Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $495 in May?
open
Total volume
$2,471
Trades
50
Unique wallets
30
Liquidity
$1,353
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-06-01
First seen
2026-05-03
last 05-28 18:04
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+1.2¢
(top1%: 2% YES on $589
vs crowd: 1% YES on $2.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $2 | $663 | $662 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 11 | $5 | $1.6K | $1.6K |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $11 | $24 | $14 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 8 | $5 | — | +$5 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 6 | $13 | $576 | $563 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $0 | $101 | $101 |
| Median | 3 | $1 | $38 | $38 |
| Below median | 5 | $5 | $5 | +$0 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $3 | $1.6K | $1.6K |
| unranked | 5 | $0 | — | +$0 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hasty-Saucer 0xe60f…f4b4 | No | +1,477 | $1,476 | $1,476 | 1 | 05-28 18:04 |
| andy29 0xa75c…895e | Yes | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 18:04 |
| Genuine-Segment 0xd34b…0004 | No | +310 | $307 | $307 | 1 | 05-22 09:28 |
| Wobbly-Order 0xa540…0b43 | Yes | +152 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 05-22 09:28 |
| Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | +150 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-28 18:04 |
| Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | +150 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-22 09:28 |
| Double-Scrim 0x7804…7025 | No | +145 | $145 | $145 | 1 | 05-27 23:14 |
| Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | +135 | $10 | $10 | 5 | 05-16 10:30 |
| Greedy-Railroad 0x6964…3c89 | Yes | +132 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-03 20:14 |
| Witty-Decadence 0xb307…9c25 | No | +132 | $127 | $127 | 1 | 05-03 20:14 |
| Wobbly-Order 0xa540…0b43 | No | +115 | $106 | $106 | 4 | 05-08 12:03 |
| Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 05-27 23:14 |
| Staid-Tire 0x3ddf…5c37 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-27 23:14 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-28 18:04 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-28 18:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +25 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-20 06:24 |
| Starchy-Boot 0x4231…402c | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-19 16:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x71e1…45f0 | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-18 18:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xf450…9e45 | Yes | +14 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-28 18:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xd2b8…7223 | Yes | +14 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-28 18:04 |
| Memorable-Pool 0xa69f…f921 | Yes | +14 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-28 18:04 |
| Lucky-Pear 0x843c…4863 | Yes | +12 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-28 18:04 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-22 09:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x9895…3870 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-28 18:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-28 18:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x3424…5d5e | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-28 18:04 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-27 18:20 |
| Big-Hearted-Shaker 0xe5c2…2b81 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-20 06:24 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-28 18:04:51 | (anonymous) 0x3424…5d5e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4b4423… |
| 05-28 18:04:51 | (anonymous) 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4b4423… |
| 05-28 18:04:51 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4b4423… |
| 05-28 18:04:51 | (anonymous) 0xd2b8…7223 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4b4423… |
| 05-28 18:04:51 | (anonymous) 0xf450…9e45 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4b4423… |
| 05-28 18:04:51 | Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4b4423… |
| 05-28 18:04:51 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | SELL | 52 | 100¢ | $52 | 0x4b4423… |
| 05-28 18:04:51 | Memorable-Pool 0xa69f…f921 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4b4423… |
| 05-28 18:04:51 | andy29 0xa75c…895e | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x4b4423… |
| 05-28 18:04:51 | Lucky-Pear 0x843c…4863 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4b4423… |
| 05-28 18:04:51 | (anonymous) 0x9895…3870 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4b4423… |
| 05-28 18:04:51 | Hasty-Saucer 0xe60f…f4b4 | No | BUY | 1,477 | 100¢ | $1,476 | 0x4b4423… |
| 05-28 18:04:51 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4b4423… |
| 05-27 23:14:46 | Staid-Tire 0x3ddf…5c37 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x21e0cc… |
| 05-27 23:14:46 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x21e0cc… |
| 05-27 23:14:46 | Double-Scrim 0x7804…7025 | No | BUY | 145 | 100¢ | $145 | 0x21e0cc… |
| 05-27 18:20:44 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcd68e0… |
| 05-27 18:20:44 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xcd68e0… |
| 05-22 18:22:02 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4131ca… |
| 05-22 18:22:02 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x4131ca… |
| 05-22 09:28:54 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | SELL | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0xc7a9b7… |
| 05-22 09:28:54 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc7a9b7… |
| 05-22 09:28:52 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x3ce180… |
| 05-22 09:28:52 | Genuine-Segment 0xd34b…0004 | No | BUY | 310 | 99¢ | $307 | 0x3ce180… |
| 05-22 09:28:52 | Wobbly-Order 0xa540…0b43 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x3ce180… |
| 05-22 09:28:52 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x3ce180… |
| 05-22 09:28:52 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x3ce180… |
| 05-20 17:57:41 | Wobbly-Order 0xa540…0b43 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3374a2… |
| 05-20 17:57:41 | Afraid-Preparation 0xcd8f…1f24 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3374a2… |
| 05-20 17:30:58 | Wobbly-Order 0xa540…0b43 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4cabda… |
| 05-20 17:30:58 | Afraid-Preparation 0xcd8f…1f24 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4cabda… |
| 05-20 17:30:58 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 52 | 99¢ | $51 | 0x4cabda… |
| 05-20 06:24:53 | Big-Hearted-Shaker 0xe5c2…2b81 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x71cdb0… |
| 05-20 06:24:53 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x71cdb0… |
| 05-19 16:35:34 | Starchy-Boot 0x4231…402c | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x2c2c56… |
| 05-19 16:35:34 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x2c2c56… |
| 05-18 18:53:09 | Afraid-Preparation 0xcd8f…1f24 | No | SELL | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x395248… |
| 05-18 18:53:09 | (anonymous) 0x71e1…45f0 | No | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x395248… |
| 05-16 10:30:22 | Afraid-Preparation 0xcd8f…1f24 | No | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0xe85842… |
| 05-16 10:30:22 | Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xe85842… |
| 05-08 12:03:40 | Wobbly-Order 0xa540…0b43 | No | BUY | 15 | 92¢ | $14 | 0xf69d3f… |
| 05-08 12:03:40 | Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | BUY | 15 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xf69d3f… |
| 05-08 11:49:56 | Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | BUY | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x577c78… |
| 05-08 11:49:56 | Wobbly-Order 0xa540…0b43 | No | BUY | 50 | 92¢ | $46 | 0x577c78… |
| 05-08 11:46:02 | Wobbly-Order 0xa540…0b43 | No | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0xf7a243… |
| 05-08 11:46:02 | Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xf7a243… |
| 05-07 14:06:09 | Wobbly-Order 0xa540…0b43 | No | BUY | 30 | 91¢ | $27 | 0xdcc78e… |
| 05-07 14:06:09 | Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | BUY | 30 | 9¢ | $3 | 0xdcc78e… |
| 05-03 20:14:02 | Witty-Decadence 0xb307…9c25 | No | BUY | 132 | 96¢ | $127 | 0x0f642e… |
| 05-03 20:14:02 | Greedy-Railroad 0x6964…3c89 | Yes | BUY | 132 | 4¢ | $5 | 0x0f642e… |