Realized P&L (30d)
+$33
Unrealized P&L
+$1.64K
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (30d)
1
Trades (30d)
23
345 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$11.1K
$99.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$287
Open exposure
$43.0K
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 11-13 17:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 37 days
Categories
Other
53% 66% -$5,591
Politics
36% 66% +$3,514
Crypto
9% 44% -$2,734
Sports
2% 43% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? No +8,791 $8,000 97¢ $8.6K +$558 09-01 13:48
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? No +8,421 $8,000 99¢ $8.3K +$312 09-01 13:44
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +8,015 $7,400 96¢ $7.7K +$307 09-01 13:53
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? No +5,219 $5,000 99¢ $5.1K +$144 08-31 23:08
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? Yes +1,852 $1,500 90¢ $1.7K +$176 08-31 22:41
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,732 $1,600 92¢ $1.6K -$15 11-13 17:18
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? No +1,137 $1,100 96¢ $1.1K -$11 11-10 13:05
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +1,064 $1,000 98¢ $1.0K +$45 09-01 13:52
Russia x Ukraine energy ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? No +1,087 $1,000 92¢ $1.0K +$5 11-13 17:14
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? No +1,031 $1,000 97¢ $1.0K +$1 11-08 16:05
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? No +1,056 $1,000 95¢ $999 -$1 11-13 17:24
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +817 $819 98¢ $804 -$15 11-08 15:55
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? No +819 $800 97¢ $794 -$6 11-11 08:51
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +3,333 $500 18¢ $617 +$117 09-01 13:38
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +527 $500 97¢ $512 +$12 11-13 17:09
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +549 $500 92¢ $503 +$3 11-13 17:17
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +538 $500 94¢ $503 +$3 11-13 17:11
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +543 $500 92¢ $497 -$3 11-13 17:13
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? No +224 $200 92¢ $206 +$6 11-10 13:04
Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by December 31? No +212 $200 94¢ $200 +$0 11-10 13:05
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027? No +203 $200 98¢ $198 -$2 11-10 13:04