Emotional-Marsh — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$28

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.9%

Resolved

230

Trades

6,932

lifetime

Volume

$13.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-12 10:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 59% +$28

Other

9% 100% +$0

Politics

0% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down february 20 3pm et	11	$101	52	52	+0	open	—	02-20 22:44
btc updown 5m 1771608000	15	$99	74	48	+26	open	—	02-20 17:24
btc updown 5m 1771599900	15	$83	79	18	+61	open	—	02-20 15:10
btc updown 5m 1771594800	11	$82	84	0	+84	open	—	02-20 13:44
bitcoin up or down february 25 2pm et	5	$80	42	42	+0	open	—	02-25 20:12
lol kc g2 2026 02 20 game2	18	$77	62	20	+43	open	—	02-20 19:39
btc updown 15m 1771601400	15	$76	79	0	+79	open	—	02-20 15:42
bitcoin up or down february 25 1pm et	7	$69	38	34	+5	open	—	02-25 19:35
btc updown 5m 1771593300	9	$67	70	0	+70	open	—	02-20 13:19
btc updown 5m 1771607700	11	$64	44	28	+15	open	—	02-20 17:19
btc updown 5m 1771592100	9	$61	63	0	+63	open	—	02-20 12:59
bitcoin up or down february 20 1pm et	8	$61	31	31	+0	open	—	02-20 19:50
btc updown 5m 1771586700	14	$58	59	0	+59	open	—	02-20 11:29
btc updown 5m 1771606200	12	$57	58	0	+58	open	—	02-20 16:54
btc updown 5m 1771602600	7	$56	57	0	+57	open	—	02-20 15:54
btc updown 5m 1771591200	11	$55	56	0	+56	open	—	02-20 12:44
btc updown 15m 1771619400	10	$54	57	0	+57	open	—	02-20 20:41
btc updown 5m 1771600500	10	$53	55	0	+55	open	—	02-20 15:19
btc updown 5m 1771606800	13	$53	55	0	+55	open	—	02-20 17:04
btc updown 15m 1771797600	22	$53	57	0	+57	open	—	02-22 22:11
btc updown 5m 1771580700	10	$49	50	0	+50	open	—	02-20 09:49
btc updown 15m 1773169200	34	$48	43	41	+3	open	—	03-10 19:14
btc updown 5m 1771593900	10	$46	48	0	+48	open	—	02-20 13:28
btc updown 5m 1771618500	7	$46	48	0	+48	open	—	02-20 20:18
btc updown 5m 1771605000	8	$46	49	0	+49	open	—	02-20 16:34
btc updown 5m 1771602900	8	$46	47	0	+47	open	—	02-20 15:58
btc updown 5m 1771589400	6	$45	46	0	+46	open	—	02-20 12:14
btc updown 5m 1771596600	8	$45	46	0	+46	open	—	02-20 14:13
btc updown 5m 1771538700	10	$45	48	0	+48	open	—	02-19 22:09
btc updown 15m 1771542000	13	$45	46	0	+46	open	—	02-19 23:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 10:26:43	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x6c3c10…
05-12 10:26:34	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in May?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x982379…
05-12 10:23:39	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in May?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x207ba8…
05-12 10:23:11	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$1	0xbc022d…
05-12 10:16:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa15b04…
05-12 10:16:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xfba5f6…
05-11 23:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x12dac6…
05-11 23:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xd6009c…
05-11 21:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xebf834…
05-11 21:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x5ace2c…
05-11 21:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x4da0c0…
05-11 21:27:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xcf0c9b…
05-11 21:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x986b40…
05-11 21:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe4bdf8…
05-11 19:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x229d35…
05-11 19:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x5f5286…
05-11 17:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe372d5…
05-11 17:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x68d078…
05-11 17:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x0381b9…
05-11 17:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf2dc34…
05-11 16:46:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xd90626…
05-11 16:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x0216e1…
05-11 16:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xb92575…
05-11 16:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x3042eb…
05-11 16:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x5a0cfc…
05-11 16:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x633148…
05-11 15:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7dc0be…
05-11 15:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x7eff1e…
05-11 15:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x5bd194…
05-11 15:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xfe55aa…
05-11 14:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x872db0…
05-11 14:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x42b326…
05-11 14:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x8fd34d…
05-11 13:25:10	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xcb73ec…
05-11 13:20:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x0d5b6f…
05-11 13:20:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x58f170…
05-11 12:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xa2035f…
05-11 12:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x5c2a3b…
05-11 10:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x30c7d9…
05-11 10:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xc08146…
05-11 10:19:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x30e609…
05-11 10:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x168e52…
05-11 09:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xd84294…
05-10 23:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xefbccf…
05-10 22:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xed96da…
05-10 22:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x12ca19…
05-10 22:33:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x4ec4d5…
05-10 22:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x039c24…
05-10 22:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc09148…
05-10 22:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x607823…
05-10 22:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x5a645d…
05-10 20:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x6457b2…
05-10 20:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xfbb802…
05-10 20:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xd7206f…
05-10 20:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x2704ba…
05-10 20:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x065af9…
05-10 20:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x60c000…
05-10 17:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x076500…
05-10 16:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x343aa1…
05-10 15:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x3adeb8…
05-10 15:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x36c5c2…
05-10 15:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xa6130a…
05-10 15:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x358e8e…
05-10 15:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xb6d29a…
05-10 15:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x727df1…
05-10 15:07:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xa62399…
05-10 15:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x545f09…
05-10 14:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xaa1732…
05-10 14:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x35f75f…
05-10 13:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x6a458c…
05-10 12:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x6002bc…
05-10 12:34:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x4f5320…
05-10 11:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x770f7e…
05-10 11:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x782cdc…
05-10 11:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x9dc8db…
05-10 10:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x350afb…
05-10 10:45:23	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in May?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x68a769…
05-10 10:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xabce1f…
05-10 10:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x64df35…
05-09 23:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x0eb63b…
05-09 23:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	55¢	$0	0x48eaf7…
05-09 23:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x772d0c…
05-09 23:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6d5daa…
05-09 23:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x84600d…
05-09 20:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd64827…
05-09 20:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x929b28…
05-09 18:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x3c9ebc…
05-09 18:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa87b3c…
05-09 18:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8e6dab…
05-09 17:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0x310f8f…
05-09 17:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x0c8098…
05-09 17:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x444a6f…
05-09 17:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x046837…
05-09 17:36:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x1befb8…
05-09 17:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x43ffbb…
05-09 17:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x032827…
05-09 16:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x4551c3…
05-09 16:24:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x72f86d…
05-09 16:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x7f0b2d…
05-09 15:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xea3bdf…