Realized P&L
-$386
Unrealized P&L
+$50
Hit rate
43.4%
Resolved
2
Trades
1,177
lifetime
Volume
$117.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$100
Open exposure
$4.39K
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 06-05 15:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Crypto
65%
Politics
17% 0% $-387
Other
16% 100% +$1
Sports
1%
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No +724 $714 99¢ $718 +$4 05-28 16:48
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? No -300 $-298 100¢ $-299 $-1 05-30 17:31
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +300 $281 94¢ $282 +$1 06-01 13:20
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +252 $235 95¢ $238 +$3 05-30 17:35
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +250 $232 90¢ $226 $-5 06-01 03:09
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? No +200 $197 99¢ $198 +$2 05-28 16:41
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +200 $194 98¢ $197 +$2 05-28 17:05
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +200 $190 97¢ $194 +$4 05-30 15:15
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No +200 $182 94¢ $189 +$7 05-30 04:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +200 $182 94¢ $187 +$5 05-29 02:08
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +200 $184 92¢ $183 $-1 06-01 13:21
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No +172 $169 99¢ $170 +$1 06-01 17:25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +200 $160 82¢ $165 +$5 05-30 03:22
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No +150 $146 96¢ $144 $-2 06-01 13:22
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +150 $138 90¢ $136 $-2 06-01 15:40
Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026? No +120 $117 99¢ $119 +$3 05-29 09:49
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +116 $110 97¢ $112 +$2 06-01 14:06
SBF released from custody in 2026? No +111 $102 95¢ $105 +$3 05-30 17:32
Trump out as President by June 30? No +100 $99 99¢ $99 +$0 06-01 17:26
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +100 $95 96¢ $96 +$1 06-01 14:03
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? No +95 $94 99¢ $94 +$0 05-28 16:31
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +100 $93 93¢ $93 $-1 05-30 15:46
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +100 $73 80¢ $79 +$6 05-30 12:52
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +100 $48 62¢ $62 +$14 06-02 14:28