Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
72.3%
Resolved
13
Trades
2,133
lifetime
Volume
$10.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$66
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-27
last 07-02 03:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
54% 60% $-3
Other
25% 20% $-2
Sports
17% 33% +$4
Crypto
4%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -10 $-10 96¢ $-10 $-0 07-01 10:14
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -10 $-9 94¢ $-9 $-0 07-01 10:14
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -10 $-9 94¢ $-9 $-0 07-01 10:14
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -10 $-9 94¢ $-9 $-0 07-01 10:14
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -10 $-7 60¢ $-6 +$1 06-28 02:15
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -6 $-5 88¢ $-6 $-0 07-01 10:14
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? No -5 $-4 86¢ $-4 $-0 06-11 04:11
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -5 $-4 84¢ $-4 $-1 06-05 14:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -3 $-3 76¢ $-2 +$1 06-13 14:03
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -2 $-2 76¢ $-2 +$0 07-01 10:14
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -20 $-1 $-1 $-0 07-01 10:14
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -1 $-1 90¢ $-1 $-0 06-10 15:41
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No -1 $-1 91¢ $-1 $-0 07-01 10:15
Fed rate hike in 2026? No -1 $-1 52¢ $-1 +$0 05-28 06:42
Will Texas use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No -10 $-0 $-0 $-0 07-02 03:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +25 $2 $0 $-2 06-25 18:38