Spotted-Spleen-Post — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$28

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.1%

Resolved

Trades

194

lifetime

Volume

$6.65K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 05-23 13:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Other

94% 16% -$29

Politics

4% 30% +$69

Sports

1% 0% -$5

Crypto

1% 0% -$5

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-23).

Open positions Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$6.0K	3,016	3,016	+0	No	+$0	05-23 12:29
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	2	$96	130	130	+0	No	+$90	05-23 13:45
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$16	19	19	+0	No	$0	05-23 13:47
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	05-11 10:50
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$12	34	34	+0	No	$0	05-23 13:45
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	2	$8	22	22	+0	No	-$2	05-23 13:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$8	9	9	+0	No	+$0	05-23 13:48
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	05-23 13:48
Will Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-23 13:53
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	2	$8	7	7	+0	No	$0	05-23 13:53
Dota 2: Stray Team vs Miposhka Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Playoffs	2	$8	6	6	+0	Stray Team	+$4	05-23 13:47
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$8	175	175	+0	No	-$6	05-23 13:51
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $610b on May 31?	2	$8	301	301	+0	No	+$2	05-23 13:45
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	2	$7	27	27	+0	No	+$1	05-23 13:48
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$7	158	158	+0	No	+$1	05-23 13:48
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	2	$7	15	15	+0	No	+$1	05-23 13:50
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	2	$7	43	43	+0	No	+$1	05-23 13:53
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	05-23 13:52
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	2	$6	43	43	+0	open	—	05-23 13:47
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	2	$6	18	18	+0	open	—	05-23 13:52
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$6	11	11	+0	open	—	05-23 13:53
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-23 13:52
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	2	$6	6,000	0	+6,000	No	-$6	05-23 05:46
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	2	$6	3,000	0	+3,000	No	-$6	05-23 05:32
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	2	$6	9	9	+0	Hurricanes	$0	05-23 13:52
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-23 13:46
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$6	9	9	+0	No	$0	05-23 13:47
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	2	$6	58	58	+0	open	—	05-23 13:45
UFC Fight Night: Jesus Aguilar vs. Rei Tsuruya (Flyweight, Prelims)	2	$6	6	6	+0	cancelled	$0	05-23 13:45
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds	2	$6	6	6	+0	St. Louis Cardinals	$0	05-23 13:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 13:53:56	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	15¢	$3	0xe257e4…
05-23 13:53:47	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	8¢	$2	0x4720e4…
05-23 13:53:36	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	43	8¢	$4	0x303308…
05-23 13:53:26	Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	Yes	SELL	80	5¢	$4	0x3b4a89…
05-23 13:53:22	Will Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xb4190b…
05-23 13:53:19	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	56¢	$4	0xd01580…
05-23 13:53:14	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	4¢	$2	0xaaeb20…
05-23 13:53:07	Will Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	273	1¢	$2	0x7bb8a4…
05-23 13:53:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	29¢	$3	0xea2647…
05-23 13:52:54	Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?	Yes	SELL	39	5¢	$2	0xc7f8ff…
05-23 13:52:51	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xdc4d01…
05-23 13:52:44	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	18	18¢	$3	0x352d7d…
05-23 13:52:42	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	67¢	$3	0x457ceb…
05-23 13:52:37	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	SELL	9	34¢	$3	0xaa15e2…
05-23 13:52:32	Will Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson?	Yes	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0xc61f3f…
05-23 13:52:21	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?	Yes	SELL	170	1¢	$1	0x647521…
05-23 13:52:11	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	67	3¢	$2	0xdf96f9…
05-23 13:52:07	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	7¢	$1	0x237c26…
05-23 13:52:04	Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?	Yes	SELL	113	1¢	$1	0x74b94b…
05-23 13:51:58	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	SELL	4	44¢	$2	0xee505f…
05-23 13:51:57	Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-23?	Yes	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x93c8be…
05-23 13:51:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	175	1¢	$1	0x7e874c…
05-23 13:51:34	Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?	Yes	SELL	36	3¢	$1	0xd46444…
05-23 13:51:30	Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?	Yes	SELL	7	40¢	$3	0x52f03d…
05-23 13:51:23	Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	69	2¢	$1	0xeff248…
05-23 13:51:18	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	SELL	48	5¢	$2	0xa0f123…
05-23 13:51:15	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	72	4¢	$3	0xa00f7f…
05-23 13:51:09	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	10¢	$3	0xeb11fc…
05-23 13:51:08	Will Si Woo Kim finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson?	Yes	SELL	3	52¢	$2	0x58981d…
05-23 13:51:02	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	307	1¢	$2	0x98aa14…
05-23 13:50:59	Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	6¢	$3	0x94c4f6…
05-23 13:50:55	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$2	0xe90808…
05-23 13:50:52	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x3e782f…
05-23 13:50:45	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	15	24¢	$4	0xb4dfe0…
05-23 13:50:41	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	68	4¢	$3	0xb54461…
05-23 13:50:41	Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	30	9¢	$3	0x29a83c…
05-23 13:50:34	Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in May?	Yes	SELL	559	0¢	$2	0xcfef6f…
05-23 13:50:34	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $264 in May?	Yes	SELL	396	1¢	$2	0x626d97…
05-23 13:50:29	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	45	4¢	$2	0x8e47d4…
05-23 13:50:19	Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?	Yes	SELL	7	26¢	$2	0x1bec45…
05-23 13:50:15	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	127	1¢	$1	0x98f2d2…
05-23 13:50:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	182	1¢	$2	0x0cf186…
05-23 13:50:05	Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?	No	SELL	33	4¢	$1	0x03eb70…
05-23 13:50:01	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in May?	Yes	SELL	107	0¢	$0	0xd64e2b…
05-23 13:49:52	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	Yes	SELL	71	2¢	$1	0xc6e36c…
05-23 13:49:40	Will James Garner be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0x7c32d2…
05-23 13:49:33	Will Donald Trump dance on May 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xdf319c…
05-23 13:49:30	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	51	4¢	$2	0x70f434…
05-23 13:49:23	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	Yes	SELL	143	2¢	$2	0x37cf4b…
05-23 13:49:19	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	73	3¢	$2	0xd39123…
05-23 13:49:12	Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	38	6¢	$2	0xf3ff4b…
05-23 13:49:10	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	103	2¢	$3	0xaf9210…
05-23 13:49:07	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x494a6f…
05-23 13:49:02	ECB rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	43	6¢	$3	0x9c6096…
05-23 13:48:58	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	231	1¢	$3	0x7cacfa…
05-23 13:48:53	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	7¢	$3	0xb15571…
05-23 13:48:49	Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	8	32¢	$3	0xcbf6d1…
05-23 13:48:48	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	60	5¢	$3	0x865a86…
05-23 13:48:42	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	SELL	23	11¢	$3	0x245b72…
05-23 13:48:35	Netanyahu out by May 31?	Yes	SELL	600	0¢	$2	0xdbddca…
05-23 13:48:35	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	Yes	SELL	286	1¢	$3	0xa726b1…
05-23 13:48:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	9	46¢	$4	0x0805e6…
05-23 13:48:16	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	6	62¢	$4	0x3c3eb7…
05-23 13:48:09	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	158	3¢	$4	0xdae9de…
05-23 13:48:06	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	Yes	SELL	27	16¢	$4	0xb56225…
05-23 13:47:59	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	14	35¢	$5	0xa9a45b…
05-23 13:47:55	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	429	1¢	$3	0xfdcc09…
05-23 13:47:48	Dota 2: Stray Team vs Miposhka Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Playoffs	Stray Team	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x716cc2…
05-23 13:47:25	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	8¢	$3	0x16df11…
05-23 13:47:20	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	48	6¢	$3	0xd664c8…
05-23 13:47:17	Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	No	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0x54463e…
05-23 13:47:13	Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	Yes	SELL	42	7¢	$3	0x60b1f7…
05-23 13:47:08	Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	9	34¢	$3	0x292437…
05-23 13:47:06	Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	Yes	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0xfa42ac…
05-23 13:47:03	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0xe5837f…
05-23 13:46:56	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	45	6¢	$3	0x5bf73d…
05-23 13:46:47	Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x501d91…
05-23 13:46:45	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	SELL	7	41¢	$3	0x13b6fa…
05-23 13:46:40	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x4860b5…
05-23 13:46:12	St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds	St. Louis Cardinals	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0xcf86e0…
05-23 13:46:07	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xfdcbcf…
05-23 13:46:03	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-24?	No	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0xd6afc2…
05-23 13:45:58	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0xa45256…
05-23 13:45:54	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	58	5¢	$3	0xf646b3…
05-23 13:45:51	UFC Fight Night: Jesus Aguilar vs. Rei Tsuruya (Flyweight, Prelims)	Jesus Aguilar	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x7a2fbe…
05-23 13:45:42	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $610b on May 31?	Yes	SELL	301	2¢	$5	0x4d2186…
05-23 13:45:33	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	34	18¢	$6	0xed57e0…
05-23 13:45:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	130	71¢	$93	0x07dfc4…
05-23 12:29:56	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	3,016	100¢	$3,001	0xcb3334…
05-23 11:31:32	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?	Yes	BUY	170	2¢	$3	0xeb5b9a…
05-23 11:18:11	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x678b32…
05-23 06:52:11	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	MOUZ	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xe9a2d4…
05-23 06:45:40	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0xf6a751…
05-23 06:45:09	UFC Fight Night: Jesus Aguilar vs. Rei Tsuruya (Flyweight, Prelims)	Jesus Aguilar	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xfedfef…
05-23 06:44:39	Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?	Yes	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xc6474c…
05-23 06:44:18	Dota 2: Stray Team vs Miposhka Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Playoffs	Stray Team	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xaff5d4…
05-23 06:43:38	Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-23?	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xd69abe…
05-23 06:43:17	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-24?	No	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xa9fc92…
05-23 06:42:52	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x637ade…
05-23 06:42:33	Will Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x704301…