Realized P&L
+$461
Unrealized P&L
+$54
Hit rate
70.5%
Resolved
184
Trades
501
lifetime
Volume
$22.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$45
Open exposure
$477
3 positions
First seen
2026-01-26
last 07-04 15:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 81 days
Categories
Other
56%
63%
+$240
Politics
28%
81%
+$99
Sports
15%
52%
+$89
Crypto
1%
50%
+$30
Tech
0%
100%
+$3
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-04).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | -470 | -$437 | 98¢ | $-460 | -$23 | 07-04 15:02 | |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | -200 | -$30 | 6¢ | $-13 | +$17 | 07-02 06:18 | |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | Yes | -100 | -$64 | 4¢ | $-4 | +$60 | 05-17 12:47 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | 10 | $1.3K | 953 | 953 | -0 | Yes | -$148 | 06-15 01:58 |
| lol t1 fox1 2026 02 15 game4 | 3 | $723 | 653 | 653 | -0 | BNK FEARX | +$331 | 02-15 11:07 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 3 | $641 | 1,250 | 1,250 | -0 | No | +$236 | 07-04 15:02 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | 6 | $579 | 408 | 408 | +0 | open | — | 07-04 15:06 |
| will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749 | 2 | $452 | 233 | 233 | +0 | No | +$8 | 03-22 08:14 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | 1 | $437 | 0 | 470 | -470 | open | — | 07-04 15:02 |
| us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31 | 8 | $434 | 400 | 400 | +0 | No | +$34 | 03-22 08:14 |
| netanyahu out by march 31 854 | 2 | $384 | 200 | 200 | +0 | No | +$11 | 03-22 08:14 |
| us forces enter iran by march 14 337 | 5 | $382 | 400 | 0 | +400 | No | +$18 | 03-14 00:52 |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026? | 3 | $370 | 200 | 200 | +0 | No | +$16 | 02-14 03:33 |
| lol t1 tl2 2026 07 01 | 2 | $368 | 400 | 0 | +400 | T1 | +$32 | 07-01 09:25 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 3 | $361 | 1,250 | 1,250 | -0 | Yes | -$44 | 07-04 15:02 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 3 | $324 | 1,250 | 1,250 | +0 | No | +$101 | 07-04 15:02 |
| lol edg omg 2026 02 11 game1 | 2 | $307 | 333 | 333 | +0 | Oh My God | +$207 | 02-10 10:11 |
| lol t1 fox1 2026 02 15 | 5 | $283 | 316 | 316 | +0 | BNK FEARX | -$163 | 02-15 11:09 |
| lol t1 fox1 2026 02 15 game2 | 8 | $265 | 417 | 417 | +0 | T1 | +$48 | 02-15 09:08 |
| Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? | 10 | $240 | 196 | 196 | -0 | No | +$8 | 07-04 15:02 |
| lol tes we 2026 02 10 | 10 | $237 | 300 | 300 | +0 | Top Esports | +$21 | 02-09 09:24 |
| lol tes we 2026 02 10 game1 | 4 | $222 | 200 | 200 | +0 | Team WE | -$10 | 02-09 06:46 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 3 | $221 | 1,250 | 1,250 | +0 | No | -$56 | 07-04 15:04 |
| military action against iran continues through march 31 2026 | 2 | $208 | 120 | 120 | +0 | Yes | +$8 | 03-22 08:14 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | 2 | $202 | 150 | 150 | +0 | Yes | +$4 | 03-22 08:15 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 4 | $193 | 1,250 | 1,250 | +0 | No | -$51 | 07-04 02:50 |
| netanyahu out by july 31 | 2 | $192 | 100 | 100 | +0 | No | +$6 | 07-04 15:06 |
| will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026 | 3 | $190 | 100 | 100 | +0 | No | -$3 | 07-04 15:02 |
| lol t1 kc 2026 06 28 | 1 | $190 | 200 | 0 | +200 | T1 | +$10 | 06-29 03:33 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | 2 | $189 | 100 | 100 | +0 | open | — | 07-04 15:07 |
| will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026 | 3 | $189 | 100 | 100 | +0 | No | +$8 | 07-04 15:06 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | 2 | $189 | 100 | 100 | +0 | open | — | 07-04 15:06 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 3 | $186 | 1,250 | 1,250 | +0 | No | -$24 | 07-04 15:04 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||