Thoughtful-Visa 0x2df22e…f69dca
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Realized P&L
-$5
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
463
lifetime
Volume
$1.44K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$204
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-17
last 06-09 23:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Crypto
54% — —
Politics
33% — —
Other
10% — —
Sports
3% 0% $-5
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 173 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +106 $74 76¢ $81 +$7 06-10 01:45
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +18 $14 77¢ $14 $-0 06-10 01:45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +11 $9 82¢ $9 $-0 06-10 03:36
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No +9 $8 86¢ $8 +$0 06-09 15:44
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No +12 $8 64¢ $8 $-0 06-08 17:48
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +11 $8 61¢ $7 $-1 06-08 10:40
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +7 $6 82¢ $6 +$0 06-08 17:37
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +8 $6 72¢ $6 $-0 06-08 10:45
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +7 $6 80¢ $6 +$0 06-09 03:36
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +7 $6 85¢ $6 $-0 06-09 16:57
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +8 $6 64¢ $5 $-1 06-06 13:18
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 92¢ $5 +$0 06-04 14:15
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 $-0 06-04 14:15
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? Yes +5 $4 84¢ $4 $-0 06-09 03:40
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? No +15 $4 24¢ $4 $-0 06-06 09:55
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Yes +9 $4 36¢ $3 $-1 06-05 14:14
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +3 $2 76¢ $2 +$0 06-08 10:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +2 $2 84¢ $2 +$0 06-06 15:26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +3 $2 72¢ $2 +$0 06-06 09:55
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +2 $2 95¢ $2 +$0 06-05 18:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +6 $2 32¢ $2 +$0 06-07 16:24
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 06-10 02:48
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 +$0 06-10 02:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +3 $2 70¢ $2 +$0 06-07 19:17
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +2 $2 88¢ $2 +$0 06-07 19:54
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 $-0 06-08 13:05
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T No +2 $2 94¢ $2 $-0 06-06 13:12
US recession by end of 2026? No +2 $2 82¢ $2 +$0 06-06 09:55
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 $-0 06-07 16:33
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? No +4 $2 50¢ $2 $-0 06-04 18:18