Failing-Manhunt 0x8199d2…3abb6d Create alert
whale 8W streak
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Realized P&L (30d)
+$349
Unrealized P&L
+$70
Hit rate
98.3%
Resolved (30d)
31
Trades (30d)
350
3,152 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$44.8K
$277.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$88
Open exposure
$13.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-13 19:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 90 days
Categories
Other
48% 76% +$875
Politics
42% 85% +$1,554
Tech
8% 100% +$67
Crypto
2% 88% +$2
Sports
0% 0% -$13
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 66 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -3,803 -$3,570 99¢ $-3778 -$208 06-06 11:56
US imports Russian diesel by November 15? No +700 $685 98¢ $683 -$2 11-13 19:41
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +700 $678 96¢ $675 -$4 11-13 02:52
next white house press secretary announced by december 31 2026 Yes +912 $671 72¢ $652 -$18 11-13 03:02
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Yes +986 $662 58¢ $577 -$85 11-13 08:11
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +577 $313 98¢ $564 +$252 11-13 09:34
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes +600 $561 92¢ $552 -$9 11-13 02:48
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +500 $492 99¢ $493 +$1 11-13 19:19
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +500 $498 98¢ $492 -$6 11-13 18:50
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? No +513 $307 96¢ $491 +$184 11-08 15:57
Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation at the end of November? Yes +483 $450 95¢ $459 +$8 11-11 10:59
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? No -424 -$390 97¢ $-411 -$22 05-04 14:12
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? No +400 $380 96¢ $385 +$6 11-12 07:46
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? No +400 $373 94¢ $377 +$5 11-13 19:41
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +400 $362 90¢ $360 -$2 11-13 02:55
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes -329 -$275 98¢ $-323 -$48 05-21 11:25
Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +330 $313 95¢ $313 $0 11-12 07:41
Will Russia invade another country by December 31, 2027? No +368 $293 82¢ $303 +$10 11-13 13:34
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? Yes +300 $293 99¢ $296 +$2 11-13 03:12
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $167 99¢ $199 +$32 11-12 07:31
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -200 -$182 98¢ $-197 -$15 05-02 18:07
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +200 $199 97¢ $193 -$5 11-13 18:50
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -176 -$162 99¢ $-173 -$12 05-04 20:57
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +400 $162 29¢ $114 -$48 11-12 15:32
Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation at the end of November? No +100 $89 95¢ $95 +$6 11-12 17:14
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? No +100 $85 94¢ $94 +$9 11-13 12:27
Will there be no government shutdown by December 31, 2027? No +100 $81 82¢ $82 +$0 11-09 04:41
Cambria listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE? No +74 $71 98¢ $72 +$1 11-10 23:48
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in December? No +50 $38 96¢ $48 +$10 11-11 10:09
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +50 $19 92¢ $46 +$26 10-16 03:43