Pershing Square acquires Universal Music Group by June 30?
open
Total volume
$940
Trades
60
Unique wallets
39
Liquidity
$234
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-29
last 07-01 04:00
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-0.7¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $739
vs crowd: 1% YES on $938)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $3 | $764 | $761 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 8 | $2 | $100 | $98 |
| 🐟 Fish | 9 | $1 | $26 | $25 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 15 | $1 | $42 | $41 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $739 | $739 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| Median | 6 | $1 | $17 | $16 |
| Below median | 6 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $0 | $100 | $100 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $1 | $51 | $50 |
| unranked | 17 | $1 | $25 | $24 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | +744 | $739 | $739 | 5 | 06-25 09:24 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +342 | $1 | $1 | 4 | 06-25 21:29 |
| Cloudy-Orchard 0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | +333 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 06-25 09:24 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +110 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 06-19 21:18 |
| International-Analgesia 0x9abc…58d5 | No | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-01 04:00 |
| Optimal-Paramedic 0x027c…60f2 | No | +28 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 05-29 17:47 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 06-25 21:29 |
| Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | +14 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-21 08:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x9895…3870 | Yes | +14 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 07-01 04:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x6a19…5d90 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-01 04:00 |
| Peaceful-Noun 0xd281…d750 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 07-01 04:00 |
| Stormy-Trolley 0x7ba5…4252 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-01 04:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xd2b8…7223 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-01 04:00 |
| Lucky-Pear 0x843c…4863 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-01 04:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a84…c2b7 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-01 04:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xf450…9e45 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-01 04:00 |
| Intelligent-Fedelini 0xea8e…3de0 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-01 04:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xa652…6f8f | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 07-01 04:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x374b…2a3f | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 07-01 04:00 |
| Adored-Dentist 0x9a2f…1f59 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 07-01 04:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xa1aa…f2b6 | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-01 04:00 |
| Educated-Jockey 0xce5b…047a | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-01 04:00 |
| Excitable-Saviour 0x241f…ef50 | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-01 04:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x395c…ee8d | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-01 04:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x1c16…45e9 | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 07-01 04:00 |
| Memorable-Pool 0xa69f…f921 | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-01 04:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x1846…a932 | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-01 04:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xdd57…694d | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-01 04:00 |
| Dim-Pillbox-Tolerance 0x9614…d217 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-02 15:51 |
| Yellow-Horse 0x0c14…e377 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-01 04:00 |
| Infamous-Deposit 0x9b2b…bf12 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-01 04:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x1aeb…71c4 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-01 04:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x665a…848c | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-01 04:00 |
| Prudent-Compromise 0x2639…c3d1 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-01 04:00 |
| Handy-Wound 0xf6a4…5176 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-01 04:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | +1 | $0 | $1 | 6 | 06-25 12:16 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 04:00:53 | (anonymous) 0x395c…ee8d | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdc8c2e… |
| 07-01 04:00:53 | (anonymous) 0x6a19…5d90 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x9a5233… |
| 07-01 04:00:53 | (anonymous) 0x1c16…45e9 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe2f341… |
| 07-01 04:00:53 | Prudent-Compromise 0x2639…c3d1 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xe2f341… |
| 07-01 04:00:53 | (anonymous) 0x374b…2a3f | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdc8c2e… |
| 07-01 04:00:53 | (anonymous) 0x1846…a932 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdc8c2e… |
| 07-01 04:00:53 | Adored-Dentist 0x9a2f…1f59 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x778d97… |
| 07-01 04:00:53 | (anonymous) 0x374b…2a3f | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9a5233… |
| 07-01 04:00:53 | (anonymous) 0xf450…9e45 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdc8c2e… |
| 07-01 04:00:53 | Yellow-Horse 0x0c14…e377 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xd7f077… |
| 07-01 04:00:53 | (anonymous) 0x1aeb…71c4 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x390ecb… |
| 07-01 04:00:53 | (anonymous) 0xa1aa…f2b6 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdc8c2e… |
| 07-01 04:00:53 | Peaceful-Noun 0xd281…d750 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd7f077… |
| 07-01 04:00:53 | Educated-Jockey 0xce5b…047a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdc8c2e… |
| 07-01 04:00:53 | Handy-Wound 0xf6a4…5176 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x778d97… |
| 07-01 04:00:53 | Intelligent-Fedelini 0xea8e…3de0 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdc8c2e… |
| 07-01 04:00:53 | Adored-Dentist 0x9a2f…1f59 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7c470e… |
| 07-01 04:00:53 | Lucky-Pear 0x843c…4863 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdc8c2e… |
| 07-01 04:00:53 | Stormy-Trolley 0x7ba5…4252 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdc8c2e… |
| 07-01 04:00:53 | (anonymous) 0xa652…6f8f | Yes | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd7f077… |
| 07-01 04:00:53 | Excitable-Saviour 0x241f…ef50 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdc8c2e… |
| 07-01 04:00:53 | (anonymous) 0xdd57…694d | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdc8c2e… |
| 07-01 04:00:53 | (anonymous) 0x665a…848c | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x7c470e… |
| 07-01 04:00:53 | (anonymous) 0xa652…6f8f | Yes | BUY | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe2f341… |
| 07-01 04:00:53 | Peaceful-Noun 0xd281…d750 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdc8c2e… |
| 07-01 04:00:53 | (anonymous) 0xd2b8…7223 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdc8c2e… |
| 07-01 04:00:53 | International-Analgesia 0x9abc…58d5 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0xdc8c2e… |
| 07-01 04:00:53 | (anonymous) 0x5a84…c2b7 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdc8c2e… |
| 07-01 04:00:53 | Memorable-Pool 0xa69f…f921 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdc8c2e… |
| 07-01 04:00:53 | (anonymous) 0x1c16…45e9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x390ecb… |
| 07-01 04:00:53 | (anonymous) 0x9895…3870 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9a5233… |
| 07-01 04:00:52 | Infamous-Deposit 0x9b2b…bf12 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xf41617… |
| 07-01 04:00:52 | (anonymous) 0x9895…3870 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf41617… |
| 06-25 21:29:38 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf0f7d5… |
| 06-25 21:29:38 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xf0f7d5… |
| 06-25 12:16:43 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 120 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc10c54… |
| 06-25 12:16:43 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 120 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc10c54… |
| 06-25 09:24:20 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | BUY | 272 | 100¢ | $271 | 0xdff641… |
| 06-25 09:24:20 | Cloudy-Orchard 0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | BUY | 272 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xdff641… |
| 06-22 09:26:02 | Cloudy-Orchard 0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | BUY | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x079bdc… |
| 06-22 09:26:02 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x079bdc… |
| 06-22 06:17:58 | Nifty-Rod 0xc2ca…04f5 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6ef854… |
| 06-22 06:17:58 | Cloudy-Orchard 0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | BUY | 45 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6ef854… |
| 06-22 02:20:25 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 39 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6bb996… |
| 06-22 02:20:25 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | BUY | 304 | 100¢ | $303 | 0x6bb996… |
| 06-22 02:20:25 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 183 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x6bb996… |
| 06-21 08:35:08 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc2e52b… |
| 06-21 08:35:08 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 14 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc2e52b… |
| 06-19 21:18:11 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x41c123… |
| 06-19 21:18:11 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | BUY | 121 | 99¢ | $120 | 0x41c123… |
| 06-19 21:18:11 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 29 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x41c123… |
| 06-19 21:18:11 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 77 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x41c123… |
| 06-03 16:28:34 | Nifty-Rod 0xc2ca…04f5 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xca2022… |
| 06-03 16:28:34 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | BUY | 45 | 98¢ | $44 | 0xca2022… |
| 06-02 15:51:42 | Dim-Pillbox-Tolerance 0x9614…d217 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x2e2792… |
| 06-02 15:51:42 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x2e2792… |
| 06-02 15:51:30 | Murky-Freak 0x9998…e858 | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x8d0332… |
| 06-02 15:51:30 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x8d0332… |
| 05-29 17:47:14 | Optimal-Paramedic 0x027c…60f2 | No | BUY | 28 | 94¢ | $26 | 0xc8e334… |
| 05-29 17:47:14 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xc8e334… |