Realized P&L
-$386
Unrealized P&L
+$81
Hit rate
43.4%
Resolved
2
Trades
1,288
lifetime
Volume
$121.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$95
Open exposure
$3.86K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 06-29 14:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Crypto
63%
Politics
18% 0% $-387
Other
17% 100% +$1
Sports
1%
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? No -300 $-298 100¢ $-300 $-2 05-30 17:31
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +250 $232 92¢ $230 $-2 06-01 03:09
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No +200 $182 100¢ $200 +$18 05-30 04:41
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +200 $194 100¢ $200 +$5 05-28 17:05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +200 $182 100¢ $200 +$18 05-29 02:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +200 $183 99¢ $199 +$16 06-22 11:11
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +200 $184 86¢ $173 $-11 06-01 13:21
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No +172 $169 100¢ $172 +$2 06-01 17:25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +200 $160 86¢ $171 +$11 05-30 03:22
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +160 $154 100¢ $160 +$6 06-18 03:08
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? No +159 $156 99¢ $158 +$2 06-29 10:42
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No +150 $146 100¢ $150 +$4 06-01 13:22
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +150 $146 100¢ $150 +$4 06-28 15:32
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +150 $138 100¢ $150 +$12 06-01 15:40
Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026? No +120 $117 100¢ $120 +$3 05-29 09:49
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +200 $112 59¢ $118 +$6 06-26 14:58
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +116 $110 100¢ $115 +$6 06-01 14:06
Trump out as President by June 30? No +100 $99 100¢ $100 +$1 06-01 17:26
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +100 $98 100¢ $100 +$2 06-24 17:27
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +100 $88 100¢ $100 +$12 06-11 14:25
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +100 $93 95¢ $95 +$1 05-30 15:46
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? No +95 $94 100¢ $95 +$1 05-28 16:31
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +100 $73 86¢ $85 +$12 05-30 12:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +100 $91 84¢ $84 $-8 06-16 03:32
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026? No +61 $56 100¢ $61 +$5 06-22 07:22
Kash Patel out by June 30? No +61 $60 99¢ $61 +$1 06-24 17:30
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? No +50 $40 99¢ $50 +$9 06-16 08:50
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026? No +50 $40 82¢ $41 +$1 06-19 07:40
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +26 $24 96¢ $25 +$1 06-24 18:19
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +100 $56 $0 $-56 06-19 11:10