Stale-Zephyr 0x8eb58d…6318e7
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Realized P&L
-$20
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
70.0%
Resolved
5
Trades
118
lifetime
Volume
$1.69K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$259
19 positions
First seen
2026-04-15
last 06-09 21:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
50% 60% $-20
Other
42% — —
Crypto
8% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +31 $30 99¢ $30 +$0 06-09 21:31
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +33 $30 92¢ $30 +$0 06-09 21:29
Xi Jinping out by June 30? No +30 $30 99¢ $30 $-0 06-09 21:28
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +21 $20 96¢ $20 $-0 06-08 19:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +31 $10 32¢ $10 +$0 06-08 19:38
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 06-08 19:45
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +12 $10 80¢ $10 +$0 06-08 19:41
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 $-0 06-07 21:33
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +10 $10 95¢ $10 $-0 06-09 21:27
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 $-0 06-09 21:26
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +11 $10 94¢ $10 $-0 06-07 21:38
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +11 $10 93¢ $10 $-0 06-08 19:42
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +11 $10 92¢ $10 $-0 06-07 21:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +11 $10 90¢ $10 $-0 06-09 21:32
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +10 $10 96¢ $10 $-0 06-08 19:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +12 $10 84¢ $10 $-0 06-08 19:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +14 $10 70¢ $10 $-0 06-09 21:32
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +12 $10 82¢ $10 $-0 06-08 19:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +42 $10 24¢ $10 $-0 06-09 21:34