Memorable-Defense 0x79e60a…c6aaa1
whale bot cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$4.96K
Unrealized P&L
-$26
Hit rate
72.3%
Resolved
5,142
Trades
8,291
lifetime
Volume
$147.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$1.09K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-19
last 07-13 20:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 95 days
Categories
Crypto
41% 97% -$1,220
Other
39% 92% -$1,647
Politics
18% 43% -$2,188
Sports
2% 60% -$32
Tech
1% 62% +$131
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-13).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -200 -$150 83¢ $-167 -$17 05-06 09:54
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -200 -$112 78¢ $-157 -$45 05-10 00:34
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No -161 -$147 97¢ $-156 -$10 05-10 18:00
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No -100 -$93 98¢ $-98 -$5 05-06 14:46
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No -86 -$73 91¢ $-78 -$5 05-07 09:16
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -58 -$53 84¢ $-49 +$5 05-07 09:02
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? Yes -97 -$34 50¢ $-48 -$14 05-12 20:54
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -40 -$36 98¢ $-39 -$3 05-08 18:44
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No -50 -$32 74¢ $-37 -$4 05-06 08:53
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes -50 -$24 66¢ $-33 -$9 05-08 08:33
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -40 -$24 66¢ $-26 -$2 06-13 23:54
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No -20 -$18 96¢ $-19 -$1 05-08 21:50
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No -20 -$18 96¢ $-19 -$1 05-08 11:11
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -20 -$19 95¢ $-19 +$0 05-06 12:33
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -20 -$18 94¢ $-19 -$1 05-06 09:08
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? No -20 -$15 88¢ $-18 -$2 05-07 13:43
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? No -20 -$18 87¢ $-17 +$0 05-10 12:18
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? Yes -200 -$54 8¢ $-16 +$38 05-06 14:57
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -40 -$16 36¢ $-14 +$2 05-14 09:39
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? No -14 -$10 97¢ $-14 -$3 05-08 13:34
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes -21 -$13 44¢ $-9 +$4 05-06 13:07
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? Yes -200 -$26 3¢ $-6 +$20 05-07 16:00
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No -20 -$7 30¢ $-6 +$1 05-08 20:42
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -40 -$2 13¢ $-5 -$3 05-06 22:07
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? Yes -10 -$2 51¢ $-5 -$3 05-07 16:55
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027? Yes -95 -$13 5¢ $-4 +$9 05-07 18:54
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -200 -$12 2¢ $-4 +$8 05-06 14:07
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -60 -$3 5¢ $-3 $0 05-06 08:12
Stripe IPO before 2027? Yes -50 -$4 5¢ $-2 +$2 05-10 11:37
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No -50 -$18 4¢ $-2 +$15 05-06 21:50