Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8PM ET
open
Total volume
$921
Trades
92
Unique wallets
25
Liquidity
$10,941
Latest YES mid
46¢
Latest NO mid
54¢
End date
2026-05-13
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-13 00:06
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-11.8¢
(top1%: 26% YES on $332
vs crowd: 38% YES on $896)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | $11 | — | +$11 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $76 | $248 | $171 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 21 | $254 | $307 | $53 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $87 | $244 | $157 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $91 | $147 | $56 |
| Median | 8 | $36 | $10 | +$26 |
| Below median | 3 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $116 | $11 | +$106 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $139 | $139 |
| unranked | 1 | $3 | $3 | $0 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yawning-Chicken 0xe911…3d4e | Down | +432 | $227 | $227 | 9 | 05-13 00:06 |
| Rash-Consul 0x2cce…6e85 | Up | +268 | $111 | $111 | 3 | 05-13 00:03 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | +263 | $147 | $147 | 5 | 05-13 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x6760…be3c | Down | +246 | $139 | $139 | 2 | 05-13 00:05 |
| Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Up | +171 | $76 | $76 | 9 | 05-13 00:03 |
| Knowledgeable-Socialism 0xfcbe…8f44 | Up | +67 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 05-13 00:05 |
| Mundane-Pipeline 0x7cdd…6bea | Up | +58 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-12 23:56 |
| Wild-Crystallography 0x0ae1…2782 | Up | +42 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-13 00:01 |
| Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Down | +35 | $18 | $18 | 3 | 05-13 00:05 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | +25 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-13 00:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xd622…fe08 | Up | +20 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 23:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xd622…fe08 | Down | +20 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 23:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x1a50…6bba | Up | +19 | $9 | $9 | 6 | 05-13 00:06 |
| Bountiful-Beet 0x6346…4950 | Down | +15 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-13 00:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ae4…264a | Up | +14 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 05-13 00:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xbaae…fbb0 | Up | +13 | $6 | $6 | 6 | 05-13 00:06 |
| Hateful-Tract 0xaa57…8f53 | Up | +12 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 00:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xc3f6…eacc | Up | +7 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 00:02 |
| Timely-Patina 0x7d47…15b5 | Down | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 23:03 |
| Timely-Patina 0x7d47…15b5 | Up | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 23:03 |
| Sandy-Nursery 0xde9f…8115 | Up | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 00:01 |
| Multicolored-Magnet 0x7b2b…258a | Up | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 00:03 |
| Stained-Venue 0x51cb…eca8 | Up | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 00:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xcc99…d4c2 | Up | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x152d…d12e | Up | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 00:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x82fc…2997 | Up | +2 | $1 | $9 | 9 | 05-13 00:05 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 00:06:20 | Yawning-Chicken 0xe911…3d4e | Down | BUY | 56 | 54¢ | $30 | 0xe32443… |
| 05-13 00:06:09 | (anonymous) 0x0ae4…264a | Up | BUY | 4 | 47¢ | $2 | 0x8cf73e… |
| 05-13 00:06:08 | Yawning-Chicken 0xe911…3d4e | Down | BUY | 30 | 54¢ | $16 | 0xf529e1… |
| 05-13 00:06:08 | (anonymous) 0x1a50…6bba | Up | BUY | 3 | 47¢ | $1 | 0xe9056e… |
| 05-13 00:06:08 | (anonymous) 0x1a50…6bba | Up | BUY | 3 | 47¢ | $1 | 0x6fdbaf… |
| 05-13 00:06:02 | Yawning-Chicken 0xe911…3d4e | Down | BUY | 15 | 54¢ | $8 | 0xdb2c8d… |
| 05-13 00:06:01 | (anonymous) 0x152d…d12e | Up | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0x301a0b… |
| 05-13 00:06:01 | (anonymous) 0xbaae…fbb0 | Up | BUY | 2 | 48¢ | $1 | 0x75def3… |
| 05-13 00:06:01 | Yawning-Chicken 0xe911…3d4e | Down | BUY | 131 | 52¢ | $68 | 0xe8dfdf… |
| 05-13 00:06:01 | (anonymous) 0xbaae…fbb0 | Up | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0x0c4275… |
| 05-13 00:06:01 | Bountiful-Beet 0x6346…4950 | Down | BUY | 15 | 52¢ | $8 | 0x9c92ab… |
| 05-13 00:05:59 | (anonymous) 0x1a50…6bba | Up | BUY | 3 | 49¢ | $1 | 0x6b45ac… |
| 05-13 00:05:59 | (anonymous) 0x83e4…ea32 | Up | BUY | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0xfe70b8… |
| 05-13 00:05:59 | (anonymous) 0x83e4…ea32 | Up | BUY | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0x0a938d… |
| 05-13 00:05:59 | (anonymous) 0x82fc…2997 | Up | BUY | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0x67c03f… |
| 05-13 00:05:59 | (anonymous) 0x1a50…6bba | Up | BUY | 3 | 49¢ | $1 | 0x2e52f8… |
| 05-13 00:05:57 | Yawning-Chicken 0xe911…3d4e | Down | BUY | 130 | 52¢ | $68 | 0x9502c9… |
| 05-13 00:05:57 | (anonymous) 0xbaae…fbb0 | Up | BUY | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0x0e0ad1… |
| 05-13 00:05:57 | Knowledgeable-Socialism 0xfcbe…8f44 | Up | BUY | 39 | 48¢ | $19 | 0x011c1c… |
| 05-13 00:05:57 | (anonymous) 0xbaae…fbb0 | Up | BUY | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0xddd260… |
| 05-13 00:05:52 | Yawning-Chicken 0xe911…3d4e | Down | BUY | 10 | 51¢ | $5 | 0x75d2bb… |
| 05-13 00:05:47 | Stained-Venue 0x51cb…eca8 | Up | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x78be69… |
| 05-13 00:05:47 | (anonymous) 0x6760…be3c | Down | BUY | 46 | 51¢ | $23 | 0x18520a… |
| 05-13 00:05:43 | Near-Strike 0x679c…afff | Down | SELL | 5 | 52¢ | $3 | 0xaa464f… |
| 05-13 00:05:43 | Yawning-Chicken 0xe911…3d4e | Down | BUY | 10 | 51¢ | $5 | 0xfb8241… |
| 05-13 00:05:41 | Yawning-Chicken 0xe911…3d4e | Down | BUY | 30 | 52¢ | $16 | 0x9d58a9… |
| 05-13 00:05:41 | Yawning-Chicken 0xe911…3d4e | Down | BUY | 20 | 51¢ | $10 | 0x7ac3be… |
| 05-13 00:05:40 | Near-Strike 0x679c…afff | Down | SELL | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x668eaf… |
| 05-13 00:05:38 | Near-Strike 0x679c…afff | Down | SELL | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x3a74f4… |
| 05-13 00:05:36 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Down | BUY | 21 | 49¢ | $10 | 0x820c4e… |
| 05-13 00:05:36 | Hateful-Tract 0xaa57…8f53 | Up | BUY | 12 | 49¢ | $6 | 0xcc17a0… |
| 05-13 00:05:36 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Down | BUY | 4 | 49¢ | $2 | 0xd79375… |
| 05-13 00:05:36 | Near-Strike 0x679c…afff | Down | SELL | 5 | 48¢ | $2 | 0xcd6dcb… |
| 05-13 00:05:33 | Near-Strike 0x679c…afff | Down | SELL | 5 | 48¢ | $2 | 0x613edb… |
| 05-13 00:03:37 | (anonymous) 0x82fc…2997 | Up | SELL | 2 | 39¢ | $1 | 0x9fd224… |
| 05-13 00:03:35 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Up | BUY | 21 | 39¢ | $8 | 0x1f2299… |
| 05-13 00:03:35 | Near-Strike 0x679c…afff | Down | BUY | 5 | 61¢ | $3 | 0x412d84… |
| 05-13 00:03:34 | (anonymous) 0x83e4…ea32 | Up | SELL | 2 | 37¢ | $1 | 0x5a6780… |
| 05-13 00:03:34 | (anonymous) 0x83e4…ea32 | Up | SELL | 2 | 37¢ | $1 | 0x25e196… |
| 05-13 00:03:34 | Rash-Consul 0x2cce…6e85 | Up | BUY | 100 | 38¢ | $38 | 0x978a59… |
| 05-13 00:03:32 | (anonymous) 0x83e4…ea32 | Up | SELL | 2 | 38¢ | $1 | 0x35e5da… |
| 05-13 00:03:32 | (anonymous) 0x83e4…ea32 | Up | SELL | 2 | 38¢ | $1 | 0x67cf12… |
| 05-13 00:03:32 | (anonymous) 0x83e4…ea32 | Up | SELL | 2 | 38¢ | $1 | 0xdc8b29… |
| 05-13 00:03:32 | (anonymous) 0x83e4…ea32 | Up | SELL | 2 | 38¢ | $1 | 0x3d37eb… |
| 05-13 00:03:32 | (anonymous) 0x83e4…ea32 | Up | SELL | 2 | 38¢ | $1 | 0x91766a… |
| 05-13 00:03:32 | (anonymous) 0x83e4…ea32 | Up | SELL | 2 | 38¢ | $1 | 0x456757… |
| 05-13 00:03:32 | (anonymous) 0x82fc…2997 | Up | SELL | 2 | 38¢ | $1 | 0x03ea02… |
| 05-13 00:03:32 | (anonymous) 0x83e4…ea32 | Up | SELL | 2 | 38¢ | $1 | 0xc600d6… |
| 05-13 00:03:32 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | BUY | 61 | 61¢ | $37 | 0x5290ea… |
| 05-13 00:03:32 | (anonymous) 0x82fc…2997 | Up | SELL | 2 | 38¢ | $1 | 0x14036e… |
| 05-13 00:03:32 | (anonymous) 0x82fc…2997 | Up | SELL | 2 | 38¢ | $1 | 0x3380cf… |
| 05-13 00:03:32 | (anonymous) 0x83e4…ea32 | Up | SELL | 2 | 38¢ | $1 | 0x70f139… |
| 05-13 00:03:27 | (anonymous) 0xcc99…d4c2 | Up | BUY | 2 | 40¢ | $1 | 0x2b5168… |
| 05-13 00:03:27 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | BUY | 55 | 60¢ | $33 | 0x92ae33… |
| 05-13 00:03:21 | Multicolored-Magnet 0x7b2b…258a | Up | BUY | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0xdfd41f… |
| 05-13 00:02:59 | (anonymous) 0x1a50…6bba | Up | BUY | 3 | 43¢ | $1 | 0xbcd72f… |
| 05-13 00:02:59 | (anonymous) 0x82fc…2997 | Up | BUY | 2 | 43¢ | $1 | 0xdf22b8… |
| 05-13 00:02:59 | (anonymous) 0x82fc…2997 | Up | BUY | 2 | 43¢ | $1 | 0x8fba55… |
| 05-13 00:02:59 | (anonymous) 0x83e4…ea32 | Up | BUY | 2 | 43¢ | $1 | 0x04de97… |
| 05-13 00:02:57 | (anonymous) 0x6760…be3c | Down | BUY | 200 | 58¢ | $116 | 0x0829c4… |
| 05-13 00:02:57 | (anonymous) 0x0ae4…264a | Up | BUY | 5 | 43¢ | $2 | 0x98c3b3… |
| 05-13 00:02:57 | (anonymous) 0xbaae…fbb0 | Up | BUY | 2 | 43¢ | $1 | 0xe74950… |
| 05-13 00:02:55 | (anonymous) 0xc3f6…eacc | Up | BUY | 7 | 43¢ | $3 | 0x989011… |
| 05-13 00:02:55 | Rash-Consul 0x2cce…6e85 | Up | BUY | 110 | 43¢ | $47 | 0xc990a9… |
| 05-13 00:02:50 | Rash-Consul 0x2cce…6e85 | Up | BUY | 58 | 43¢ | $25 | 0xad2c2a… |
| 05-13 00:02:48 | (anonymous) 0x82fc…2997 | Up | BUY | 2 | 43¢ | $1 | 0x82e862… |
| 05-13 00:02:48 | (anonymous) 0x82fc…2997 | Up | BUY | 2 | 43¢ | $1 | 0x099b24… |
| 05-13 00:02:48 | (anonymous) 0x0ae4…264a | Up | BUY | 5 | 43¢ | $2 | 0x03d7cb… |
| 05-13 00:02:48 | (anonymous) 0xbaae…fbb0 | Up | BUY | 2 | 43¢ | $1 | 0xa4cbef… |
| 05-13 00:02:48 | (anonymous) 0x1a50…6bba | Up | BUY | 3 | 43¢ | $1 | 0x8fdfbd… |
| 05-13 00:02:48 | (anonymous) 0x83e4…ea32 | Up | BUY | 2 | 43¢ | $1 | 0xd12f23… |
| 05-13 00:02:46 | Knowledgeable-Socialism 0xfcbe…8f44 | Up | BUY | 28 | 42¢ | $12 | 0xcffe25… |
| 05-13 00:02:32 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Up | BUY | 21 | 42¢ | $9 | 0xd39c9b… |
| 05-13 00:02:29 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Down | BUY | 10 | 57¢ | $6 | 0xb41be2… |
| 05-13 00:02:27 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Up | BUY | 21 | 48¢ | $10 | 0x6522ec… |
| 05-13 00:02:24 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | BUY | 7 | 52¢ | $4 | 0xe1a01e… |
| 05-13 00:02:22 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | BUY | 120 | 52¢ | $62 | 0xc5c617… |
| 05-13 00:02:22 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | BUY | 20 | 52¢ | $10 | 0x30c586… |
| 05-13 00:02:18 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Up | BUY | 20 | 46¢ | $9 | 0x1f8ab8… |
| 05-13 00:02:18 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Up | BUY | 20 | 48¢ | $10 | 0xedcc2b… |
| 05-13 00:02:17 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Up | BUY | 21 | 45¢ | $9 | 0x93fda4… |
| 05-13 00:02:17 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Up | BUY | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0x217373… |
| 05-13 00:02:15 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 25 | 44¢ | $11 | 0x8118b6… |
| 05-13 00:02:15 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Up | BUY | 21 | 45¢ | $9 | 0xbf97e0… |
| 05-13 00:02:15 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Up | BUY | 21 | 45¢ | $9 | 0xbbaf37… |
| 05-13 00:01:56 | Sandy-Nursery 0xde9f…8115 | Up | BUY | 6 | 52¢ | $3 | 0xe1c756… |
| 05-13 00:01:50 | Wild-Crystallography 0x0ae1…2782 | Up | BUY | 42 | 52¢ | $22 | 0x67b6ff… |
| 05-12 23:56:32 | Mundane-Pipeline 0x7cdd…6bea | Up | BUY | 58 | 51¢ | $30 | 0x5d0bde… |
| 05-12 23:50:21 | (anonymous) 0xd622…fe08 | Down | BUY | 20 | 51¢ | $10 | 0x45fe74… |
| 05-12 23:50:19 | (anonymous) 0xd622…fe08 | Up | BUY | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0x81d5e7… |
| 05-12 23:03:08 | Timely-Patina 0x7d47…15b5 | Down | BUY | 6 | 53¢ | $3 | 0x7581d4… |
| 05-12 23:03:06 | Timely-Patina 0x7d47…15b5 | Up | BUY | 6 | 49¢ | $3 | 0xfc2390… |