Complete-Anchovy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$40

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

39.8%

Resolved

Trades

2,382

lifetime

Volume

$15.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-24 10:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

49% 33% $-1

Other

29% 75% $-13

Sports

17% — —

Crypto

5% 58% $-25

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	35	$314	694	591	+103	open	—	05-27 17:11
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	26	$178	140	154	-14	open	—	05-29 18:49
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	34	$146	180	180	+0	open	—	03-21 18:55
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	26	$140	165	165	+0	open	—	06-12 07:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	14	$125	198	239	-41	open	—	06-14 23:01
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	15	$125	81	76	+5	open	—	03-01 01:28
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	26	$120	110	110	+0	open	—	06-19 12:26
will iran strike cyprus in march	26	$113	93	93	+0	open	—	03-02 14:55
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	11	$100	86	86	+0	open	—	03-10 13:13
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	10	$97	147	147	+0	open	—	06-15 03:05
will israel strike gaza on february 2 2026	30	$95	113	113	+0	open	—	02-02 21:17
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	16	$87	56	56	+0	open	—	05-23 14:10
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	19	$87	58	69	-12	open	—	05-23 15:29
will israel strike gaza on february 9 2026	7	$87	58	58	+0	open	—	02-10 10:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	28	$83	156	154	+2	open	—	05-25 15:06
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	4	$82	117	117	+0	open	—	03-02 22:07
us strike on somalia by february 7 553	8	$81	44	44	+0	open	—	02-10 08:11
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	11	$80	54	54	+0	open	—	05-23 20:13
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	4	$77	51	51	+0	open	—	03-10 12:46
hezbollah strike on israel by march 31 737 523	19	$76	62	62	+0	open	—	03-01 22:49
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	12	$72	61	54	+8	open	—	06-17 17:14
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	10	$70	53	53	+0	open	—	02-28 06:47
will israel strike lebanon on february 4 2026	3	$70	50	45	+5	open	—	02-05 23:34
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	6	$64	53	53	+0	open	—	06-18 06:15
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	22	$63	52	50	+2	open	—	05-26 13:48
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	6	$60	32	32	+0	open	—	05-23 17:39
will iran strike israel on march 6	4	$59	38	38	+0	open	—	03-08 22:12
iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	6	$59	38	38	+0	open	—	06-16 23:52
will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	2	$57	61	61	+0	open	—	03-01 15:28
will israel strike gaza on february 10 2026	10	$55	57	57	+0	open	—	02-13 03:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 10:16:49	will ethereum reach 2000 in july 2026	No	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0x013f21…
07-24 10:16:48	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	16	57¢	$9	0x79ebe5…
07-24 10:16:45	anthropic vs openai higher valuation on december 31	Anthropic	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0xc27537…
07-24 10:16:42	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xfa74f4…
07-24 10:16:39	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x25ac61…
07-24 10:16:36	Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x66ecb9…
07-24 10:16:34	Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x366010…
07-24 10:16:27	trump meets with putin by december 31	No	SELL	14	69¢	$10	0x3e55b4…
07-24 10:16:24	GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0xd8f487…
07-24 10:16:22	Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xf4f60a…
07-24 10:16:18	will openais valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31 688 311	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xa7d2a9…
07-24 10:16:15	Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xbf1868…
07-24 10:16:13	Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x164b28…
07-24 10:16:10	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x53dbc6…
07-24 10:16:07	will solana reach 120 in july 2026	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x8810ba…
07-24 10:16:03	Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0xc71a28…
07-24 10:16:00	Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$5	0x1c4ffb…
07-24 10:15:57	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$5	0x814b00…
07-24 10:15:52	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	No	SELL	9	75¢	$6	0x649ff3…
07-24 10:15:49	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	14	76¢	$11	0x52e50b…
07-24 10:15:30	will solana reach 110 in july 2026	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe9b2ad…
07-24 10:15:12	will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31	No	SELL	6	87¢	$6	0x0485d1…
07-24 10:15:09	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	SELL	6	90¢	$6	0xbe22a7…
07-24 10:15:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	22	49¢	$11	0x530ad6…
07-24 10:14:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	14	76¢	$11	0x350ea1…
07-24 10:14:49	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	SELL	16	70¢	$11	0x53ac24…
07-24 10:14:24	russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	No	SELL	13	87¢	$11	0x178589…
07-24 10:14:13	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	14	46¢	$6	0x588b30…
07-21 08:14:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0x522765…
07-21 08:13:36	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0xef64fb…
07-21 07:48:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	SELL	1	54¢	$0	0x4b1398…
07-21 07:48:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0x87b5c2…
07-21 06:37:09	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	SELL	17	54¢	$9	0x3886fa…
07-15 21:10:31	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xeb7fb9…
07-15 20:41:56	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	12	79¢	$10	0x374a19…
07-13 01:44:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xc3ea08…
07-13 01:26:01	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	SELL	15	59¢	$9	0xa6b74e…
07-10 21:58:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	40	23¢	$9	0x191833…
07-10 21:53:56	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x8706b9…
07-10 20:34:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	27	35¢	$9	0x9bd37a…
07-10 18:27:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x5f5d15…
07-10 14:36:11	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x4a0226…
07-10 14:30:22	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0xbb0d4c…
07-10 13:58:49	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0x6107f0…
07-10 13:46:23	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	1	44¢	$1	0x6bf009…
07-10 13:36:41	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	1	44¢	$0	0xc25a09…
07-10 13:20:25	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	1	44¢	$0	0xc3f00d…
07-10 13:20:07	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	1	44¢	$0	0x789a7e…
07-10 13:20:01	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	1	44¢	$0	0x288e4a…
07-10 13:00:44	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	1	44¢	$0	0x2b7210…
07-09 10:38:08	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0x31ac19…
07-04 14:13:38	trump meets with putin by december 31	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x395bca…
07-02 11:18:35	will solana reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1e4d16…
07-02 10:35:04	will solana reach 110 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x29a657…
07-02 10:28:04	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	17	64¢	$11	0xac0873…
07-02 09:37:14	will ethereum reach 2000 in july 2026	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xe58854…
07-02 08:28:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	71	11¢	$8	0x0b269a…
07-01 16:20:16	Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x1915a9…
07-01 16:05:25	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xba801a…
07-01 15:34:56	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xe32924…
07-01 09:50:44	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x707d13…
07-01 09:43:22	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x8aac70…
07-01 03:35:52	Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x212ca3…
06-25 03:53:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	71	12¢	$9	0x3edb0f…
06-23 16:26:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x386771…
06-23 13:30:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	22	48¢	$10	0x1d8a56…
06-22 12:52:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xc91a92…
06-22 11:56:38	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	No	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0x7cda14…
06-22 08:08:10	starmer out by june 24 2026	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x978294…
06-20 14:01:44	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	SELL	16	23¢	$4	0x0a0f7a…
06-20 13:14:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xee3de1…
06-20 13:13:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x0a54a1…
06-20 12:12:17	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x331063…
06-19 17:50:14	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	37¢	$6	0xf5479c…
06-19 12:26:13	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x08d58c…
06-19 11:26:05	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x28f14a…
06-19 09:23:56	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x6c52ed…
06-19 07:03:55	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x48cdcf…
06-19 04:34:28	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	16	60¢	$10	0xf70f9c…
06-18 20:01:22	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x9f73ef…
06-18 19:31:13	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	25	44¢	$11	0x74cfd9…
06-18 19:23:16	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x2930e5…
06-18 19:05:16	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0x35fe7e…
06-18 18:59:40	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x2f1bdb…
06-18 06:16:38	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x48450b…
06-18 06:15:43	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	SELL	12	79¢	$10	0xf4fd89…
06-18 03:48:28	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x0a0901…
06-18 00:25:44	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x08d85e…
06-17 17:14:01	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x9075cd…
06-17 16:16:35	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xd617fb…
06-17 16:16:35	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	No	SELL	13	55¢	$7	0x9323ea…
06-17 16:05:08	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	No	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x9cc55c…
06-17 15:58:07	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	No	SELL	15	62¢	$10	0xa6bf32…
06-17 15:39:20	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xabc0bb…
06-17 15:22:37	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	No	SELL	13	59¢	$7	0xc87b7b…
06-17 14:47:55	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	SELL	14	32¢	$4	0x15cc87…
06-17 14:25:47	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x950d3a…
06-17 14:24:19	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	SELL	13	75¢	$10	0x17a6db…
06-17 14:21:44	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xba2f2b…
06-17 14:12:46	russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x36cb3a…