Realized P&L
-$20
Unrealized P&L
+$11
Hit rate
70.0%
Resolved
5
Trades
138
lifetime
Volume
$1.97K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$271
9 positions
First seen
2026-04-15
last 07-10 20:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
49% 60% $-20
Other
44%
Crypto
7%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +139 $130 95¢ $132 +$2 07-10 20:06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +46 $40 84¢ $39 $-1 07-10 20:03
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +21 $20 96¢ $21 +$1 06-10 21:39
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +22 $20 92¢ $20 +$0 06-29 22:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +42 $10 36¢ $15 +$5 06-09 21:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +14 $10 92¢ $13 +$3 06-09 21:32
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +12 $10 87¢ $10 +$0 06-29 22:08
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +10 $10 97¢ $10 +$0 06-09 21:27
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +11 $10 96¢ $10 +$0 06-07 21:38