Realized P&L
-$3
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
48.4%
Resolved
567
Trades
2,388
lifetime
Volume
$5.38K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$25
9 positions
First seen
2026-04-14
last 09-17 06:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 103 days
Categories
Other
45% 44% -$109
Politics
43% 39% +$69
Sports
9% 41% +$29
Tech
2% 67% +$23
Crypto
1% 0% -$14
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -12 -$7 79¢ $-10 -$2 05-06 05:32
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -9 -$6 82¢ $-7 -$1 05-03 06:21
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -31 -$4 12¢ $-4 +$0 06-30 12:06
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -2 -$1 68¢ $-2 $0 05-06 05:33
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? No +1 -$1 96¢ $1 +$3 06-30 12:08
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +56 $1 2¢ $1 $0 06-28 08:49
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? Yes -1 -$1 70¢ $-1 +$0 06-30 12:09
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +67 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 06-01 21:19
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +20 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 05-25 13:33