Fickle-Smolt 0x3ea30c…23c850
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Realized P&L
-$3
Unrealized P&L
+$24
Hit rate
91.6%
Resolved
13
Trades
300
lifetime
Volume
$2.99K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$390
8 positions
First seen
2026-04-13
last 06-10 20:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
48% 50% $-1
Other
33% 100% +$2
Tech
16% — —
Crypto
2% 50% $-3
Sports
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +370 $281 82¢ $305 +$24 06-10 20:01
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -50 $-46 92¢ $-46 $-0 06-04 16:12
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -20 $-17 74¢ $-15 +$2 06-02 18:08
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -10 $-5 62¢ $-6 $-2 05-31 04:17
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -8 $-6 70¢ $-6 +$0 06-07 07:23
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? No -5 $-5 96¢ $-5 $-0 05-31 10:31
Bill Gates charged by June 30? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 05-30 01:52
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes +32 $3 7¢ $2 $-0 06-11 14:29