Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$15
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
349
lifetime
Volume
$13.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$40
Open exposure
$751
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-26
last 07-03 08:51
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
61%
Politics
32%
Sports
6%
Crypto
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +250 $232 95¢ $237 +$5 06-15 02:11
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No +100 $87 92¢ $92 +$4 06-24 11:29
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +100 $89 88¢ $88 $-0 06-29 00:22
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +100 $79 82¢ $82 +$4 07-02 15:36
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +72 $62 88¢ $63 +$1 06-26 06:50
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +60 $50 90¢ $54 +$4 06-03 13:34
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +54 $50 94¢ $51 +$1 06-07 05:31
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -200 $-30 16¢ $-31 $-1 07-02 06:18
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +30 $26 90¢ $27 +$1 06-25 04:00
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +50 $31 50¢ $25 $-6 07-02 08:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -50 $-3 $-0 +$3 06-22 00:59