Realized P&L
-$260
Unrealized P&L
-$27
Hit rate
15.0%
Resolved
7
Trades
1,213
lifetime
Volume
$12.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$409
16 positions
First seen
2026-03-17
last 05-29 02:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
51% 17% $-261
Other
48% 100% +$1
Crypto
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -157 $-128 90¢ $-142 $-15 05-29 02:58
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -121 $-114 98¢ $-118 $-4 05-28 01:01
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -72 $-62 94¢ $-68 $-6 05-29 02:56
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No -63 $-54 90¢ $-56 $-3 05-29 02:57
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No -9 $-7 84¢ $-8 $-1 05-28 12:11
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No -6 $-6 92¢ $-6 $-0 05-28 00:43
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -5 $-5 96¢ $-5 $-0 05-29 02:40
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No -2 $-2 94¢ $-2 $-0 05-29 02:52
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -1 $-1 96¢ $-1 $-0 05-29 02:57
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No -1 $-1 92¢ $-1 $-0 05-29 02:57
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? Yes -5 $-1 17¢ $-1 +$1 05-29 02:57
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -1 $-1 96¢ $-1 $-0 05-29 02:55
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -2 $-1 16¢ $-0 +$0 05-29 02:55
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? Yes -1 $-0 34¢ $-0 +$0 05-29 02:55
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -1 $-0 $-0 +$0 05-29 02:54
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes -1 $-0 12¢ $-0 +$0 05-29 02:54