Realized P&L
+$0
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
11.8%
Resolved
6
Trades
223
lifetime
Volume
$2.23K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$38
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-29
last 06-26 14:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
39% 0% $-0
Sports
31% 0% $-0
Other
21% 50% +$0
Crypto
9% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -11 $-9 93¢ $-11 $-1 06-07 18:42
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No -10 $-10 100¢ $-10 $-0 05-30 11:36
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? No -11 $-10 96¢ $-10 $-0 06-04 10:28
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +9 $8 86¢ $8 $-0 06-14 03:24
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -0 $-0 94¢ $-0 $-0 05-28 20:04
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? No +0 $3 86¢ $0 $-3 06-13 21:41
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? No +0 $0 50¢ $0 $-0 06-05 06:44