Failing-Manhunt 0x8199d2…3abb6d
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$2
Unrealized P&L
+$118
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
1,251
lifetime
Volume
$114.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$91
Open exposure
$5.75K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-29 18:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
68% 0% $-2
Other
31% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Tech
0% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -1,411 $-1,380 95¢ $-1343 +$38 06-06 11:56
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +1,242 $1,143 100¢ $1.2K +$96 06-14 08:45
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -1,000 $-935 95¢ $-948 $-12 06-13 15:27
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +801 $695 86¢ $693 $-2 06-29 12:35
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -426 $-383 92¢ $-394 $-11 06-15 16:58
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026? No -251 $-246 100¢ $-251 $-5 06-01 12:31
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026? No +200 $196 99¢ $197 +$2 06-28 20:16
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +200 $171 90¢ $181 +$10 06-25 18:30
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? No +200 $175 88¢ $176 +$1 06-28 17:16
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? No -160 $-154 95¢ $-152 +$1 06-29 18:02
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30? No -136 $-135 100¢ $-136 $-0 06-06 11:57
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +50 $15 31¢ $15 +$0 06-19 10:04
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +13 $9 86¢ $11 +$2 06-08 04:44
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? Yes -76 $-8 14¢ $-10 $-3 06-28 05:29
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-19 03:00