Realized P&L
-$224
Unrealized P&L
+$15
Hit rate
60.1%
Resolved
146
Trades
653
lifetime
Volume
$6.67K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$108
10 positions
First seen
2026-04-13
last 06-21 16:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 46 days
Categories
Other
44% 65% -$85
Tech
27% 71% +$141
Politics
26% 71% -$260
Sports
1% 71% -$7
Crypto
1% 50% -$3
Pop-Culture
1% 0% -$10
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-21).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -30 -$28 99¢ $-30 -$1 05-15 04:00
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No -25 -$22 98¢ $-25 -$3 05-15 07:36
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +20 $7 86¢ $17 +$10 05-05 21:20
Human moon landing in 2026? No -10 -$10 100¢ $-10 $0 05-05 14:55
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -10 -$10 99¢ $-10 $0 05-04 21:44
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +10 $6 82¢ $8 +$2 05-01 14:07
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? No -5 -$5 98¢ $-5 $0 05-31 10:31
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -20 -$7 10¢ $-2 +$5 05-01 03:49
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +0 -$2 96¢ $0 +$2 06-04 16:12
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? Yes +0 $0 6¢ $0 +$0 05-04 04:49