Dimpled-Gasp — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$260

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

15.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,213

lifetime

Volume

$12.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-17

last 05-29 02:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

51% 17% $-261

Other

48% 100% +$1

Crypto

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	76	$1.5K	903	623	+280	open	—	04-17 06:17
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	32	$1.3K	1,058	258	+800	open	—	04-09 00:13
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	13	$877	677	550	+127	open	—	04-30 20:20
netanyahu out by march 31 854	28	$706	329	382	-53	open	—	03-30 20:07
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	85	$473	356	260	+96	open	—	04-08 01:05
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$426	0	437	-437	open	—	05-28 16:37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	31	$397	391	162	+229	Yes	$-169	05-01 00:47
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	11	$387	200	223	-23	open	—	05-27 06:41
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	66	$357	185	180	+5	Yes	$-0	04-03 07:10
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	9	$353	274	284	-11	open	—	05-27 08:06
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	63	$311	283	211	+72	open	—	04-08 01:05
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	12	$259	132	132	+0	open	—	05-27 05:31
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	24	$235	155	155	+0	open	—	04-14 07:34
Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	22	$232	150	88	+62	open	—	04-10 02:46
Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?	43	$221	114	119	-6	open	—	04-10 19:14
SAVE Act becomes law by April 30, 2026?	27	$210	115	98	+17	open	—	04-10 00:08
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	5	$205	120	86	+34	open	—	04-14 12:25
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	29	$198	117	117	+0	open	—	04-21 06:23
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	17	$195	145	140	+5	open	—	04-08 01:02
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	13	$190	156	39	+117	open	—	04-01 02:57
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	16	$171	105	72	+33	open	—	04-20 07:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	15	$164	324	332	-8	open	—	05-27 15:35
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	14	$153	90	66	+24	open	—	04-09 07:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	16	$151	165	154	+11	open	—	04-23 20:15
will tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	37	$145	90	90	+0	open	—	04-10 19:11
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	14	$133	109	24	+85	open	—	03-29 14:18
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	2	$128	0	157	-157	open	—	05-29 02:58
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	7	$116	118	133	-14	open	—	05-27 05:34
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	8	$116	97	35	+62	open	—	03-29 20:09
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	1	$114	0	121	-121	open	—	05-28 01:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-29 02:58:17	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	SELL	139	81¢	$113	0xf5abd8…
05-29 02:57:42	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	63	85¢	$54	0xa3a553…
05-29 02:57:21	Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x050397…
05-29 02:57:11	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xbf6584…
05-29 02:57:00	Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	31¢	$1	0x7816c0…
05-29 02:56:48	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x3800ee…
05-29 02:56:37	Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x41f316…
05-29 02:56:29	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x9b4367…
05-29 02:56:16	State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x9d2bff…
05-29 02:55:59	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	41¢	$0	0x5b33dc…
05-29 02:55:50	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	27¢	$1	0x0affd8…
05-29 02:55:33	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x39214b…
05-29 02:55:05	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0x8b28e3…
05-29 02:54:52	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0x762351…
05-29 02:54:09	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0x074ccf…
05-29 02:53:58	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x2b5aa2…
05-29 02:53:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x945639…
05-29 02:53:28	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	SELL	0	22¢	$0	0x460d1d…
05-29 02:52:53	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xbc1870…
05-29 02:40:31	US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xcfd29f…
05-28 17:33:00	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	SELL	18	83¢	$15	0xa43047…
05-28 16:37:51	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	294	98¢	$286	0x0466ac…
05-28 12:11:07	SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	78¢	$7	0xf9b474…
05-28 03:26:44	Epstein client list released by June 30?	No	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0xd98c7c…
05-28 01:01:54	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	121	94¢	$114	0xe754db…
05-28 00:43:21	Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0x8c59ae…
05-28 00:20:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	143	97¢	$139	0x8f2719…
05-28 00:14:14	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x3b90c0…
05-27 21:29:21	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	71	86¢	$61	0x3bbaa0…
05-27 15:35:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	267	27¢	$72	0x4d9464…
05-27 08:06:27	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	91	70¢	$64	0xe6f7e6…
05-27 07:54:14	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xb7c8a1…
05-27 07:02:30	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0xf2a89c…
05-27 06:41:21	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xc82e94…
05-27 06:12:51	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x99106f…
05-27 05:43:06	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	12	81¢	$10	0xb4fa30…
05-27 05:34:26	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	133	33¢	$44	0xd174c1…
05-27 05:31:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0xd5da4b…
05-26 21:21:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	27¢	$5	0xba0748…
05-26 18:28:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0xcf5b94…
05-26 16:37:17	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x8a1e5f…
05-25 14:40:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	15¢	$7	0xb5d099…
05-25 02:41:02	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	38	98¢	$37	0x464b19…
05-24 22:40:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x796aea…
05-24 16:33:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	31¢	$7	0x13e09a…
05-24 03:22:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	40¢	$11	0xa2e1db…
05-23 08:52:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	49	53¢	$26	0x29c48d…
05-23 03:03:29	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x56e1a7…
05-23 00:55:35	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0xb296e3…
05-22 23:19:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x4beb42…
05-22 18:11:25	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0xbb4086…
05-22 02:50:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	53¢	$9	0xe1e102…
05-22 01:31:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0xa46bdb…
05-21 19:56:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	21¢	$1	0x15a1be…
05-21 18:37:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	13	8¢	$1	0x9ee997…
05-21 13:23:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	96	15¢	$14	0x67448a…
05-18 16:12:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x1a18b6…
05-17 15:41:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	65¢	$12	0x90312c…
05-16 21:27:35	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0xb7ed64…
05-15 21:04:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	149	11¢	$16	0xdd74c7…
05-15 19:16:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	41	98¢	$40	0x2916e9…
05-14 15:00:27	Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0xf84e00…
05-13 18:26:23	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	69¢	$19	0x28bf8e…
05-13 15:09:50	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x0dde05…
05-12 14:46:30	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xe5b396…
05-11 19:14:56	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	19	76¢	$14	0x91bbdc…
05-10 22:30:19	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0xc70a3a…
05-10 15:13:06	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	24	95¢	$23	0x891dba…
05-10 13:22:55	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	59¢	$24	0x078694…
05-10 02:58:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xc11714…
05-09 17:53:04	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x170976…
05-09 14:38:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	64¢	$7	0x11a430…
05-09 14:38:40	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	19	60¢	$11	0x496894…
05-09 14:38:40	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x0c095c…
05-09 14:38:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0x6370df…
05-09 14:38:14	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0x5e4880…
05-09 14:38:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0x1f95ef…
05-09 14:02:07	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0x979858…
05-09 13:24:49	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x268c8a…
05-09 08:40:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	71¢	$6	0x7bc3b9…
05-09 07:52:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xf437bb…
05-09 06:33:55	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	47	87¢	$41	0x0037c1…
05-09 06:10:44	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0x6a50c3…
05-08 17:56:33	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0x270efc…
05-07 21:31:35	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	43	87¢	$37	0xe551b3…
05-07 07:09:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xef7a77…
05-07 07:05:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x8f77f0…
05-07 02:15:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	89	52¢	$46	0x23391e…
05-07 01:46:14	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	85	50¢	$42	0x07f733…
05-06 23:02:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	36	29¢	$10	0x5d7737…
05-06 21:52:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	8	30¢	$2	0xfb4360…
05-06 06:30:36	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	84	93¢	$78	0x1856cb…
05-06 05:54:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	41	97¢	$40	0xe5664c…
05-06 05:00:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	83¢	$12	0xdb50e6…
05-05 19:38:16	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	51	93¢	$47	0x6e9937…
05-05 17:44:30	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	17	65¢	$11	0x185a95…
05-05 17:34:30	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x9df632…
05-05 13:58:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	213	75¢	$160	0x5589a2…
05-05 11:10:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x98a689…
05-05 05:59:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x8cb99d…