Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 1°C or below on Oct | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$958

Trades

92

Unique wallets

36

Liquidity

$0

End date

2026-10-25

First seen

2026-10-24

last 10-25 23:27

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

(anon) +122 (anon) +100 Nonstop-Knitting +50 (anon) +49 (anon) +40 Noxious-Auditorium +25 (anon) +10 Unwilling-Appetizer +9

NO holders

Dual-Sensibility +128 Adept-Brick +71 Weird-Holder +40 (anon) +39 (anon) +22 Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat +21 (anon) +20 Crafty-Pace +20

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: +3.7¢ (top1%: 9% YES on $177 vs crowd: 5% YES on $714)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	9	$15	$228	$213
🐬 Dolphin	8	$1	$262	$261
🐟 Fish	17	$17	$190	$173
🦐 Shrimp	2	$1	—	+$1

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	9	$15	$162	$147
🏆 Top 5%	10	$7	$178	$170
✅ Top 10%	4	$9	$37	$27
Median	2	—	$12	$12
Below median	4	$1	$42	$41
⚠️ Bottom 10%	1	—	$1	$1
🔻 Bottom 5%	3	—	$159	$159
💀 Bottom 1%	3	$2	$90	$88

SMI history (last 30d)

daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd

Wallet leaderboard (26) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
Dual-Sensibility 0x5c20…439b	No	+128	$128	$128	1	10-25 06:32
(anonymous) 0x06b3…06c1	Yes	+122	$9	$9	1	10-24 23:33
(anonymous) 0x51db…f9b3	Yes	+100	$13	$13	7	10-25 00:27
Adept-Brick 0xc126…832c	No	+71	$71	$71	1	10-25 23:27
Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9	Yes	+50	$0	$0	1	10-25 06:32
(anonymous) 0x2c2c…0d1a	Yes	+49	$7	$7	2	10-25 00:02
Weird-Holder 0x948f…0b98	No	+40	$40	$40	1	10-25 05:33
(anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e	Yes	+40	$1	$1	3	10-25 05:33
(anonymous) 0x51db…f9b3	No	+39	$37	$37	3	10-25 02:03
Noxious-Auditorium 0x546a…1988	Yes	+25	$1	$1	1	10-25 02:03
(anonymous) 0x0e6b…3a4c	No	+22	$21	$21	1	10-25 05:33
Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat 0x69f0…fb27	No	+21	$20	$20	1	10-25 06:32
(anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e	No	+20	$19	$19	2	10-24 23:31
Crafty-Pace 0x474d…6b5f	No	+20	$20	$20	1	10-25 06:10
Rich-Worm 0xfb68…aabd	No	+18	$18	$18	2	10-25 06:26
(anonymous) 0xe73a…2335	Yes	+10	$0	$0	1	10-25 06:32
(anonymous) 0x21bf…e840	No	+10	$9	$9	1	10-24 22:28
Unwilling-Appetizer 0x03fb…9f7c	Yes	+9	$1	$1	1	10-25 00:37
Growling-Restaurant 0x2fe2…ec56	No	+9	$8	$8	1	10-24 23:33
Weekly-Mutton 0xc135…a01a	Yes	+6	$0	$0	1	10-24 23:31
(anonymous) 0x17dd…944c	No	+5	$5	$5	1	10-25 06:32
(anonymous) 0x1f07…7573	Yes	+5	$0	$1	4	10-25 02:17
(anonymous) 0x1387…55f8	No	+5	$5	$5	1	10-24 22:18
(anonymous) 0x193a…8a58	No	+5	$4	$4	1	10-25 00:37
(anonymous) 0x7c04…3719	No	+2	$2	$2	1	10-25 00:57
Horrible-Pusher 0x47e9…732c	No	+1	-$8	$139	10	10-25 06:32