Realized P&L
+$64
Unrealized P&L
-$478
Hit rate
71.5%
Resolved
116
Trades
790
lifetime
Volume
$13.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$1.41K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-15 23:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 49 days
Categories
Crypto
52% 57% +$122
Politics
29% 71% +$1
Other
19% 67% -$59
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -1,308 -$357 19¢ $-251 +$107 07-25 07:55
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -245 -$206 95¢ $-233 -$27 09-09 08:52
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? No -200 -$147 96¢ $-191 -$44 05-05 23:36
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No -161 -$120 96¢ $-154 -$35 05-13 14:30
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1,382 -$177 9¢ $-120 +$57 07-25 07:55
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -78 -$47 73¢ $-57 -$10 10-15 23:45
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes -519 $162 10¢ $-52 -$214 10-15 23:41
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No -80 -$32 58¢ $-47 -$15 10-15 23:42
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No -50 -$38 86¢ $-43 -$5 10-15 23:42
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -40 -$33 95¢ $-38 -$5 09-09 08:52
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -1,029 $138 4¢ $-37 -$175 10-15 23:40
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? Yes +977 $114 3¢ $27 -$87 08-17 06:13
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? No -24 -$17 96¢ $-23 -$6 05-05 07:25
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -28 -$22 81¢ $-23 -$1 10-15 23:42
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,400 $28 1¢ $20 -$8 08-13 06:24
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch? No -20 -$20 96¢ $-19 +$0 10-15 23:48
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? No -70 -$26 26¢ $-19 +$7 10-15 23:45
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No -18 -$13 90¢ $-16 -$3 10-15 23:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -166 -$8 8¢ $-12 -$5 10-15 23:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -264 -$1 2¢ $-5 -$4 10-15 23:44
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? Yes -30 -$2 11¢ $-3 -$1 10-15 23:46
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -20 -$3 15¢ $-3 $0 10-15 23:47
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -39 $6 6¢ $-3 -$8 10-15 23:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -121 -$3 2¢ $-2 +$0 10-15 23:44
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +23 $10 10¢ $2 -$8 05-05 23:36
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -29 -$2 7¢ $-2 $0 10-15 23:48
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -82 $4 2¢ $-2 -$6 10-15 23:44
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? No -40 -$5 4¢ $-2 +$4 10-15 23:45
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -70 -$8 2¢ $-1 +$6 10-15 23:45
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -110 -$9 1¢ $-1 +$8 10-15 23:45