Realized P&L (90d)
-$133
Unrealized P&L
+$329
Hit rate
4.7%
Resolved (90d)
20
Trades (90d)
0
533 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$0
$12.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$2.53K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-22
last 06-11 23:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 49 days
Categories
Other
44% 21% -$123
Politics
35% 14% -$201
Crypto
8% 39% -$179
Sports
7% 50% -$193
Tech
7% 0% -$130
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-11).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No -450 -$395 96¢ $-433 -$38 05-25 08:16
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No -196 -$139 95¢ $-187 -$48 05-25 10:18
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026? No -190 -$173 96¢ $-181 -$9 05-25 10:42
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? No -170 -$144 93¢ $-158 -$14 05-25 08:08
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes -197 -$91 68¢ $-133 -$42 05-25 08:46
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -181 -$85 68¢ $-122 -$37 05-25 08:15
Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? No -560 -$450 21¢ $-119 +$331 05-25 08:56
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? No -163 -$127 71¢ $-115 +$11 05-25 08:42
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No -111 -$108 99¢ $-110 -$2 05-25 08:15
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? No -107 -$102 98¢ $-105 -$3 05-25 08:42
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -98 -$42 94¢ $-92 -$50 05-30 09:42
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo No -92 -$76 97¢ $-89 -$13 05-25 23:03
EU dissolves before 2027? No -87 -$84 98¢ $-86 -$1 05-25 08:42
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No -86 -$83 99¢ $-86 -$2 05-25 08:15
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No -213 -$104 38¢ $-81 +$23 05-25 08:53
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -62 -$54 92¢ $-57 -$4 06-02 21:46
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -65 -$53 84¢ $-54 -$1 06-02 23:54
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? No -56 -$52 96¢ $-54 -$2 05-25 08:46
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No -86 -$44 56¢ $-48 -$4 05-25 08:42
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -53 -$45 90¢ $-48 -$3 06-02 21:26
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No -54 -$52 84¢ $-45 +$6 05-25 23:50
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? Yes -181 -$51 16¢ $-29 +$22 05-25 08:15
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -32 -$19 72¢ $-23 -$4 05-25 08:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No -21 -$20 99¢ $-21 -$1 05-25 10:33
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? Yes -732 -$88 2¢ $-14 +$74 05-25 08:33
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -429 -$52 3¢ $-12 +$39 05-25 23:26
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes -32 -$10 26¢ $-8 +$2 05-24 00:59
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No -8 -$5 90¢ $-7 -$2 05-23 06:42
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -41 -$6 8¢ $-3 +$2 06-03 18:05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes -314 -$101 1¢ $-3 +$98 05-25 08:42