Realized P&L
+$43
Unrealized P&L
-$10
Hit rate
51.7%
Resolved
247
Trades
2,292
lifetime
Volume
$4.53K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$90
19 positions
First seen
2026-03-15
last 04-28 22:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 62 days
Categories
Politics
64% 50% +$92
Other
25% 50% -$36
Sports
7% 47% $0
Tech
2% 40% -$10
Crypto
1% 67% -$3
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-04-28).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -18 -$11 86¢ $-16 -$5 04-28 22:24
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -15 -$13 97¢ $-15 -$2 04-28 22:30
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -11 -$7 82¢ $-9 -$2 04-28 22:31
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes -8 -$6 96¢ $-7 -$1 04-28 22:31
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -8 -$6 94¢ $-7 -$1 04-28 22:29
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -8 -$5 82¢ $-7 -$2 04-28 22:32
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -6 -$5 96¢ $-6 -$1 04-28 22:29
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -6 -$5 94¢ $-5 -$1 04-28 22:32
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -5 -$5 98¢ $-5 -$1 04-28 22:32
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No -5 -$4 97¢ $-5 -$1 04-28 22:29
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -4 -$2 78¢ $-3 -$1 04-28 22:25
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No -2 -$2 98¢ $-2 $0 04-28 22:33
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -13 -$5 15¢ $-2 +$3 04-28 22:29
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -7 -$2 10¢ $-1 +$2 04-28 22:32
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? Yes -4 -$2 10¢ $-0 +$2 04-28 22:32
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No -0 $0 97¢ $-0 $0 04-28 22:29
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -0 $0 39¢ $-0 $0 04-28 22:27
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -0 $0 78¢ $-0 $0 04-28 22:27
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -0 $0 86¢ $-0 $0 04-28 22:27