Realized P&L
-$487
Unrealized P&L
+$51
Hit rate
34.9%
Resolved
175
Trades
492
lifetime
Volume
$1.88K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$45
25 positions
First seen
2026-01-20
last 07-18 22:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 47 days
Categories
Other
41% 15% -$393
Politics
34% 17% +$58
Crypto
24% 20% -$150
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Sports
0% 0% -$1
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-18).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -195 -$19 4¢ $-9 +$11 06-06 11:40
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? Yes -24 -$4 18¢ $-4 $0 06-28 10:51
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -247 -$11 2¢ $-4 +$7 06-07 23:35
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -142 -$9 3¢ $-4 +$5 06-07 23:34
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -35 -$6 9¢ $-3 +$2 06-06 11:43
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -30 -$16 8¢ $-3 +$13 06-01 02:12
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -79 -$6 3¢ $-2 +$4 06-07 23:34
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? Yes -33 -$3 7¢ $-2 +$1 06-07 23:37
Trump declares election interference national emergency? Yes -9 -$1 26¢ $-2 -$1 06-07 23:40
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -29 -$2 6¢ $-2 $0 07-18 22:39
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -7 -$1 18¢ $-1 $0 06-07 23:39
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -96 -$2 1¢ $-1 +$1 06-07 23:36
NATO dissolves before 2027? Yes -38 -$2 3¢ $-1 +$1 06-07 23:35
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes -24 -$2 4¢ $-1 +$1 06-28 10:51
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -48 -$1 2¢ $-1 $0 06-07 23:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -55 -$5 1¢ $-1 +$5 06-07 23:34
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes -4 -$1 18¢ $-1 +$0 06-07 23:40
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? Yes -16 -$1 4¢ $-1 +$1 06-07 23:35
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -67 -$1 1¢ $-1 +$0 06-07 23:40
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -11 $1 3¢ $-0 -$1 06-28 10:52
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes -12 -$1 3¢ $-0 +$0 07-18 22:39
Clavicular sentenced to prison? Yes -5 -$1 6¢ $-0 +$0 06-07 23:37
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? Yes -8 -$1 4¢ $-0 +$0 06-28 10:56
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? No -25 -$1 1¢ $-0 +$1 06-28 10:54
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027? Yes -43 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$0 06-07 23:38