Realized P&L
-$854
Unrealized P&L
-$10
Hit rate
75.5%
Resolved
662
Trades
2,890
lifetime
Volume
$38.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$25
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-04 02:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 115 days
Categories
Other
48% 55% -$498
Crypto
42% 64% -$203
Politics
8% 35% -$177
Tech
2% 75% -$14
Sports
1% 75% +$38
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 89 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? No +60 $6 8¢ $5 -$1 10-30 03:34
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? No +30 $4 15¢ $4 $0 10-20 22:53
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +100 $3 3¢ $3 +$0 10-22 09:34
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? No +4 -$1 74¢ $3 +$4 10-29 17:04
France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026? Yes +60 $2 3¢ $2 $0 10-24 20:10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $1 16¢ $2 +$0 10-19 18:55
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027? Yes +10 $0 15¢ $1 +$2 10-23 01:25
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $2 15¢ $1 $0 10-25 22:29
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +10 $2 8¢ $1 -$1 10-20 19:36
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +100 $2 1¢ $1 -$1 10-22 08:27
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $1 3¢ $1 $0 10-20 18:51
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No +120 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 10-24 22:10
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +26 $4 1¢ $0 -$4 11-04 00:30
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? No +120 $6 0¢ $0 -$6 10-24 15:46
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +10 $0 1¢ $0 $0 10-21 10:47
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +10 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 10-04 15:21
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No -9 -$2 0¢ $-0 +$2 04-30 09:40