Will Starmer say "Chancellor" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
open
Total volume
$466
Trades
79
Unique wallets
42
Liquidity
$9
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-06
First seen
2026-05-01
last 05-20 11:11
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+2.5¢
(top1%: 94% YES on $34
vs crowd: 91% YES on $387)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | — | $8 | $8 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $104 | $6 | +$98 |
| 🐟 Fish | 14 | $145 | $14 | +$132 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 21 | $102 | $8 | +$95 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $31 | $2 | +$29 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $73 | $14 | +$58 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $2 | $6 | $4 |
| Median | 7 | $87 | — | +$87 |
| Below median | 9 | $11 | $8 | +$3 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $4 | $4 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| unranked | 8 | $147 | $0 | +$147 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xa24d…3065 | No | +140 | $3 | $3 | 4 | 05-20 11:02 |
| Genuine-Scow 0xfd00…99c7 | Yes | +123 | $121 | $121 | 1 | 05-20 11:02 |
| Sunny-Hype 0x4247…455f | No | +40 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-20 11:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xd58b…608e | Yes | +40 | $38 | $59 | 7 | 05-20 11:08 |
| Subdued-Pasta 0xe397…bfcb | Yes | +32 | $31 | $31 | 2 | 05-20 11:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | +25 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-20 11:02 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +21 | $8 | $8 | 4 | 05-15 18:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x2258…1451 | Yes | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-20 11:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe09…b1ee | No | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-20 11:10 |
| Troubled-Karate-Backburn 0xa8e0…70e2 | Yes | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-20 11:02 |
| Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | No | +12 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 05-20 11:02 |
| Satisfied-Receipt 0xac16…4f44 | Yes | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-20 11:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xd3fd…ce49 | No | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-20 11:02 |
| Past-Misrepresentation 0xba17…92b4 | No | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-20 11:11 |
| Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Yes | +9 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 05-19 00:46 |
| Fuzzy-Draft 0xfe93…8d0e | Yes | +8 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-02 06:17 |
| Hard-To-Find-Indication 0x6ec8…99d2 | No | +8 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-02 06:17 |
| Staid-Sovereignty 0x4ea9…1651 | Yes | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 07:33 |
| Lavish-Geology 0xe741…ec28 | Yes | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 19:36 |
| Weekly-Mat 0x2970…e1c9 | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-18 22:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xe5a4…8eac | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-20 11:02 |
| Infantile-Coleslaw 0x45e7…3577 | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-01 07:11 |
| Polite-Developing 0x0b54…76ea | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-19 00:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xc804…ea3e | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-20 11:02 |
| Memorable-Vessel 0xfa6f…9e85 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-20 11:02 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-20 11:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x87ba…9fd1 | No | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-20 11:02 |
| Gloomy-Wellbeing 0x5042…fcb0 | Yes | +4 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-20 11:03 |
| Stable-Entry 0x9a75…02d3 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 07:51 |
| Teeming-Puppet 0x4388…5050 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 07:51 |
| Humming-Tactics 0xfa2d…9a97 | No | +2 | $-0 | $5 | 4 | 05-18 22:38 |
| Indigoat 0x8768…0c1d | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 18:10 |
| Overcooked-Plowman 0x3373…3716 | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-20 11:02 |
| Skeletal-Countryside 0xd470…8f99 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-18 22:34 |
| Fair-Amazon 0x9feb…d19e | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-18 02:32 |
| Mean-Pronunciation 0x6c96…959f | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 11:23 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-20 11:11:04 | Past-Misrepresentation 0xba17…92b4 | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4f575b… |
| 05-20 11:11:04 | Satisfied-Receipt 0xac16…4f44 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x4f575b… |
| 05-20 11:10:19 | (anonymous) 0x2258…1451 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0xc58126… |
| 05-20 11:10:19 | (anonymous) 0xfe09…b1ee | No | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xc58126… |
| 05-20 11:08:53 | (anonymous) 0xd58b…608e | Yes | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x634d3a… |
| 05-20 11:08:53 | Subdued-Pasta 0xe397…bfcb | Yes | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xd03a29… |
| 05-20 11:08:53 | Subdued-Pasta 0xe397…bfcb | Yes | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x634d3a… |
| 05-20 11:08:53 | Digital-Bill 0x9ba4…f8c2 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xd03a29… |
| 05-20 11:03:05 | (anonymous) 0xd58b…608e | Yes | SELL | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x046216… |
| 05-20 11:03:05 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3d7670… |
| 05-20 11:03:05 | Gloomy-Wellbeing 0x5042…fcb0 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x046216… |
| 05-20 11:03:05 | Digital-Bill 0x9ba4…f8c2 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x3d7670… |
| 05-20 11:02:38 | (anonymous) 0xd58b…608e | Yes | SELL | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x099581… |
| 05-20 11:02:38 | Gloomy-Wellbeing 0x5042…fcb0 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x099581… |
| 05-20 11:02:37 | Digital-Bill 0x9ba4…f8c2 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x3cd7a3… |
| 05-20 11:02:37 | Digital-Bill 0x9ba4…f8c2 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x8b5c32… |
| 05-20 11:02:37 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | SELL | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x2dabf9… |
| 05-20 11:02:37 | (anonymous) 0xc804…ea3e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x3cd7a3… |
| 05-20 11:02:37 | (anonymous) 0xd58b…608e | Yes | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x2dabf9… |
| 05-20 11:02:37 | (anonymous) 0xe5a4…8eac | Yes | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x96e526… |
| 05-20 11:02:37 | (anonymous) 0xd58b…608e | Yes | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x166862… |
| 05-20 11:02:37 | Memorable-Vessel 0xfa6f…9e85 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x8b5c32… |
| 05-20 11:02:37 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | SELL | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x166862… |
| 05-20 11:02:37 | Digital-Bill 0x9ba4…f8c2 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x96e526… |
| 05-20 11:02:12 | (anonymous) 0xa24d…3065 | No | BUY | 0 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd467d8… |
| 05-20 11:02:12 | Digital-Bill 0x9ba4…f8c2 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xd467d8… |
| 05-20 11:02:12 | Troubled-Karate-Backburn 0xa8e0…70e2 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0xd467d8… |
| 05-20 11:02:12 | Fond-Look 0xa853…8d7e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x31fada… |
| 05-20 11:02:12 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x31fada… |
| 05-20 11:02:12 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | No | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd467d8… |
| 05-20 11:02:12 | Overcooked-Plowman 0x3373…3716 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xce70a6… |
| 05-20 11:02:12 | (anonymous) 0xd58b…608e | Yes | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xce70a6… |
| 05-20 11:02:10 | Genuine-Scow 0xfd00…99c7 | Yes | BUY | 123 | 98¢ | $121 | 0x5747f8… |
| 05-20 11:02:10 | (anonymous) 0xa24d…3065 | No | BUY | 123 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x5747f8… |
| 05-20 11:02:03 | (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | BUY | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x1fbc39… |
| 05-20 11:02:03 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x1fbc39… |
| 05-20 11:02:03 | (anonymous) 0xd58b…608e | Yes | BUY | 51 | 96¢ | $49 | 0x1fbc39… |
| 05-20 11:02:03 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | No | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x198e80… |
| 05-20 11:02:03 | Sunny-Hype 0x4247…455f | No | BUY | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x198e80… |
| 05-20 11:02:03 | Digital-Bill 0x9ba4…f8c2 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 92¢ | $55 | 0x198e80… |
| 05-20 11:02:03 | (anonymous) 0xa24d…3065 | No | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x07e300… |
| 05-20 11:02:03 | (anonymous) 0x87ba…9fd1 | No | BUY | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x198e80… |
| 05-20 11:02:03 | Fond-Look 0xa853…8d7e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x07e300… |
| 05-20 11:02:03 | (anonymous) 0xa24d…3065 | No | BUY | 16 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x1fbc39… |
| 05-20 11:02:03 | (anonymous) 0xd3fd…ce49 | No | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x198e80… |
| 05-19 00:46:43 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Yes | BUY | 2 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x0be423… |
| 05-19 00:46:43 | Polite-Developing 0x0b54…76ea | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x0be423… |
| 05-19 00:46:43 | Unlined-Care 0x2cec…c6a4 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x0be423… |
| 05-18 22:38:26 | Humming-Tactics 0xfa2d…9a97 | No | SELL | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0xbe3c88… |
| 05-18 22:38:26 | Weekly-Mat 0x2970…e1c9 | No | BUY | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0xbe3c88… |
| 05-18 22:34:04 | Skeletal-Countryside 0xd470…8f99 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 71¢ | $1 | 0xd961b1… |
| 05-18 22:34:04 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | No | BUY | 1 | 29¢ | $0 | 0xd961b1… |
| 05-18 08:07:12 | Humming-Tactics 0xfa2d…9a97 | No | SELL | 1 | 40¢ | $0 | 0x802172… |
| 05-18 08:07:12 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 61¢ | $3 | 0x802172… |
| 05-18 08:07:12 | Breakable-Shingle 0x850a…4dc5 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 61¢ | $3 | 0x802172… |
| 05-18 02:32:34 | Fair-Amazon 0x9feb…d19e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 72¢ | $1 | 0xc5259e… |
| 05-18 02:32:34 | Humming-Tactics 0xfa2d…9a97 | No | BUY | 1 | 28¢ | $0 | 0xc5259e… |
| 05-16 16:41:00 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Yes | BUY | 1 | 61¢ | $1 | 0xf37ac9… |
| 05-16 16:41:00 | Those-Shame 0xce30…3760 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 61¢ | $1 | 0xf37ac9… |
| 05-16 07:33:08 | Staid-Sovereignty 0x4ea9…1651 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 72¢ | $5 | 0x7a76dc… |
| 05-16 07:33:08 | Humming-Tactics 0xfa2d…9a97 | No | BUY | 7 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x7a76dc… |
| 05-15 18:10:28 | Indigoat 0x8768…0c1d | Yes | BUY | 2 | 75¢ | $2 | 0xb84120… |
| 05-15 18:10:28 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 2 | 25¢ | $0 | 0xb84120… |
| 05-14 21:34:38 | Satisfied-Effacement 0xf41c…ba2f | No | SELL | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xc2c90a… |
| 05-14 21:34:38 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xc2c90a… |
| 05-11 07:51:29 | Teeming-Puppet 0x4388…5050 | No | BUY | 2 | 58¢ | $1 | 0xf40b48… |
| 05-11 07:51:29 | Stable-Entry 0x9a75…02d3 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 42¢ | $1 | 0xf40b48… |
| 05-11 06:12:12 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | No | BUY | 6 | 64¢ | $4 | 0x752e3e… |
| 05-11 06:12:12 | Breakable-Shingle 0x850a…4dc5 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x752e3e… |
| 05-10 12:23:07 | Unlined-Care 0x2cec…c6a4 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 40¢ | $3 | 0x0c9ecb… |
| 05-10 12:23:07 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 8 | 60¢ | $4 | 0x0c9ecb… |
| 05-07 11:23:23 | Those-Shame 0xce30…3760 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x4b45f4… |
| 05-07 11:23:23 | Mean-Pronunciation 0x6c96…959f | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x4b45f4… |
| 05-05 19:36:14 | Lavish-Geology 0xe741…ec28 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 79¢ | $5 | 0x749d29… |
| 05-05 19:36:14 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 6 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x749d29… |
| 05-02 06:17:24 | Fuzzy-Draft 0xfe93…8d0e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 46¢ | $4 | 0x154f93… |
| 05-02 06:17:24 | Hard-To-Find-Indication 0x6ec8…99d2 | No | BUY | 8 | 54¢ | $4 | 0x154f93… |
| 05-01 07:11:26 | Satisfied-Effacement 0xf41c…ba2f | No | BUY | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x95a4e3… |
| 05-01 07:11:26 | Infantile-Coleslaw 0x45e7…3577 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0x95a4e3… |