14:00:14	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xe1338d…
06-17 13:52:58	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xdd0ccd…
06-17 10:30:05	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xc305c8…
06-17 06:37:31	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 19 20260615191216217	No	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x5d31ef…
06-17 06:29:56	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 19 20260615191216217	No	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xe414f2…
06-16 22:06:55	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x876dd9…
06-16 22:03:52	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	SELL	8	19¢	$1	0xabf4c6…
06-16 22:03:50	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	SELL	7	19¢	$1	0x89c56b…
06-16 21:51:08	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x98c8b6…
06-16 21:28:11	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	0	37¢	$0	0xf29c9f…
06-16 21:27:47	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x6dfb73…
06-16 21:17:23	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x57cad0…
06-16 21:10:19	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xb0c1dd…
06-16 21:03:17	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0xa1b7da…
06-16 21:03:08	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xf2f5e6…
06-16 21:00:49	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xd0a088…
06-16 20:45:58	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x8757e0…
06-16 20:37:38	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xde21ac…
06-16 16:38:34	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 19 20260615191216217	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x7f095e…
06-16 11:38:07	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x9747ed…
06-16 11:17:46	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x087047…
06-16 11:04:16	russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xd33f5e…