Realized P&L
-$67
Unrealized P&L
+$8
Hit rate
30.4%
Resolved
58
Trades
120
lifetime
Volume
$304
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$62
24 positions
First seen
2026-05-21
last 09-06 07:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 23 days
Categories
Other
57% 36% -$24
Tech
23% 18% -$11
Politics
19% 12% -$25
Sports
2% 0% -$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +89 $10 47¢ $42 +$32 05-21 04:24
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? Yes +75 $6 4¢ $3 -$3 05-24 13:11
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? Yes +26 $1 9¢ $2 +$1 09-06 07:29
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? Yes +38 $6 4¢ $2 -$4 05-21 05:05
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +10 $2 11¢ $1 -$1 05-27 03:50
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +5 $1 20¢ $1 +$0 05-23 09:23
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +6 $1 18¢ $1 +$0 05-24 13:26
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes +33 $5 3¢ $1 -$4 05-24 13:25
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? Yes +20 $2 5¢ $1 -$1 05-27 13:25
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? Yes +11 $3 8¢ $1 -$2 05-24 13:06
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +31 $2 3¢ $1 -$1 05-23 23:12
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? Yes +10 $1 8¢ $1 $0 09-06 07:30
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +29 $2 2¢ $1 -$1 05-23 23:09
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +7 $1 9¢ $1 $0 05-23 09:23
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $1 13¢ $1 $0 05-21 05:14
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +10 $1 6¢ $1 -$1 06-09 05:29
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +8 $1 7¢ $1 $0 05-23 23:07
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +83 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 05-23 09:24
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +7 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 05-21 04:35
Russia coup attempt in 2026? Yes +12 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 05-21 05:31
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? Yes +10 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 09-06 07:39
New pandemic in 2026? Yes +9 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 05-22 12:00
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +100 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 05-23 09:24
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +3 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 05-21 05:40