Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2AM ET
Up won
Total volume
$15,500
Trades
1,310
Unique wallets
225
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-10-11
First seen
2026-10-09
last 10-11 07:12
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+2.2¢
(top1%: 73% YES on $7.0K
vs crowd: 71% YES on $12.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 42 | $4.8K | $1.9K | +$2.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 67 | $2.8K | $559 | +$2.2K |
| 🐟 Fish | 75 | $1.3K | $1.2K | +$127 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 41 | $143 | $104 | +$39 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 51 | $5.1K | $1.9K | +$3.2K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 41 | $1.5K | $320 | +$1.2K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 19 | $350 | $87 | +$264 |
| Median | 12 | $72 | $31 | +$41 |
| Below median | 41 | $465 | $225 | +$240 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 20 | $610 | $85 | +$525 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 26 | $617 | $786 | $169 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 15 | $308 | $319 | $11 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x1404…de47 | Up | +834 | $583 | $583 | 15 | 10-11 06:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x1404…de47 | Down | +761 | $211 | $211 | 20 | 10-11 06:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x058b…2e1f | Down | +665 | $627 | $629 | 16 | 10-11 06:56 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | +654 | $322 | $322 | 25 | 10-11 06:23 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | +618 | $409 | $409 | 16 | 10-11 06:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x191f…4a8d | Down | +543 | $187 | $187 | 48 | 10-11 06:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xdc3f…4fa0 | Up | +516 | $295 | $295 | 29 | 10-11 06:30 |
| Appropriate-Banner 0x160d…6f25 | Down | +462 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 10-11 06:46 |
| Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | +400 | $116 | $116 | 30 | 10-11 06:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Down | +382 | $132 | $132 | 24 | 10-11 06:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x5b4f…620a | Up | +380 | $194 | $194 | 6 | 10-11 05:58 |
| Peppery-Digging 0x2ed9…f271 | Down | +371 | $179 | $179 | 11 | 10-11 06:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Up | +364 | $226 | $226 | 23 | 10-11 06:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xdc3f…4fa0 | Down | +356 | $169 | $169 | 18 | 10-11 06:30 |
| Impolite-Sister 0xc2ad…40ed | Up | +335 | $235 | $235 | 7 | 10-11 06:38 |
| Rural-Wharf-Parable 0x3725…ad88 | Up | +319 | $203 | $203 | 5 | 10-11 06:38 |
| Kindhearted-Strap 0x79cb…331e | Down | +313 | $2 | $2 | 11 | 10-11 06:57 |
| Peppery-Digging 0x2ed9…f271 | Up | +288 | $161 | $161 | 12 | 10-11 06:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x32ed…8ec3 | Up | +269 | $186 | $186 | 4 | 10-11 06:38 |
| Ruddy-Prize 0x623f…53bc | Down | +250 | $23 | $23 | 11 | 10-11 06:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x5fc7…cde4 | Up | +240 | $235 | $235 | 1 | 10-11 06:46 |
| Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | +238 | $172 | $172 | 8 | 10-11 06:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xc545…64c5 | Up | +225 | $214 | $268 | 6 | 10-11 06:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xd1e0…1ab7 | Down | +219 | $2 | $2 | 8 | 10-11 06:54 |
| Incompatible-Coincidence 0x8f15…0d75 | Up | +215 | $129 | $129 | 11 | 10-11 06:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x96df…baed | Up | +208 | $155 | $155 | 9 | 10-11 06:37 |
| Tame-Crude 0xd825…a76e | Up | +200 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 10-11 06:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x1774…94bf | Down | +200 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 10-11 06:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x8cc8…f1b3 | Down | +200 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 10-11 06:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x9aa6…183f | Down | +200 | $2 | $2 | 6 | 10-11 06:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xd245…356a | Down | +197 | $79 | $79 | 5 | 10-11 06:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x71f5…966e | Up | +195 | $116 | $116 | 34 | 10-11 06:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x9b8c…5c7b | Down | +192 | $95 | $95 | 5 | 10-11 06:30 |
| Incompatible-Coincidence 0x8f15…0d75 | Down | +192 | $53 | $53 | 12 | 10-11 06:46 |
| Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Down | +183 | $57 | $57 | 6 | 10-11 06:37 |
| Occasional-Pressurization 0x5a78…4ae1 | Down | +170 | $77 | $77 | 16 | 10-11 06:29 |
| Quick-Merchandise 0x7a21…192a | Down | +167 | $50 | $50 | 6 | 10-11 06:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x71f5…966e | Down | +160 | $55 | $55 | 16 | 10-11 06:42 |
| Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Up | +156 | $115 | $115 | 4 | 10-11 06:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x6c30…ba88 | Up | +152 | $146 | $146 | 1 | 10-11 06:45 |
| Scared-Puffin 0x456b…38d3 | Up | +150 | $148 | $148 | 5 | 10-11 06:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x9b8c…5c7b | Up | +141 | $90 | $90 | 3 | 10-11 06:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x43e7…472a | Up | +140 | $82 | $82 | 17 | 10-11 06:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x191f…4a8d | Up | +140 | $62 | $62 | 13 | 10-11 06:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x4b8c…4d31 | Down | +131 | $38 | $38 | 29 | 10-11 06:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x43e7…472a | Down | +131 | $56 | $56 | 18 | 10-11 06:39 |
| Naive-Muffin 0xd65d…2fcb | Up | +126 | $125 | $125 | 1 | 10-11 06:50 |
| Impolite-Sister 0xc2ad…40ed | Down | +117 | $33 | $33 | 8 | 10-11 06:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x4b8c…4d31 | Up | +110 | $62 | $62 | 25 | 10-11 06:39 |
| Rural-Wharf-Parable 0x3725…ad88 | Down | +109 | $49 | $49 | 2 | 10-11 06:07 |
| Elastic-Condition 0xb452…db61 | Up | +105 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 10-11 06:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x2367…71a1 | Up | +105 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 10-11 06:43 |
| Vigorous-Cargo 0xd535…9fae | Up | +105 | $49 | $49 | 11 | 10-11 06:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x24ce…da46 | Down | +103 | $52 | $52 | 3 | 10-11 06:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x9858…0173 | Up | +100 | $48 | $48 | 2 | 10-11 06:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x1a51…e2c3 | Up | +100 | $99 | $99 | 2 | 10-11 06:54 |
| Bad-Shakedown 0xea28…3a0b | Down | +100 | $1 | $31 | 3 | 10-11 06:53 |
| Remote-Activist 0x2ed2…7b9f | Down | +100 | $53 | $53 | 7 | 10-11 06:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x6c8b…ec48 | Up | +98 | $98 | $98 | 4 | 10-11 07:01 |
| Enchanting-Donor 0xe357…b709 | Down | +94 | $35 | $35 | 15 | 10-11 06:41 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 07:12:38 | (anonymous) 0xaf72…18c7 | Up | SELL | 101 | 100¢ | $101 | 0x0855ba… |
| 10-11 07:12:38 | Striped-Alder 0x8345…dd93 | Up | BUY | 67 | 100¢ | $67 | 0x0855ba… |
| 10-11 07:12:38 | (anonymous) 0x613a…f3c1 | Down | SELL | 34 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0855ba… |
| 10-11 07:11:08 | (anonymous) 0x613a…f3c1 | Down | SELL | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe4f058… |
| 10-11 07:11:08 | Negligible-Detector 0x2214…cf41 | Up | SELL | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0xe4f058… |
| 10-11 07:01:32 | (anonymous) 0x1a0a…f528 | Up | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x1f15ec… |
| 10-11 07:01:32 | (anonymous) 0x6c8b…ec48 | Up | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x1f15ec… |
| 10-11 07:00:06 | Likely-Server 0xdf0f…1879 | Up | SELL | 34 | 100¢ | $34 | 0x73808b… |
| 10-11 07:00:06 | (anonymous) 0x6c8b…ec48 | Up | BUY | 34 | 100¢ | $34 | 0x73808b… |
| 10-11 07:00:00 | (anonymous) 0x6c8b…ec48 | Up | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xb4ee14… |
| 10-11 07:00:00 | (anonymous) 0x418c…89ea | Up | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xb4ee14… |
| 10-11 06:57:06 | Kindhearted-Strap 0x79cb…331e | Down | BUY | 52 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x64a983… |
| 10-11 06:57:06 | (anonymous) 0x6c8b…ec48 | Up | BUY | 52 | 100¢ | $52 | 0x64a983… |
| 10-11 06:56:06 | Striped-Alder 0x8345…dd93 | Up | SELL | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x8dbd92… |
| 10-11 06:56:06 | (anonymous) 0x058b…2e1f | Down | SELL | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8dbd92… |
| 10-11 06:55:54 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Down | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xad3fa5… |
| 10-11 06:55:54 | Whopping-Anesthesiology 0xaad0…f61d | Up | SELL | 417 | 100¢ | $416 | 0xad3fa5… |
| 10-11 06:55:54 | Kindhearted-Strap 0x79cb…331e | Down | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xad3fa5… |
| 10-11 06:55:54 | (anonymous) 0x058b…2e1f | Down | SELL | 632 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xad3fa5… |
| 10-11 06:55:54 | Striped-Alder 0x8345…dd93 | Up | SELL | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xad3fa5… |
| 10-11 06:55:54 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Down | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xad3fa5… |
| 10-11 06:55:18 | (anonymous) 0xe6ba…b8ce | Up | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x5ef170… |
| 10-11 06:55:18 | Striped-Alder 0x8345…dd93 | Up | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x5ef170… |
| 10-11 06:55:14 | Striped-Alder 0x8345…dd93 | Up | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xdd5ade… |
| 10-11 06:55:14 | (anonymous) 0xe6ba…b8ce | Up | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xdd5ade… |
| 10-11 06:55:08 | (anonymous) 0xe6ba…b8ce | Up | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xb27563… |
| 10-11 06:55:08 | (anonymous) 0x2758…c11a | Up | SELL | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xd7399e… |
| 10-11 06:55:08 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Up | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xd7399e… |
| 10-11 06:55:08 | (anonymous) 0x335a…a494 | Up | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xb27563… |
| 10-11 06:55:05 | (anonymous) 0xe6ba…b8ce | Up | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xbfa6ed… |
| 10-11 06:55:05 | Whopping-Anesthesiology 0xaad0…f61d | Up | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xbfa6ed… |
| 10-11 06:55:03 | Whopping-Anesthesiology 0xaad0…f61d | Up | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x14eb29… |
| 10-11 06:55:03 | (anonymous) 0xe6ba…b8ce | Up | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x14eb29… |
| 10-11 06:55:02 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Down | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7557f6… |
| 10-11 06:55:02 | (anonymous) 0x6ed5…3028 | Up | BUY | 70 | 99¢ | $69 | 0x7557f6… |
| 10-11 06:55:02 | (anonymous) 0x4286…6dba | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7557f6… |
| 10-11 06:55:02 | Snappy-Intervenor 0x2bc0…7871 | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7557f6… |
| 10-11 06:55:02 | (anonymous) 0x4b8c…4d31 | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7557f6… |
| 10-11 06:54:50 | Snappy-Intervenor 0x2bc0…7871 | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x6b1fd2… |
| 10-11 06:54:50 | Hideous-Sleepiness 0x6f19…57f4 | Up | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x6b1fd2… |
| 10-11 06:54:50 | (anonymous) 0x1404…de47 | Up | BUY | 17 | 98¢ | $16 | 0x6b1fd2… |
| 10-11 06:54:50 | (anonymous) 0x43f8…45dc | Up | SELL | 42 | 98¢ | $41 | 0x6b1fd2… |
| 10-11 06:54:36 | (anonymous) 0x1a51…e2c3 | Up | BUY | 99 | 99¢ | $98 | 0xd33f19… |
| 10-11 06:54:36 | Whopping-Anesthesiology 0xaad0…f61d | Up | SELL | 99 | 99¢ | $98 | 0xd33f19… |
| 10-11 06:54:26 | (anonymous) 0x1a51…e2c3 | Up | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x5e1aad… |
| 10-11 06:54:26 | (anonymous) 0x6ed5…3028 | Up | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x5e1aad… |
| 10-11 06:54:06 | (anonymous) 0xd1e0…1ab7 | Down | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x53cd30… |
| 10-11 06:54:06 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Up | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x53cd30… |
| 10-11 06:54:06 | (anonymous) 0x1774…94bf | Down | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x936250… |
| 10-11 06:54:06 | Whopping-Anesthesiology 0xaad0…f61d | Up | BUY | 80 | 99¢ | $79 | 0x53cd30… |
| 10-11 06:54:06 | Whopping-Anesthesiology 0xaad0…f61d | Up | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x936250… |
| 10-11 06:53:41 | Tan-Consist 0xb0bc…a769 | Up | BUY | 61 | 100¢ | $61 | 0xc07db0… |
| 10-11 06:53:41 | Kindhearted-Strap 0x79cb…331e | Down | BUY | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc07db0… |
| 10-11 06:53:41 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Down | BUY | 21 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc07db0… |
| 10-11 06:53:15 | Whopping-Anesthesiology 0xaad0…f61d | Up | BUY | 266 | 99¢ | $264 | 0xfd1bb4… |
| 10-11 06:53:15 | (anonymous) 0x1774…94bf | Down | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xfd1bb4… |
| 10-11 06:53:15 | Bad-Shakedown 0xea28…3a0b | Down | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xfd1bb4… |
| 10-11 06:53:15 | (anonymous) 0xd1e0…1ab7 | Down | BUY | 66 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xfd1bb4… |
| 10-11 06:53:12 | Arid-Province 0x3de6…e560 | Down | SELL | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x44101c… |
| 10-11 06:53:12 | (anonymous) 0xd1e0…1ab7 | Down | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x44101c… |
| 10-11 06:53:09 | Extra-Large-Boolean 0x9072…b184 | Down | BUY | 59 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x2df8c1… |
| 10-11 06:53:09 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 59 | 98¢ | $58 | 0x2df8c1… |
| 10-11 06:53:03 | Tasty-Camel 0x6d51…36b3 | Up | BUY | 26 | 99¢ | $25 | 0x1fcdb5… |
| 10-11 06:53:03 | Minty-Bikini 0x2c09…2ad4 | Up | SELL | 105 | 99¢ | $104 | 0x674fe2… |
| 10-11 06:53:03 | (anonymous) 0xd1e0…1ab7 | Down | BUY | 26 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1fcdb5… |
| 10-11 06:53:03 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 45 | 98¢ | $44 | 0x674fe2… |
| 10-11 06:53:03 | (anonymous) 0x87e7…2835 | Up | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x674fe2… |
| 10-11 06:52:54 | Striped-Alder 0x8345…dd93 | Up | BUY | 80 | 99¢ | $79 | 0xb68394… |
| 10-11 06:52:54 | (anonymous) 0x335a…a494 | Up | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xb68394… |
| 10-11 06:52:54 | (anonymous) 0x87e7…2835 | Up | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xb68394… |
| 10-11 06:52:54 | (anonymous) 0x6ed5…3028 | Up | SELL | 120 | 99¢ | $119 | 0xb68394… |
| 10-11 06:52:47 | Extra-Large-Boolean 0x9072…b184 | Up | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xf0ec91… |
| 10-11 06:52:47 | Striped-Alder 0x8345…dd93 | Up | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xf0ec91… |
| 10-11 06:51:48 | (anonymous) 0x335a…a494 | Up | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x798b90… |
| 10-11 06:51:48 | Striped-Alder 0x8345…dd93 | Up | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x798b90… |
| 10-11 06:51:41 | (anonymous) 0x8b06…8d91 | Up | SELL | 36 | 99¢ | $36 | 0x8c6c0f… |
| 10-11 06:51:41 | Proud-Linguistics 0xe858…ef1c | Up | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x8c6c0f… |
| 10-11 06:51:41 | Scared-Puffin 0x456b…38d3 | Up | BUY | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0x8c6c0f… |
| 10-11 06:51:35 | Kindhearted-Strap 0x79cb…331e | Down | BUY | 11 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4bcd01… |
| 10-11 06:51:35 | (anonymous) 0xaf46…c2b9 | Up | SELL | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x4bcd01… |
| 10-11 06:51:35 | Scared-Puffin 0x456b…38d3 | Up | BUY | 25 | 99¢ | $24 | 0x4bcd01… |
| 10-11 06:51:35 | (anonymous) 0xaf46…c2b9 | Up | SELL | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0xfaba80… |
| 10-11 06:51:35 | Scared-Puffin 0x456b…38d3 | Up | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0xfaba80… |
| 10-11 06:51:35 | (anonymous) 0x4286…6dba | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4bcd01… |
| 10-11 06:51:30 | (anonymous) 0xefa2…f541 | Up | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xbdb170… |
| 10-11 06:51:30 | (anonymous) 0x80d6…4071 | Down | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbdb170… |
| 10-11 06:51:30 | (anonymous) 0xaf46…c2b9 | Up | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xbdb170… |
| 10-11 06:51:05 | (anonymous) 0xefa2…f541 | Up | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x666064… |
| 10-11 06:51:05 | Beautiful-Factory 0x7716…8f4c | Up | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x666064… |
| 10-11 06:50:59 | (anonymous) 0x457b…033e | Down | SELL | 18 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x609dc7… |
| 10-11 06:50:59 | (anonymous) 0xefa2…f541 | Up | SELL | 18 | 99¢ | $18 | 0x609dc7… |
| 10-11 06:50:50 | (anonymous) 0xefa2…f541 | Up | SELL | 19 | 99¢ | $19 | 0x828e86… |
| 10-11 06:50:50 | (anonymous) 0xd269…52be | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x828e86… |
| 10-11 06:50:50 | (anonymous) 0x1736…efeb | Up | BUY | 47 | 99¢ | $47 | 0x828e86… |
| 10-11 06:50:50 | (anonymous) 0x9aa6…183f | Down | BUY | 23 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x828e86… |
| 10-11 06:50:44 | Lone-Boon 0x4c04…7dca | Up | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xa3e7e0… |
| 10-11 06:50:44 | Kindhearted-Strap 0x79cb…331e | Down | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa3e7e0… |
| 10-11 06:50:21 | (anonymous) 0x9aa6…183f | Down | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb6bcd3… |
| 10-11 06:50:21 | (anonymous) 0xa19c…c2b8 | Up | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xb6bcd3… |
| 10-11 06:50:03 | (anonymous) 0x9aa6…183f | Down | BUY | 126 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x2cda37… |