Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$31
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
460
lifetime
Volume
$1.69K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$309
22 positions
First seen
2026-04-06
last 05-31 20:51
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
40%
Crypto
30%
Politics
29%
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -120 $-100 86¢ $-104 $-4 05-31 20:49
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -95 $-84 94¢ $-89 $-4 05-31 20:49
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -34 $-8 54¢ $-18 $-11 05-28 00:59
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -15 $-14 96¢ $-14 $-1 05-31 20:49
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -15 $-14 95¢ $-14 $-0 05-31 20:49
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -10 $-10 98¢ $-10 $-0 05-31 20:50
NATO dissolves before 2027? No -10 $-10 96¢ $-10 $-0 05-31 20:50
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -10 $-9 93¢ $-9 $-0 05-31 20:50
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes -30 $-8 28¢ $-8 $-0 05-31 20:50
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No -10 $-4 60¢ $-6 $-2 05-31 20:50
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No -5 $-5 96¢ $-5 $-0 05-28 00:44
New pandemic in 2026? No -5 $-4 92¢ $-5 $-0 05-27 22:04
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -5 $-4 84¢ $-4 $-0 05-31 20:50
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -5 $-3 76¢ $-4 $-0 05-31 20:51
Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026? Yes -5 $-4 66¢ $-3 +$1 05-31 20:50
ByteDance IPO before 2027? Yes -31 $-2 $-2 $-0 05-28 00:59
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -5 $-1 34¢ $-2 $-1 05-31 20:51
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -5 $-1 24¢ $-1 +$0 05-31 20:51
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? Yes -5 $-1 24¢ $-1 +$0 05-31 20:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -175 $-51 $-1 +$50 05-31 20:49
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30? Yes -10 $-1 $-0 +$1 05-31 20:51
Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30? Yes -5 $-3 $-0 +$3 05-28 18:00