Realized P&L
+$151
Unrealized P&L
-$59
Hit rate
58.4%
Resolved
920
Trades
7,828
lifetime
Volume
$57.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$432
28 positions
First seen
2026-03-26
last 09-16 21:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 112 days
Categories
Other
61% 59% +$285
Politics
37% 60% -$150
Sports
1% 53% +$13
Tech
1% 85% -$4
Crypto
0% 90% +$9
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -79 -$61 94¢ $-75 -$14 05-06 22:28
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -75 -$50 82¢ $-62 -$12 09-16 21:30
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? No -56 -$30 97¢ $-54 -$24 04-29 19:57
Kash Patel out by December 31? No -62 -$21 80¢ $-50 -$29 05-06 10:32
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -39 -$35 100¢ $-39 -$3 04-29 19:56
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -30 -$19 97¢ $-29 -$10 05-05 17:49
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -283 -$32 10¢ $-27 +$5 04-29 19:57
NATO dissolves before 2027? No -20 -$18 98¢ $-19 -$1 05-05 17:49
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -17 -$7 92¢ $-15 -$8 05-06 10:46
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -13 -$13 96¢ $-13 $0 05-06 10:32
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -12 -$10 90¢ $-11 -$1 09-16 21:48
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -179 -$38 6¢ $-10 +$28 04-29 19:56
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? No -5 -$5 98¢ $-5 $0 05-06 10:37
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? Yes -5 -$3 78¢ $-4 $0 05-06 10:42
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -4 -$2 82¢ $-3 -$1 05-06 10:43
Ramp IPO before 2027? No -3 -$1 97¢ $-3 -$2 05-06 10:46
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Yes -108 -$9 3¢ $-3 +$6 05-06 10:35
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No -2 -$2 96¢ $-2 $0 05-06 10:44
Stripe IPO before 2027? No -2 -$2 95¢ $-2 $0 05-06 10:44
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No -2 -$1 98¢ $-2 $0 05-06 10:45
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027? No -2 -$1 96¢ $-1 $0 05-06 10:45
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? No -1 -$1 98¢ $-1 $0 05-06 10:45
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No -1 -$1 88¢ $-1 $0 05-06 10:45
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -28 -$4 3¢ $-1 +$3 05-06 10:40
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes -12 -$2 6¢ $-1 +$1 05-06 10:44
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -5 -$3 9¢ $-0 +$2 09-16 21:49
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes -11 -$3 3¢ $-0 +$3 05-06 10:41
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 05-20 11:58