Realized P&L
+$3
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
87.1%
Resolved
3
Trades
63
lifetime
Volume
$279
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$113
20 positions
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-15 07:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
77% 67% +$3
Politics
23%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping? No +24 $15 100¢ $24 +$9 05-14 06:24
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on May 15? No +20 $15 86¢ $18 +$3 05-14 06:20
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 15? No +15 $10 100¢ $15 +$5 05-14 06:21
Will Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping? No +12 $9 100¢ $12 +$3 05-14 12:07
Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 +$1 05-14 04:56
Will Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping? No +6 $6 99¢ $6 +$0 05-14 04:56
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 15? Yes +6 $1 100¢ $6 +$4 05-14 12:05
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 14? Yes +5 $2 100¢ $5 +$3 05-14 12:07
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping? No +5 $1 99¢ $5 +$4 05-14 06:20
Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping? No +5 $4 99¢ $5 +$1 05-14 12:10
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on May 15? Yes +17 $5 18¢ $3 $-2 05-14 12:05
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 15? Yes +9 $1 17¢ $2 +$0 05-14 12:02
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on May 15? Yes +10 $3 14¢ $1 $-2 05-14 06:20
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 31°C on May 15? Yes +5 $2 21¢ $1 $-1 05-14 12:24
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? No -5 $-1 13¢ $-1 $-0 05-15 07:34
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 34°C on May 15? Yes +7 $1 $0 $-1 05-15 07:51
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping? Yes +19 $7 $0 $-7 05-14 12:07
Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping? Yes +22 $10 $0 $-10 05-14 06:21
Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping? Yes -52 $1 $-0 $-2 05-15 07:34
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 15? Yes +12 $5 $0 $-5 05-14 06:21