Soulful-Historian — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$47

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

51.3%

Resolved

Trades

6,521

lifetime

Volume

$53.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$14

5 positions

First seen

2026-03-26

last 07-01 00:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

61% 40% $-2

Politics

37% 40% $-45

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 481 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	+7	$6	86¢	$6	$-0	06-30 09:13
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	+6	$5	90¢	$5	$-0	06-21 22:51
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	-2	$-3	100¢	$-2	+$0	07-01 00:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	+2	$1	30¢	$0	$-1	06-26 12:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	+3	$1	1¢	$0	$-1	05-29 03:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	194	$1.7K	2,547	2,547	+0	open	—	04-08 01:26
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	69	$1.6K	1,228	1,228	+0	open	—	04-07 23:16
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$1.0K	503	503	+0	open	—	03-30 22:48
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	82	$1.0K	990	714	+276	open	—	04-29 19:51
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	162	$952	1,164	859	+305	open	—	04-22 05:43
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	95	$852	1,105	1,105	+0	open	—	04-07 22:41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	95	$836	1,791	1,253	+538	open	—	04-29 19:51
lol ns dnf 2026 04 05	8	$776	499	493	+6	open	—	04-05 09:43
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	70	$739	1,282	1,282	+0	open	—	04-07 22:34
spx up or down on april 10 2026	75	$717	1,093	0	+1,093	open	—	04-10 19:33
lol bro2 kt 2026 04 12 game handicap home 1pt5	2	$691	444	438	+6	open	—	04-12 11:32
dota2 gl heroic 2026 04 22	3	$637	429	423	+6	open	—	04-22 10:06
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	74	$575	548	426	+123	open	—	04-21 18:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	231	$551	713	689	+24	open	—	05-29 22:09
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	125	$546	1,076	1,065	+11	open	—	04-28 19:44
cs2 vit navi 2026 03 29 map handicap away 2pt5	10	$534	372	372	+0	open	—	03-29 14:49
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	112	$521	451	427	+23	open	—	04-25 17:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	39	$512	272	272	+0	open	—	04-12 01:45
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	70	$462	466	466	+0	open	—	04-14 22:35
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	81	$445	322	284	+38	open	—	04-11 02:29
val c9 lev1 2026 04 12 game2	4	$432	284	280	+4	open	—	04-12 22:42
lol sen fly 2026 04 18	6	$412	380	298	+82	open	—	04-18 23:53
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	40	$405	231	231	+0	open	—	05-08 08:22
val rig fl1 2026 03 29 game2	4	$400	293	293	+0	open	—	03-29 09:00
lol nip ig1 2026 04 08 game1	3	$367	234	231	+3	open	—	04-08 09:58
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	49	$366	350	350	+0	open	—	04-19 20:02
val c9 nv2 2026 04 17	6	$362	267	262	+5	open	—	04-18 01:38
cs2 ts7 vit 2026 04 19 map handicap home 1pt5	6	$356	237	234	+3	open	—	04-19 20:44
val fut1 navi1 2026 04 10 game2	6	$335	217	214	+3	open	—	04-10 18:07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	81	$326	1,452	1,452	+0	Yes	$-40	05-08 19:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 00:03:08	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x1a068d…
06-30 09:13:41	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xa0d67d…
06-30 06:23:53	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x55e577…
06-30 06:07:29	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x546175…
06-30 05:36:50	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x4c9b5b…
06-30 01:13:38	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc6101b…
06-30 00:07:47	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x7f09de…
06-29 22:44:37	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x37a75d…
06-29 21:41:37	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x85d4c1…
06-29 21:41:05	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x6706c3…
06-29 21:40:25	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x5e12d8…
06-29 21:40:10	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x706f6a…
06-29 21:29:23	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xa63721…
06-29 21:21:55	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	88¢	$4	0x1f8524…
06-29 21:21:35	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x69152a…
06-29 03:50:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x39b4e7…
06-28 21:17:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	56¢	$1	0xc17ae0…
06-28 21:17:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xd121a3…
06-28 21:08:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x7e4879…
06-28 21:07:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	55¢	$1	0xf5e3ff…
06-28 11:36:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x3779d9…
06-28 08:40:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0xe751c7…
06-28 08:38:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0x40bbf2…
06-28 08:19:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0x22fff3…
06-28 08:17:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0x4605dc…
06-28 08:10:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0xbac277…
06-28 07:57:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0xe54fec…
06-28 07:57:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0x35890a…
06-28 07:24:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0x6abd16…
06-28 07:16:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0x7917a8…
06-28 06:21:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0xaf5029…
06-28 06:18:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0x51bea5…
06-28 06:18:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0x47a1b9…
06-28 06:07:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0xab88b2…
06-28 05:35:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0x321702…
06-28 05:31:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0x477732…
06-28 05:06:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0x848247…
06-28 05:06:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0x4f3c4a…
06-28 05:04:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0x641b8a…
06-28 05:04:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	65¢	$0	0xe91aad…
06-28 03:19:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x0260db…
06-28 03:14:07	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15	No	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x237230…
06-27 23:35:32	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd7cb16…
06-27 22:42:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	4	58¢	$3	0xca3882…
06-27 18:24:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xe092cf…
06-27 09:55:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0x6e1e6f…
06-27 09:53:35	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0xf49475…
06-27 02:41:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0x058b64…
06-26 20:36:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x29cdad…
06-26 20:08:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x29c02a…
06-26 20:07:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0xc82a41…
06-26 17:47:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x6c864c…
06-26 17:28:37	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x5182e4…
06-26 12:28:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0xada2cc…
06-26 12:24:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x065505…
06-26 12:20:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x11bfa2…
06-26 05:33:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x3c0ca1…
06-26 04:39:14	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0x963927…
06-26 02:25:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	7	52¢	$4	0xb46eab…
06-25 22:04:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x32aa1c…
06-25 18:17:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x05e534…
06-25 12:53:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0xb17e0d…
06-25 12:31:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0xf6ddf1…
06-25 12:29:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	38¢	$0	0x25c6be…
06-25 04:59:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0x695dd9…
06-25 03:33:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x55978e…
06-25 03:29:58	israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xbc91c5…
06-25 02:30:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	0	29¢	$0	0x1e927c…
06-25 01:45:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc0d63e…
06-25 00:41:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	0	29¢	$0	0x8c1374…
06-25 00:18:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	0	29¢	$0	0x93a454…
06-24 22:31:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	1	29¢	$0	0x6b6296…
06-24 20:43:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0x1702bf…
06-24 20:43:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0x745269…
06-24 20:35:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0x3e2461…
06-24 20:11:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0xd29e2f…
06-24 19:59:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0x36c7a1…
06-24 13:31:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x31f885…
06-24 07:51:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	3	45¢	$2	0xf709e6…
06-24 07:10:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0x35dcc9…
06-24 07:10:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0x287d3d…
06-24 07:10:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0x0fb352…
06-24 07:10:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0x635a8e…
06-24 07:10:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0x406fc9…
06-24 07:10:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0xf22541…
06-24 06:54:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0x9e40a1…
06-24 06:18:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0xc52067…
06-24 06:18:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0xbf2a6d…
06-24 05:57:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0x063073…
06-24 05:55:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0x88fd9b…
06-24 05:47:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0xd956a9…
06-24 05:36:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0xe2029f…
06-24 05:36:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0xb5dfc9…
06-24 05:36:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0x742b77…
06-24 05:36:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0x4a68be…
06-24 05:36:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0xd26308…
06-24 05:36:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0x58c44f…
06-24 05:36:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0x352f78…
06-24 05:36:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0x201f70…
06-24 05:24:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0x4c2df5…