Sleepy-Remote 0xc413e0…152ca4 Create alert
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Realized P&L (90d)
+$3
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
84.1%
Resolved (90d)
109
Trades (90d)
86
2,552 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$29
$5.26K lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$30
17 positions
First seen
2026-03-20
last 10-28 15:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 68 days
Categories
Politics
98% 91% +$0
Other
1% 3% -$5
Crypto
0% 100% +$3
Sports
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -17 -$16 98¢ $-16 -$1 05-10 13:26
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -3 -$3 97¢ $-3 $0 08-01 06:43
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -2 -$2 98¢ $-2 $0 08-12 11:33
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 06-09 07:54
X banned in any European country by December 31? No -1 -$1 89¢ $-1 $0 08-01 06:55
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $3 24¢ $1 -$2 05-14 19:40
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 08-12 11:34
NATO article 5 before 2027? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 09-25 09:03
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? No -1 -$1 94¢ $-1 $0 05-03 09:49
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 09-25 09:04
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 05-31 10:47
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? Yes +5 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 08-29 18:56
Will Carson Benge win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? Yes +10 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 07-28 03:43
Will Corey Seager win the 2026 American League MVP Award? Yes +5 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 07-17 04:42
Will Cal Raleigh win the 2026 American League MVP Award? Yes +6 $0 0¢ $0 $0 06-24 06:52
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +5 $0 0¢ $0 $0 05-10 22:09
Will Michael Harris II win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award? Yes +5 $0 0¢ $0 $0 10-28 15:34