Official-Barley 0xd41400…25a4db
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$70.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$770
Hit rate
83.9%
Resolved
276
Trades
8,712
lifetime
Volume
$3.03M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$347
Open exposure
$24.0K
19 positions
First seen
2026-02-19
last 10-28 23:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 87 days
Categories
Politics
80% 63% +$56,717
Other
20% 49% +$13,826
Crypto
0% 60% +$65
Tech
0% 50% +$48
Sports
0% 100% +$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -9,266 -$9,108 82¢ $-7598 +$1,510 05-19 17:55
US recession by end of 2026? No -6,191 -$4,805 93¢ $-5758 -$953 05-20 11:43
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? No +2,477 $1,116 96¢ $2.4K +$1,275 05-24 01:39
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? No -2,021 -$1,684 97¢ $-1953 -$269 05-24 01:39
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? No -1,643 -$1,479 99¢ $-1619 -$140 05-01 12:07
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -1,351 -$528 97¢ $-1313 -$785 05-26 11:06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +3,116 $655 18¢ $561 -$94 05-07 20:48
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -7,972 -$1,196 6¢ $-518 +$678 10-28 23:57
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -531 -$430 94¢ $-496 -$66 05-18 22:49
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? No -500 -$541 99¢ $-493 +$48 05-21 02:11
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? No -436 -$411 98¢ $-427 -$16 05-27 01:20
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -4,348 -$652 6¢ $-283 +$370 10-28 23:57
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes -252 -$195 71¢ $-178 +$16 10-28 23:56
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -200 -$159 86¢ $-171 -$12 10-28 23:58
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No +128 $28 88¢ $113 +$85 04-28 19:54
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? Yes +2,477 $1,293 3¢ $87 -$1,206 04-29 21:39
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes -1,554 -$280 1¢ $-23 +$257 05-12 18:02
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? Yes +147 $226 12¢ $17 -$209 05-05 03:10
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +0 -$283 98¢ $0 +$283 05-18 21:22