Realized P&L (7d)
-$1.35K
Unrealized P&L
+$4.11K
Hit rate
3.1%
Resolved (7d)
6
Trades (7d)
71
3,690 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$3.84K
$249.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$68
Open exposure
$45.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 11-13 07:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 94 days
Categories
Other
73% 72% +$371
Crypto
12% 77% +$191
Politics
12% 54% +$19
Sports
3% 18% -$24
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +33,500 $29,378 96¢ $32.0K +$2,614 11-02 14:18
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No -2,500 -$2,420 99¢ $-2474 -$53 07-29 15:29
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%? Yes +1,687 $899 94¢ $1.6K +$683 11-12 20:35
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,520 $1,222 91¢ $1.4K +$165 09-03 01:43
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027? No +1,409 $1,121 86¢ $1.2K +$84 11-12 16:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No -1,027 -$1,001 98¢ $-1004 -$3 09-05 13:13
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No +750 $646 99¢ $740 +$94 11-12 04:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +800 $657 82¢ $652 -$5 09-10 05:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No -480 -$721 98¢ $-470 +$252 09-14 02:45
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be at least 45%? No -451 -$440 99¢ $-446 -$7 07-31 10:42
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1500.00 and 1549.99 at the end of December 2026? No +460 $379 89¢ $409 +$31 11-07 01:16
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +839 $338 44¢ $365 +$27 10-26 15:03
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? No +300 $267 92¢ $274 +$8 09-30 01:20
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? No -274 -$260 99¢ $-272 -$12 06-04 22:54
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 40% and 44.9%? No -202 -$202 100¢ $-201 +$1 07-31 16:47
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? No -200 -$230 99¢ $-198 +$32 06-20 15:51
Will Lionel Messi win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +200 $194 98¢ $196 +$2 11-12 13:13
Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +200 $189 95¢ $190 +$2 11-12 13:14
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? No -171 -$187 97¢ $-167 +$20 10-01 05:20
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 1600.00 or higher at the end of December 2026? Yes +357 $77 45¢ $160 +$83 11-11 00:07
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 35% and 39.9%? No -146 -$143 98¢ $-142 +$0 07-31 16:47
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +250 $47 56¢ $141 +$94 10-16 14:42
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No -145 -$422 96¢ $-139 +$283 09-24 06:19
Will Argentina’s annual inflation be less than 20%? No -121 -$128 100¢ $-121 +$7 07-31 00:33
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? No -118 -$114 99¢ $-117 -$2 08-11 01:20
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December? No -100 -$94 99¢ $-99 -$5 05-14 09:13
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December? No -100 -$96 99¢ $-99 -$3 07-19 06:00
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? No -100 -$142 99¢ $-99 +$43 07-20 17:44
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No -100 $205 97¢ $-97 -$302 09-24 02:40
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +300 $121 32¢ $96 -$25 10-26 22:19