Realized P&L
-$2.29K
Unrealized P&L
-$23
Hit rate
47.1%
Resolved
839
Trades
4,998
lifetime
Volume
$21.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$23
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-17
last 09-15 09:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 53 days
Categories
Crypto
87% 41% -$306
Politics
9% 45% -$1,948
Other
3% 46% +$1
Tech
1% 67% -$35
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $2 30¢ $3 +$1 07-08 07:05
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328 Yes +2 $1 78¢ $2 +$1 06-29 17:30
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 05-14 20:50
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 06-23 23:27
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-30 23:42
will bitcoin reach 95000 by december 31 2026 from june 8 Yes +6 $1 18¢ $1 +$0 07-01 03:02
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +8 $1 12¢ $1 $0 07-01 03:02
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? Yes +8 $5 12¢ $1 -$4 08-06 08:18
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $1 8¢ $1 $0 08-04 03:13
will ethereum reach 3000 by december 31 2026 from june 8 Yes +5 $1 18¢ $1 $0 07-22 18:45
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +5 $1 18¢ $1 $0 07-01 05:15
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Yes +1 $1 66¢ $1 $0 07-01 01:43
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +12 $1 7¢ $1 $0 07-01 03:02
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +14 $1 6¢ $1 $0 07-01 03:02
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +24 $6 3¢ $1 -$5 09-15 09:56
Will Solana reach $240 by December 31, 2026? Yes +25 $1 3¢ $1 $0 08-04 03:13
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +4 $1 16¢ $1 $0 05-13 20:45
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $4 10¢ $1 -$3 07-22 18:47
Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026? Yes +17 $1 4¢ $1 $0 08-04 03:15
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +17 $1 3¢ $1 $0 07-01 03:03
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $2 14¢ $0 -$2 07-22 18:44
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +17 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 07-01 03:12
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $3 8¢ $0 -$3 07-08 07:16
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +2 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 07-01 05:15
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +4 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 05-13 20:17
US strike on Mexico by December 31? Yes +5 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 07-01 05:14
will ethereum dip to 1250 by december 31 2026 from june 8 Yes +2 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 07-01 01:40
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 07-01 03:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $1 5¢ $0 -$1 07-01 01:41
will solana dip to 50 by december 31 2026 from june 8 Yes +2 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 07-01 01:40