Realized P&L
-$20
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
43.6%
Resolved
45
Trades
1,159
lifetime
Volume
$2.65K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$128
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-14
last 06-10 00:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Other
50% 46% $-9
Politics
37% 0% $-0
Sports
11% 25% $-10
Tech
1%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 178 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -14 $-9 54¢ $-8 +$1 06-07 22:53
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +23 $6 29¢ $7 +$1 06-07 09:25
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No -8 $-7 76¢ $-6 +$1 05-28 09:41
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -10 $-6 62¢ $-6 $-0 06-06 15:49
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? No +8 $6 78¢ $6 +$0 06-05 14:06
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +6 $5 90¢ $5 +$0 06-03 05:33
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Yes +8 $6 60¢ $5 $-1 05-29 01:48
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? Yes +6 $4 78¢ $5 +$1 06-02 23:58
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No +5 $4 88¢ $4 +$0 06-05 14:04
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +5 $3 88¢ $4 +$1 05-28 12:27
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30? Yes +13 $5 32¢ $4 $-1 06-02 11:33
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +5 $4 90¢ $4 +$0 05-28 16:53
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? Yes +16 $4 27¢ $4 +$1 06-05 15:49
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? No +5 $3 80¢ $4 +$1 06-05 14:05
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30? Yes +19 $4 21¢ $4 $-0 06-10 02:57
New pandemic in 2026? No +4 $4 88¢ $4 $-0 06-05 14:05
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +6 $4 66¢ $4 $-0 06-02 21:28
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 75¢ $4 +$0 06-07 13:45
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? No +5 $4 74¢ $4 +$0 06-09 16:53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +5 $3 72¢ $4 +$0 06-05 14:04
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No +5 $3 71¢ $4 +$0 06-05 14:07
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +5 $4 70¢ $4 $-0 06-05 14:04
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No -5 $-3 76¢ $-3 $-1 06-08 04:17
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +5 $3 68¢ $3 $-0 06-07 05:16
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -3 $-3 96¢ $-3 $-0 06-05 14:04
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +5 $3 67¢ $3 +$0 06-06 00:22
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? No +5 $3 66¢ $3 +$0 06-08 12:01
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +5 $3 63¢ $3 +$0 06-08 12:38
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +5 $3 62¢ $3 +$0 06-05 14:06
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +5 $3 60¢ $3 $-0 06-07 21:05