Chilly-Alternative 0x38fdf3…8bc6bb
whale 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$267
Unrealized P&L
+$155
Hit rate
78.1%
Resolved
368
Trades
1,771
lifetime
Volume
$142.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$81
Open exposure
$3.30K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 10-22 09:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 101 days
Categories
Crypto
56% 90% +$50
Other
23% 61% -$119
Politics
18% 80% +$725
Sports
3% 52% -$310
Tech
1% 82% -$126
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$48
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +350 $322 96¢ $336 +$14 08-14 10:53
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +200 $193 94¢ $189 -$4 10-04 05:03
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +200 $188 92¢ $185 -$3 10-04 05:03
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +200 $112 92¢ $183 +$71 06-26 14:58
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +200 $160 82¢ $163 +$3 05-30 03:22
Iran leadership change by October 31? No +100 $95 99¢ $99 +$4 09-03 07:00
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +103 $94 96¢ $98 +$5 07-31 05:30
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +100 $88 98¢ $98 +$10 09-03 06:56
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -100 -$100 98¢ $-98 +$2 07-26 19:33
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +100 $94 98¢ $98 +$4 07-31 08:31
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +100 $97 97¢ $97 $0 10-05 13:44
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $93 97¢ $97 +$4 09-07 21:58
Trump out as President before 2027? No +100 $96 96¢ $96 $0 10-05 13:41
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +100 $92 94¢ $94 +$2 08-21 05:32
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +113 $94 84¢ $94 +$0 08-14 16:56
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +100 $76 93¢ $93 +$17 07-08 11:06
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +100 $93 92¢ $92 $0 10-08 02:37
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +100 $93 92¢ $92 -$2 08-14 16:50
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +100 $88 92¢ $92 +$4 08-14 16:59
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No +100 $92 90¢ $90 -$2 10-20 21:59
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +95 $87 94¢ $89 +$2 07-31 05:31
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 No +100 $71 88¢ $88 +$16 07-18 14:44
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +100 $84 87¢ $87 +$3 09-18 13:32
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +100 $73 86¢ $86 +$13 05-30 12:52
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +100 $83 86¢ $86 +$3 09-03 08:40
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +100 $81 85¢ $85 +$4 07-31 16:37
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +100 $67 79¢ $79 +$12 08-10 16:49
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +100 $73 75¢ $75 +$2 09-03 06:57
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +100 $93 70¢ $69 -$23 10-06 04:11
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? No +100 $73 68¢ $68 -$5 09-18 22:18