Fickle-Smolt 0x3ea30c…23c850
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Realized P&L
-$3
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
91.6%
Resolved
13
Trades
307
lifetime
Volume
$3.01K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$79
5 positions
First seen
2026-04-13
last 06-18 13:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
48% 50% $-1
Other
33% 100% +$2
Tech
16% — —
Crypto
2% 50% $-3
Sports
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -50 $-46 94¢ $-47 $-1 06-04 16:12
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -20 $-17 72¢ $-14 +$3 06-02 18:08
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -10 $-5 66¢ $-7 $-2 05-31 04:17
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -8 $-6 74¢ $-6 +$0 06-07 07:23
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? No -5 $-5 96¢ $-5 $-0 05-31 10:31