Useless-Reservation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$42

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.2%

Resolved

Trades

477

lifetime

Volume

$1.82K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 07-18 22:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

42% — —

Politics

33% 67% +$42

Crypto

25% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump meet with friedrich merz in january 2026	2	$198	187	187	+0	open	—	01-22 15:50
Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	10	$159	276	276	+0	open	—	05-19 13:21
will powell say inflation 40 times during january press conference	6	$86	215	215	+0	open	—	01-28 20:36
will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	11	$75	213	213	+0	open	—	01-31 20:59
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	41	$73	233	20	+213	open	—	05-19 23:35
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	3	$71	69	69	+0	open	—	02-28 14:48
will trump say crypto or bitcoin during the 2026 state of the union address 556	10	$57	170	0	+170	open	—	02-03 02:33
Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?	3	$56	146	146	+0	open	—	01-31 23:37
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	29	$53	150	103	+47	open	—	05-20 09:36
will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	4	$52	48	48	+0	open	—	01-31 16:56
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	27	$50	103	103	+0	open	—	05-17 13:22
will bitcoin dip to 86k january 19 25	8	$36	61	0	+61	open	—	01-25 21:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	3	$32	22	22	+0	open	—	02-05 15:36
will bitcoin dip to 70k in january 2026	13	$31	645	645	+0	open	—	01-31 21:40
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	3	$28	594	0	+594	open	—	02-11 02:01
Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	17	$27	109	109	+0	open	—	05-19 13:25
Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	6	$22	17	13	+4	open	—	05-19 21:49
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	3	$21	41	35	+5	open	—	02-28 14:50
Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	7	$21	101	60	+41	open	—	05-19 13:26
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$19	0	195	-195	open	—	06-06 11:40
will bitcoin dip to 84k january 19 25	4	$19	217	0	+217	open	—	01-25 21:50
Will Cassie Howard die in Euphoria: Season 3?	9	$19	199	199	+0	open	—	06-01 02:16
will trump say breaking news in january	5	$17	182	405	-223	open	—	01-22 17:30
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	3	$17	411	0	+411	open	—	03-01 00:37
ice shooter fired by march 31	3	$17	97	0	+97	open	—	01-28 21:10
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	1	$16	0	30	-30	open	—	06-01 02:12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$15	33	0	+33	Yes	+$18	01-23 02:03
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$15	48	0	+48	open	—	02-28 15:06
will bitcoin dip to 80k january 19 25	5	$15	1,172	0	+1,172	open	—	01-25 21:40
trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	3	$14	32	32	+0	open	—	02-06 16:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-18 22:40:51	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x80d669…
07-18 22:39:07	Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	5¢	$1	0x42d6b2…
07-18 22:39:03	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	6¢	$2	0xde847e…
06-28 10:56:58	U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0xaed444…
06-28 10:55:52	Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?	Yes	SELL	19	0¢	$0	0xdf4c2f…
06-28 10:54:55	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	No	SELL	25	6¢	$1	0x9e244d…
06-28 10:54:32	Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	2¢	$0	0x1acd55…
06-28 10:54:20	Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	5¢	$1	0x451e93…
06-28 10:52:56	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	38	8¢	$3	0x62ae84…
06-28 10:51:22	Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	Yes	SELL	12	15¢	$2	0xa9a16e…
06-28 10:51:05	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xbf4dab…
06-07 23:41:18	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	Yes	SELL	38	0¢	$0	0x2bd479…
06-07 23:40:45	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	4	18¢	$1	0xb8861d…
06-07 23:40:34	Trump declares election interference national emergency?	Yes	SELL	9	17¢	$1	0xcd9e71…
06-07 23:39:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0x670d65…
06-07 23:38:22	Solana all time high by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	2¢	$1	0x30049e…
06-07 23:37:51	Clavicular sentenced to prison?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x0f9567…
06-07 23:37:45	Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x187396…
06-07 23:37:27	Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	10¢	$3	0xf8e56a…
06-07 23:37:21	Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	Yes	SELL	12	16¢	$2	0x843692…
06-07 23:36:42	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	SELL	34	9¢	$3	0x5f7dca…
06-07 23:36:04	Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	96	2¢	$2	0x34d566…
06-07 23:35:54	NATO dissolves before 2027?	Yes	SELL	38	4¢	$2	0x766849…
06-07 23:35:46	Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	9¢	$1	0x2b7578…
06-07 23:35:21	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	124	4¢	$5	0x2d3ef3…
06-07 23:34:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	55	10¢	$5	0xdbcbc1…
06-07 23:34:46	Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	142	6¢	$9	0x88615e…
06-07 23:34:43	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	79	8¢	$6	0x63582b…
06-06 11:42:22	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	124	5¢	$6	0xb2ad11…
06-06 11:40:01	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	195	10¢	$19	0xd7f69c…
06-01 02:21:07	Will Cal Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	SELL	28	1¢	$0	0x6441a5…
06-01 02:17:04	Will Jules Vaughn die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xd968ea…
06-01 02:16:57	Will Cassie Howard die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	SELL	199	3¢	$5	0xb8b276…
06-01 02:16:34	Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	SELL	22	0¢	$0	0x271f9b…
06-01 02:16:20	Will Faye die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x778011…
06-01 02:16:15	Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x64b635…
06-01 02:12:15	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	30	53¢	$16	0xe39388…
05-20 13:57:40	Will Trump say "Ballroom" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x5c5d43…
05-20 13:57:17	Will Trump say "Drone" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x2c7311…
05-20 13:55:59	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x77a49c…
05-20 09:58:14	Will Cassie Howard die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xf3abc1…
05-20 09:37:14	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xccc5b0…
05-20 09:36:39	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	66	0¢	$0	0xa48767…
05-19 23:53:58	Will Cal Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x181e8f…
05-19 23:52:18	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xeb6c39…
05-19 23:45:15	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xe229ad…
05-19 23:39:19	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	55	11¢	$6	0xd8930b…
05-19 23:35:06	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xf1d4e1…
05-19 23:33:10	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x6b59ca…
05-19 23:33:08	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xbe3dbe…
05-19 23:26:47	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x37f34c…
05-19 23:26:43	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	8	56¢	$4	0x6b9780…
05-19 21:53:15	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x6f22cd…
05-19 21:52:52	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x6a5d5b…
05-19 21:51:58	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe01d81…
05-19 21:49:17	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xcaba74…
05-19 21:49:10	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x9757f9…
05-19 21:49:06	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xc90167…
05-19 21:47:53	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xf1ec21…
05-19 21:47:39	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xedfb82…
05-19 21:47:16	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	9	20¢	$2	0x77ea6a…
05-19 21:46:55	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x9aaf89…
05-19 21:45:45	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xbbd080…
05-19 21:43:09	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xd95632…
05-19 21:43:07	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xea57be…
05-19 21:43:06	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x11a5b0…
05-19 21:41:35	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xae9522…
05-19 21:41:19	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xdd0318…
05-19 21:41:03	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x52f26f…
05-19 21:36:06	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x31f6ad…
05-19 21:34:17	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x92d064…
05-19 21:33:39	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x261208…
05-19 21:30:02	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0xd4a9dd…
05-19 21:29:11	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xd5f0d0…
05-19 21:29:02	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xee8beb…
05-19 21:28:53	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x60abe6…
05-19 21:28:45	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x0c83ec…
05-19 21:28:41	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x0750d1…
05-19 21:27:31	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x2648a5…
05-19 21:27:26	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x00fc37…
05-19 21:27:01	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x35c8fb…
05-19 21:26:28	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x9a0967…
05-19 21:26:28	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x34e70a…
05-19 21:26:23	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x67cdb7…
05-19 21:26:18	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc15148…
05-19 21:26:12	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x07c135…
05-19 21:26:07	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xa72411…
05-19 21:26:02	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x7b645e…
05-19 21:24:08	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xda8e64…
05-19 21:22:53	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x3962e1…
05-19 21:22:44	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xc2d86e…
05-19 21:22:28	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x79ffd9…
05-19 21:22:18	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x60eed8…
05-19 21:20:29	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xb7537c…
05-19 21:20:24	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xe06c66…
05-19 21:20:19	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x9eabee…
05-19 21:19:54	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xee2710…
05-19 21:19:44	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	37	30¢	$11	0xe61d67…
05-19 21:18:39	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xbbbd7a…
05-19 21:18:11	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xf42b09…