Realized P&L (24h)
-$338
Unrealized P&L
-$34
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved (24h)
2
Trades (24h)
0
37 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$0
$867 lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$765
28 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-10 06:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
88% 33% $-337
Other
11%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? No -128 $-104 98¢ $-125 $-21 05-08 14:24
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026? No -115 $-89 97¢ $-111 $-22 05-08 14:24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? No -109 $-72 82¢ $-90 $-18 05-08 14:24
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -337 $-66 26¢ $-89 $-24 05-08 14:24
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? No +90 $78 86¢ $78 $-0 05-10 03:06
Iran closes its airspace by May 15? No -56 $-49 92¢ $-51 $-2 05-08 14:24
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? No -43 $-37 97¢ $-42 $-5 05-08 14:24
Iran leadership change by May 31? No -43 $-40 92¢ $-39 +$1 05-09 06:14
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? No -45 $-23 72¢ $-32 $-9 05-08 14:24
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? No +10 $10 96¢ $10 +$0 05-09 13:38
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31? No -9 $-9 94¢ $-9 $-0 05-08 14:25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -11 $-9 74¢ $-8 +$1 05-08 14:25
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No +12 $8 66¢ $8 +$1 05-10 06:28
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? No -11 $-6 74¢ $-8 $-2 05-08 14:25
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? No -9 $-7 90¢ $-8 $-1 05-08 14:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Yes -44 $-15 18¢ $-8 +$7 05-08 14:24
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -10 $-6 72¢ $-7 $-1 05-08 14:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 $-7 68¢ $-7 +$0 05-08 14:25
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes -11 $-5 57¢ $-6 $-1 05-08 14:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -10 $-5 62¢ $-6 $-1 05-08 14:25
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Yes -10 $-6 54¢ $-5 +$1 05-08 14:25
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026? No -5 $-5 98¢ $-5 +$0 05-08 14:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? Yes -215 $-39 $-4 +$35 05-08 14:24
Will Trump visit China by May 15? No -300 $-27 $-3 +$24 05-08 14:24
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes -10 $-3 28¢ $-3 +$0 05-08 14:25
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? Yes -10 $-3 12¢ $-1 +$2 05-08 14:25
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? Yes -10 $-0 $-0 +$0 05-08 14:25
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026? Yes -10 $-2 $-0 +$2 05-08 14:25