Realized P&L
-$51
Unrealized P&L
-$27
Hit rate
71.5%
Resolved
17
Trades
117
lifetime
Volume
$1.72K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$219
16 positions
First seen
2026-02-18
last 11-01 07:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Other
64% 44% -$42
Tech
11% 100% +$15
Politics
9% 50% -$16
Sports
8% 75% -$5
Crypto
4% 0% -$2
Pop-Culture
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes +40 $31 70¢ $28 -$3 10-26 09:18
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? No +35 $28 78¢ $27 -$1 09-15 08:30
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +100 $24 24¢ $24 +$0 09-24 08:17
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat? No +30 $20 58¢ $18 -$3 09-18 08:20
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? No +27 $19 63¢ $17 -$2 09-19 16:07
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? Yes +36 $25 45¢ $16 -$9 09-24 08:20
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +24 $11 56¢ $14 +$2 10-06 09:19
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No +13 $11 94¢ $12 +$1 09-30 09:01
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -15 -$12 80¢ $-12 +$1 09-23 20:34
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No +11 $10 94¢ $10 $0 09-28 08:50
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +18 -$4 46¢ $8 +$12 09-30 10:10
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? Yes +11 $9 76¢ $8 -$1 10-12 13:23
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +9 $7 82¢ $7 +$0 10-13 07:27
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +65 $24 11¢ $7 -$17 09-25 08:03
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? Yes +12 $10 56¢ $7 -$3 09-28 08:51
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $7 29¢ $3 -$4 10-07 09:17