Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on February 2?
No won
Total volume
$25,928
Trades
121
Unique wallets
62
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-02-02
First seen
2026-01-30
last 02-02 21:54
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+1.4¢
(top1%: 3% YES on $4.6K
vs crowd: 2% YES on $24.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $273 | $4.6K | $4.3K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 20 | $88 | $19.6K | $19.5K |
| 🐟 Fish | 13 | $41 | $34 | +$7 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 21 | $41 | $233 | $192 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 9 | $148 | $4.5K | $4.3K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $12 | — | +$12 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $18.6K | $18.6K |
| Median | 5 | $0 | $17 | $17 |
| Below median | 13 | $64 | $327 | $263 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $0 | $314 | $314 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 16 | $10 | $576 | $567 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $209 | $73 | +$136 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x70bb…b180 | No | +18,658 | $18,639 | $18,639 | 2 | 02-02 21:09 |
| Embarrassed-Lymphocyte 0xf82a…d221 | Yes | +17,688 | $18 | $18 | 3 | 02-02 21:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x4e25…d7a7 | No | +2,681 | $2,677 | $2,677 | 4 | 02-02 21:06 |
| Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | +2,080 | $1,733 | $1,733 | 8 | 02-02 17:53 |
| milize 0x076c…4e7b | Yes | +1,085 | $171 | $181 | 4 | 02-02 21:09 |
| Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Yes | +928 | $49 | $49 | 3 | 02-02 17:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x4018…d14a | Yes | +385 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 02-02 21:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x35c0…81d6 | Yes | +381 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 02-02 21:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xef2a…bd7e | Yes | +347 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 02-02 21:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x4293…a8af | Yes | +300 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 02-02 21:01 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +281 | $14 | $15 | 5 | 02-02 17:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x7bfe…b139 | Yes | +220 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 02-02 21:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xc7b8…2c1f | Yes | +211 | $66 | $66 | 2 | 02-02 14:26 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +200 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 02-02 21:01 |
| Ill-Informed-Contingency 0x2480…1a9b | Yes | +200 | $34 | $34 | 1 | 02-02 16:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x161f…b075 | Yes | +173 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 02-02 21:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xe9b4…f03a | Yes | +170 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 02-02 21:01 |
| Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | Yes | +157 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 02-02 21:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +151 | $33 | $33 | 2 | 02-02 16:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x0061…8fd6 | Yes | +150 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 02-02 21:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | +106 | $73 | $73 | 2 | 02-02 14:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x2a70…d6a0 | No | +105 | $99 | $99 | 1 | 02-02 17:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xcfd9…2c47 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 02-02 21:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x3b61…8905 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 02-02 21:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x2bef…9080 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 02-02 21:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x2694…415a | Yes | +98 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 02-02 17:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xdba3…d861 | No | +83 | $82 | $82 | 1 | 02-02 20:55 |
| Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | Yes | +72 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 02-02 20:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x0289…cb20 | Yes | +57 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 01-30 18:35 |
| Menacing-Chuck 0x260b…d12c | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 02-02 20:57 |
| Homely-Maintenance 0x8301…3bdc | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 02-02 20:55 |
| Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 4 | 02-02 20:55 |
| Faithful-Thunderhead 0x4210…7e30 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 6 | 02-02 20:57 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | +30 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 02-02 21:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x1c90…bbd5 | No | +21 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 02-02 20:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xd653…56a1 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 02-02 21:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x0864…0ddd | Yes | +19 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 01-31 05:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x6712…e94b | No | +19 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 01-31 05:38 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | +15 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 02-02 20:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf18…09a4 | No | +12 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 02-02 16:14 |
| Animated-Souvenir 0xda47…941c | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 02-02 17:06 |
| Responsible-Critic 0x6d06…5ddd | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 02-02 20:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x8a5b…ae51 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 02-02 20:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x00a7…b4c2 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 02-02 20:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x27c1…4dbe | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 02-02 20:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x98c8…20be | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 02-02 14:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x4702…4318 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 02-02 20:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xffbb…c863 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 02-02 20:55 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-02 21:54:56 | (anonymous) 0xbaf3…a849 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xf1b0de… |
| 02-02 21:54:56 | Embarrassed-Lymphocyte 0xf82a…d221 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf1b0de… |
| 02-02 21:52:10 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc27a08… |
| 02-02 21:52:10 | (anonymous) 0x08cf…70a3 | No | SELL | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0xc27a08… |
| 02-02 21:09:04 | (anonymous) 0x70bb…b180 | No | BUY | 18,158 | 100¢ | $18,140 | 0x0a11ba… |
| 02-02 21:09:04 | milize 0x076c…4e7b | Yes | BUY | 580 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x0a11ba… |
| 02-02 21:09:04 | Embarrassed-Lymphocyte 0xf82a…d221 | Yes | BUY | 17,573 | 0¢ | $18 | 0x0a11ba… |
| 02-02 21:09:04 | (anonymous) 0x9e53…80d9 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x0a11ba… |
| 02-02 21:06:24 | (anonymous) 0x4e25…d7a7 | No | BUY | 120 | 100¢ | $119 | 0x1587db… |
| 02-02 21:06:24 | Embarrassed-Lymphocyte 0xf82a…d221 | Yes | BUY | 120 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x1587db… |
| 02-02 21:05:22 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4c295b… |
| 02-02 21:05:22 | (anonymous) 0x2bef…9080 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4c295b… |
| 02-02 21:02:00 | (anonymous) 0x7bfe…b139 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1bdeb6… |
| 02-02 21:02:00 | (anonymous) 0x4e25…d7a7 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x1bdeb6… |
| 02-02 21:01:52 | (anonymous) 0x4293…a8af | Yes | BUY | 300 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8cbc1d… |
| 02-02 21:01:52 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8cbc1d… |
| 02-02 21:01:52 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8cbc1d… |
| 02-02 21:01:52 | (anonymous) 0x70bb…b180 | No | BUY | 500 | 100¢ | $500 | 0x8cbc1d… |
| 02-02 21:01:38 | (anonymous) 0x0061…8fd6 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0c440e… |
| 02-02 21:01:38 | (anonymous) 0xcfd9…2c47 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0c440e… |
| 02-02 21:01:38 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0c440e… |
| 02-02 21:01:38 | (anonymous) 0x4e25…d7a7 | No | BUY | 2,311 | 100¢ | $2,308 | 0x0c440e… |
| 02-02 21:01:38 | (anonymous) 0x4018…d14a | Yes | BUY | 385 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0c440e… |
| 02-02 21:01:38 | (anonymous) 0xf8b7…14de | Yes | BUY | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0c440e… |
| 02-02 21:01:38 | milize 0x076c…4e7b | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0c440e… |
| 02-02 21:01:38 | (anonymous) 0xef2a…bd7e | Yes | BUY | 347 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0c440e… |
| 02-02 21:01:38 | (anonymous) 0x7bfe…b139 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0c440e… |
| 02-02 21:01:38 | (anonymous) 0x3b61…8905 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0c440e… |
| 02-02 21:01:38 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0c440e… |
| 02-02 21:01:38 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0c440e… |
| 02-02 21:01:38 | (anonymous) 0x35c0…81d6 | Yes | BUY | 381 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0c440e… |
| 02-02 21:01:38 | (anonymous) 0xe9b4…f03a | Yes | BUY | 170 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0c440e… |
| 02-02 21:01:38 | (anonymous) 0x161f…b075 | Yes | BUY | 173 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0c440e… |
| 02-02 21:00:00 | (anonymous) 0x7bfe…b139 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe50cb4… |
| 02-02 21:00:00 | (anonymous) 0xd653…56a1 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xe50cb4… |
| 02-02 20:57:46 | (anonymous) 0x4e25…d7a7 | No | BUY | 151 | 99¢ | $149 | 0x3a269d… |
| 02-02 20:57:46 | Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | Yes | BUY | 72 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x3a269d… |
| 02-02 20:57:46 | Menacing-Chuck 0x260b…d12c | Yes | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3a269d… |
| 02-02 20:57:46 | Faithful-Thunderhead 0x4210…7e30 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3a269d… |
| 02-02 20:57:26 | Faithful-Thunderhead 0x4210…7e30 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5d7f98… |
| 02-02 20:57:26 | (anonymous) 0x27c1…4dbe | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x5d7f98… |
| 02-02 20:57:22 | (anonymous) 0x8a5b…ae51 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x2a5976… |
| 02-02 20:57:22 | Faithful-Thunderhead 0x4210…7e30 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe4e543… |
| 02-02 20:57:22 | Faithful-Thunderhead 0x4210…7e30 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2a5976… |
| 02-02 20:57:22 | (anonymous) 0x4702…4318 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xe4e543… |
| 02-02 20:55:14 | Faithful-Thunderhead 0x4210…7e30 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x171985… |
| 02-02 20:55:14 | (anonymous) 0xffbb…c863 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x171985… |
| 02-02 20:55:08 | Homely-Maintenance 0x8301…3bdc | Yes | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x097051… |
| 02-02 20:55:08 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x097051… |
| 02-02 20:55:08 | (anonymous) 0xdba3…d861 | No | BUY | 83 | 99¢ | $82 | 0x097051… |
| 02-02 20:55:08 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 14 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x097051… |
| 02-02 20:55:08 | Faithful-Thunderhead 0x4210…7e30 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x097051… |
| 02-02 20:52:24 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 21 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf22b77… |
| 02-02 20:52:24 | (anonymous) 0x1c90…bbd5 | No | BUY | 21 | 99¢ | $21 | 0xf22b77… |
| 02-02 20:44:04 | (anonymous) 0x00a7…b4c2 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xff1c3c… |
| 02-02 20:44:04 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xff1c3c… |
| 02-02 20:06:06 | Responsible-Critic 0x6d06…5ddd | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x407431… |
| 02-02 20:06:06 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x407431… |
| 02-02 18:07:14 | Mindless-Case 0x447f…f362 | No | SELL | 95 | 95¢ | $90 | 0x0fd637… |
| 02-02 18:07:14 | milize 0x076c…4e7b | Yes | SELL | 95 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x0fd637… |
| 02-02 18:01:22 | Mindless-Case 0x447f…f362 | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x305e6a… |
| 02-02 18:01:22 | (anonymous) 0xbaf3…a849 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x305e6a… |
| 02-02 17:53:12 | (anonymous) 0xdd53…933c | No | SELL | 100 | 95¢ | $95 | 0xb72056… |
| 02-02 17:53:12 | (anonymous) 0xe474…9b56 | No | SELL | 100 | 95¢ | $95 | 0xb72056… |
| 02-02 17:53:12 | (anonymous) 0x6bfc…26ae | No | SELL | 100 | 95¢ | $95 | 0xb72056… |
| 02-02 17:53:12 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | BUY | 976 | 95¢ | $927 | 0xb72056… |
| 02-02 17:53:12 | Awful-Shallot 0x30e8…38b0 | No | SELL | 100 | 95¢ | $95 | 0xb72056… |
| 02-02 17:53:12 | (anonymous) 0x756a…c2db | No | SELL | 100 | 95¢ | $95 | 0xb72056… |
| 02-02 17:53:12 | (anonymous) 0x65e8…630f | No | SELL | 100 | 95¢ | $95 | 0xb72056… |
| 02-02 17:53:12 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 176 | 5¢ | $9 | 0xb72056… |
| 02-02 17:53:12 | (anonymous) 0xee2b…312f | No | SELL | 100 | 95¢ | $95 | 0xb72056… |
| 02-02 17:53:12 | (anonymous) 0x2694…415a | Yes | BUY | 98 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x4c3785… |
| 02-02 17:53:12 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | BUY | 98 | 95¢ | $93 | 0x4c3785… |
| 02-02 17:53:12 | (anonymous) 0x2bef…9080 | No | SELL | 100 | 95¢ | $95 | 0xb72056… |
| 02-02 17:23:06 | (anonymous) 0x2a70…d6a0 | No | BUY | 105 | 95¢ | $99 | 0x4add4f… |
| 02-02 17:23:06 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 105 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x4add4f… |
| 02-02 17:12:48 | Accurate-Witchhunt 0x084f…8b8e | No | SELL | 100 | 92¢ | $92 | 0x1ffd8d… |
| 02-02 17:12:48 | Mindless-Case 0x447f…f362 | No | BUY | 100 | 92¢ | $92 | 0x1ffd8d… |
| 02-02 17:12:24 | (anonymous) 0x2bef…9080 | No | BUY | 100 | 95¢ | $95 | 0x948795… |
| 02-02 17:12:24 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Yes | BUY | 200 | 5¢ | $10 | 0x948795… |
| 02-02 17:12:24 | (anonymous) 0xdd53…933c | No | BUY | 100 | 95¢ | $95 | 0x948795… |
| 02-02 17:12:22 | (anonymous) 0x65e8…630f | No | BUY | 100 | 95¢ | $95 | 0x7fdbec… |
| 02-02 17:12:22 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Yes | BUY | 718 | 5¢ | $36 | 0x7fdbec… |
| 02-02 17:12:22 | (anonymous) 0x65e8…630f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x7fdbec… |
| 02-02 17:12:22 | Awful-Shallot 0x30e8…38b0 | No | BUY | 100 | 95¢ | $95 | 0x7fdbec… |
| 02-02 17:12:22 | (anonymous) 0xee2b…312f | No | BUY | 100 | 95¢ | $95 | 0x7fdbec… |
| 02-02 17:12:22 | Accurate-Witchhunt 0x084f…8b8e | No | BUY | 100 | 95¢ | $95 | 0x7fdbec… |
| 02-02 17:12:22 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x7fdbec… |
| 02-02 17:12:22 | (anonymous) 0x6bfc…26ae | No | BUY | 100 | 95¢ | $95 | 0x7fdbec… |
| 02-02 17:12:22 | (anonymous) 0x756a…c2db | No | BUY | 100 | 95¢ | $95 | 0x7fdbec… |
| 02-02 17:12:22 | (anonymous) 0xe474…9b56 | No | BUY | 100 | 95¢ | $95 | 0x7fdbec… |
| 02-02 17:06:00 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x539cd4… |
| 02-02 17:06:00 | Animated-Souvenir 0xda47…941c | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x539cd4… |
| 02-02 16:51:54 | (anonymous) 0x65e8…630f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xd07b99… |
| 02-02 16:51:54 | (anonymous) 0x9e53…80d9 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xd07b99… |
| 02-02 16:41:58 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xae8914… |
| 02-02 16:41:58 | (anonymous) 0x08cf…70a3 | No | BUY | 3 | 94¢ | $2 | 0xae8914… |
| 02-02 16:16:52 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | BUY | 200 | 83¢ | $166 | 0x33cf32… |
| 02-02 16:16:52 | Ill-Informed-Contingency 0x2480…1a9b | Yes | BUY | 200 | 17¢ | $34 | 0x33cf32… |
| 02-02 16:15:08 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 100 | 79¢ | $79 | 0x87b782… |