Realized P&L
-$6
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
42.3%
Resolved
2
Trades
427
lifetime
Volume
$11.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$1.22K
18 positions
First seen
2026-05-01
last 06-04 11:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
41% 50% $-6
Other
38%
Crypto
18%
Sports
3%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -326 $-270 70¢ $-230 +$41 06-04 11:20
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -252 $-218 90¢ $-225 $-8 06-04 11:05
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -131 $-122 95¢ $-125 $-3 06-04 10:48
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -109 $-92 90¢ $-97 $-5 06-04 11:06
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? No -100 $-93 95¢ $-95 $-2 06-04 11:05
Trump out as President before 2027? No -85 $-74 92¢ $-78 $-5 06-04 11:05
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? No -58 $-53 94¢ $-55 $-1 06-04 11:11
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -56 $-51 92¢ $-51 $-0 06-04 11:07
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -56 $-46 86¢ $-48 $-2 06-04 11:06
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -48 $-45 96¢ $-46 $-1 06-04 10:48
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -47 $-44 97¢ $-46 $-1 06-04 10:40
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -36 $-33 94¢ $-34 $-1 06-04 11:07
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -22 $-21 95¢ $-21 $-0 06-04 10:49
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -62 $-10 30¢ $-18 $-8 06-04 11:20
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No -19 $-16 88¢ $-17 $-1 06-04 11:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -17 $-11 99¢ $-17 $-6 06-04 11:08
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? No -12 $-11 97¢ $-11 $-0 06-04 11:05
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No -11 $-10 92¢ $-11 $-0 06-04 11:08