Realized P&L
-$20
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
43.6%
Resolved
45
Trades
1,660
lifetime
Volume
$3.81K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$47
21 positions
First seen
2026-04-14
last 06-30 12:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Other
50% 46% $-9
Politics
40% 0% $-0
Sports
8% 25% $-10
Tech
2%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 178 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No -8 $-7 100¢ $-8 $-1 05-28 09:41
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -14 $-8 55¢ $-8 +$1 06-30 12:08
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -10 $-7 59¢ $-6 +$2 06-29 01:33
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No -5 $-3 100¢ $-5 $-2 06-21 19:36
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -5 $-4 86¢ $-4 +$0 06-30 12:09
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes -10 $-3 34¢ $-3 $-0 06-30 12:07
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -3 $-3 98¢ $-3 $-0 06-05 14:04
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -2 $-2 88¢ $-2 +$0 06-10 15:59
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -2 $-2 80¢ $-1 +$1 06-30 12:08
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -20 $-1 $-1 $-0 06-30 12:07
Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government? Yes +5 $5 24¢ $1 $-3 06-30 12:07
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? Yes -1 $-1 83¢ $-1 $-0 06-30 12:09
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -19 $-1 $-1 +$0 05-28 14:50
Fed rate hike in 2026? No -1 $-1 46¢ $-1 +$0 05-28 06:39
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? No +1 $-1 37¢ $0 +$2 06-30 12:08
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30? Yes +19 $4 $0 $-4 06-10 02:57
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4? Yes +6 $1 $0 $-1 05-29 13:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -14 $0 $-0 $-0 06-26 20:39
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Yes +38 $1 $0 $-1 05-31 12:07
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes -7 $1 $-0 $-1 06-19 17:42
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +0 $-2 $0 +$2 06-09 21:42