Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 16 be less than 80?
closed
Total volume
$598
Trades
68
Unique wallets
27
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-05-01
First seen
2026-04-24
last 04-28 00:44
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.1¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $113
vs crowd: 1% YES on $591)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $1 | $192 | $191 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $1 | $371 | $369 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $3 | $16 | $13 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 12 | $1 | $6 | $5 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $113 | $113 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $2 | $22 | $19 |
| Median | 8 | $0 | $6 | $6 |
| Below median | 4 | $1 | $11 | $10 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $1 | $288 | $287 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $0 | $99 | $99 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $46 | $46 |
| unranked | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simple-Attack 0x43f7…35e5 | No | +291 | $288 | $288 | 1 | 04-25 20:04 |
| Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | +114 | $113 | $113 | 3 | 04-26 02:16 |
| Misguided-Click 0x4b81…f9b6 | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 04-25 20:04 |
| Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | +98 | $1 | $1 | 4 | 04-28 00:43 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +91 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-25 20:04 |
| Valuable-Bus 0xa67d…c6f9 | Yes | +84 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 04-26 02:16 |
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +77 | $76 | $76 | 4 | 04-26 02:16 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +76 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 04-24 23:00 |
| Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | +60 | $-0 | $2 | 13 | 04-28 00:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x5aec…904b | No | +46 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 04-24 23:00 |
| Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | Yes | +45 | $1 | $1 | 5 | 04-26 17:57 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +23 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 04-26 02:16 |
| Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 04-26 02:16 |
| Motionless-Stalk 0xe347…b438 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 04-26 02:16 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | +7 | $6 | $7 | 2 | 04-28 00:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xab12…3a2d | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-26 02:16 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-26 02:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x6678…144d | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-26 02:16 |
| Grandiose-Layer 0x26aa…9d4d | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-26 02:16 |
| Rotten-Venti 0xa027…350b | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-26 02:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xcc26…2f27 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 5 | 04-28 00:26 |
| Rowdy-Position 0x3a59…c2b6 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-25 00:35 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-28 00:44:02 | Soupy-Granny 0x9b2f…3ddd | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xba19db… |
| 04-28 00:44:02 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xba19db… |
| 04-28 00:44:00 | Severe-Raiment 0xcbaa…4ea3 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xe034fd… |
| 04-28 00:44:00 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe034fd… |
| 04-28 00:43:58 | Warlike-Wholesaler 0xe9a4…d04e | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x268c49… |
| 04-28 00:43:58 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe5f783… |
| 04-28 00:43:58 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x5cc4dc… |
| 04-28 00:43:58 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x268c49… |
| 04-28 00:43:58 | Well-Worn-Cashier 0xd9c4…4e2f | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xe5f783… |
| 04-28 00:43:58 | Authentic-Retrospective 0x1aac…80a0 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x5cc4dc… |
| 04-28 00:26:52 | (anonymous) 0xcc26…2f27 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa1ff2f… |
| 04-28 00:26:52 | Soupy-Granny 0x9b2f…3ddd | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xa1ff2f… |
| 04-28 00:26:52 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xa1ff2f… |
| 04-28 00:26:50 | Well-Worn-Cashier 0xd9c4…4e2f | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x9ee2ed… |
| 04-28 00:26:50 | (anonymous) 0xcc26…2f27 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9ee2ed… |
| 04-28 00:26:48 | (anonymous) 0xcc26…2f27 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x755c1a… |
| 04-28 00:26:48 | Warlike-Wholesaler 0xe9a4…d04e | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x8bed43… |
| 04-28 00:26:48 | Authentic-Retrospective 0x1aac…80a0 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x755c1a… |
| 04-28 00:26:48 | Severe-Raiment 0xcbaa…4ea3 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x9fd20f… |
| 04-28 00:26:48 | (anonymous) 0xcc26…2f27 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8bed43… |
| 04-28 00:26:48 | (anonymous) 0xcc26…2f27 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9fd20f… |
| 04-26 17:57:40 | Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x6a7df0… |
| 04-26 17:57:40 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x6a7df0… |
| 04-26 17:55:50 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x88e828… |
| 04-26 17:55:50 | Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x88e828… |
| 04-26 17:54:24 | Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x82efb0… |
| 04-26 17:54:24 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x82efb0… |
| 04-26 17:44:20 | Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x6cc465… |
| 04-26 17:44:20 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x6cc465… |
| 04-26 17:43:56 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x1a2af0… |
| 04-26 17:43:56 | Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x1a2af0… |
| 04-26 02:16:50 | Valuable-Bus 0xa67d…c6f9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xff1da8… |
| 04-26 02:16:50 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0xff1da8… |
| 04-26 02:16:40 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 23 | 99¢ | $23 | 0x63c5f5… |
| 04-26 02:16:40 | Valuable-Bus 0xa67d…c6f9 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x63c5f5… |
| 04-26 02:16:38 | (anonymous) 0x6678…144d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd28c10… |
| 04-26 02:16:38 | Rotten-Venti 0xa027…350b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd28c10… |
| 04-26 02:16:38 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x34c49c… |
| 04-26 02:16:38 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7d4bc9… |
| 04-26 02:16:38 | (anonymous) 0xab12…3a2d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd28c10… |
| 04-26 02:16:38 | Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | No | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x7d4bc9… |
| 04-26 02:16:38 | Motionless-Stalk 0xe347…b438 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xbdb291… |
| 04-26 02:16:38 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 54 | 99¢ | $54 | 0xd28c10… |
| 04-26 02:16:38 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd28c10… |
| 04-26 02:16:38 | Valuable-Bus 0xa67d…c6f9 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x34c49c… |
| 04-26 02:16:38 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd28c10… |
| 04-26 02:16:38 | Grandiose-Layer 0x26aa…9d4d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd28c10… |
| 04-26 02:16:38 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbdb291… |
| 04-26 00:05:24 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0xf8e043… |
| 04-26 00:05:24 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf8e043… |
| 04-26 00:05:18 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfadb0c… |
| 04-26 00:05:18 | Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | No | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xfadb0c… |
| 04-26 00:05:12 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7a2e61… |
| 04-26 00:05:12 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x7a2e61… |
| 04-25 23:12:12 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x630516… |
| 04-25 23:12:12 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x630516… |
| 04-25 20:04:28 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 101 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x73d7f3… |
| 04-25 20:04:28 | Simple-Attack 0x43f7…35e5 | No | BUY | 291 | 99¢ | $288 | 0x73d7f3… |
| 04-25 20:04:28 | Misguided-Click 0x4b81…f9b6 | Yes | BUY | 99 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x73d7f3… |
| 04-25 20:04:28 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 91 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x73d7f3… |
| 04-25 00:35:06 | Rowdy-Position 0x3a59…c2b6 | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xd9d24f… |
| 04-25 00:35:06 | Drafty-Tourist 0x6934…10c6 | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xd9d24f… |
| 04-25 00:34:12 | Misguided-Click 0x4b81…f9b6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe61c7c… |
| 04-25 00:34:12 | Drafty-Tourist 0x6934…10c6 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xe61c7c… |
| 04-24 23:00:38 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8ba76a… |
| 04-24 23:00:38 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x8ba76a… |
| 04-24 23:00:08 | (anonymous) 0x5aec…904b | No | BUY | 46 | 100¢ | $46 | 0xc1f69f… |
| 04-24 23:00:08 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 46 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc1f69f… |