Will the biggest earthquake on November 4, 2026 be under 5.3?
Yes won
Total volume
$573
Trades
58
Unique wallets
26
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-11-05
First seen
2026-11-03
last 11-05 17:43
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-70.7¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $18
vs crowd: 71% YES on $456)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $4 | $76 | $72 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 8 | $29 | $36 | $7 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $101 | $22 | +$79 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 3 | $189 | — | +$189 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | — | $18 | $18 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $12 | $17 | $6 |
| Median | 2 | $180 | — | +$180 |
| Below median | 1 | $9 | — | +$9 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $2 | $11 | $9 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $107 | $12 | +$95 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | $13 | $76 | $63 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x017d…fda7 | Yes | +155 | $115 | $115 | 4 | 11-05 17:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x71fb…9c8f | Yes | +66 | $65 | $65 | 1 | 11-05 06:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x17dd…944c | No | +57 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 11-05 17:43 |
| Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | No | +40 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 11-04 23:57 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | +40 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 11-04 10:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x3ff7…2fa2 | No | +37 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 11-04 23:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x3ff7…2fa2 | Yes | +33 | $7 | $7 | 3 | 11-04 04:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | +24 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 11-03 21:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | +24 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 11-03 21:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | Yes | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 11-04 23:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | +20 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 11-04 10:49 |
| Putrid-Refund 0x7349…1a57 | No | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-04 23:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | No | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-04 23:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x4f1a…0613 | No | +18 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 11-03 21:50 |
| Fake-Cassock 0x0550…c7ef | Yes | +17 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 11-04 17:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x5d10…dca1 | No | +16 | $0 | $1 | 2 | 11-05 03:22 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +13 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-05 03:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x4429…fcbd | Yes | +11 | -$3 | $177 | 9 | 11-05 17:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x0114…f0b9 | Yes | +11 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 11-03 20:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x4429…fcbd | No | +11 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 11-03 20:06 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-05 17:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x2a64…1dfd | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-05 00:07 |
| Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-05 06:08 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-05 17:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x24bf…b12e | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-03 20:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x0114…f0b9 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-03 20:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x24bf…b12e | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-03 20:06 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-05 17:43:01 | (anonymous) 0x17dd…944c | No | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0f1f26… |
| 11-05 17:43:01 | (anonymous) 0x017d…fda7 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x0f1f26… |
| 11-05 17:42:42 | (anonymous) 0x17dd…944c | No | BUY | 22 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x505dd5… |
| 11-05 17:42:42 | (anonymous) 0x017d…fda7 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 100¢ | $22 | 0x505dd5… |
| 11-05 17:42:28 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb90303… |
| 11-05 17:42:28 | (anonymous) 0x2f45…ab6a | Yes | SELL | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0xb90303… |
| 11-05 17:42:28 | (anonymous) 0x4429…fcbd | Yes | SELL | 19 | 99¢ | $19 | 0xb90303… |
| 11-05 17:42:28 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb90303… |
| 11-05 17:42:28 | (anonymous) 0x017d…fda7 | Yes | BUY | 43 | 99¢ | $43 | 0xb90303… |
| 11-05 06:08:15 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x301d07… |
| 11-05 06:08:15 | (anonymous) 0x4429…fcbd | Yes | SELL | 61 | 99¢ | $60 | 0x301d07… |
| 11-05 06:08:15 | (anonymous) 0x71fb…9c8f | Yes | BUY | 66 | 99¢ | $65 | 0x301d07… |
| 11-05 03:22:43 | (anonymous) 0x5d10…dca1 | No | SELL | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x5ff1e8… |
| 11-05 03:22:43 | (anonymous) 0x2f45…ab6a | Yes | BUY | 9 | 97¢ | $9 | 0x5ff1e8… |
| 11-05 03:22:43 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 13 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x5ff1e8… |
| 11-05 00:07:46 | (anonymous) 0x2a64…1dfd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x96e90d… |
| 11-05 00:07:46 | (anonymous) 0x17dd…944c | No | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x96e90d… |
| 11-04 23:57:52 | (anonymous) 0x5d10…dca1 | No | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xe7ea9b… |
| 11-04 23:57:52 | (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | No | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xe7ea9b… |
| 11-04 23:57:52 | (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x7c8dbd… |
| 11-04 23:57:52 | (anonymous) 0x3ff7…2fa2 | No | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xe7ea9b… |
| 11-04 23:57:52 | Putrid-Refund 0x7349…1a57 | No | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xe7ea9b… |
| 11-04 23:57:52 | (anonymous) 0x4429…fcbd | Yes | BUY | 80 | 97¢ | $77 | 0xe7ea9b… |
| 11-04 23:57:52 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | No | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7c8dbd… |
| 11-04 23:16:07 | (anonymous) 0x3ff7…2fa2 | No | BUY | 17 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xf655c3… |
| 11-04 23:16:07 | (anonymous) 0x2ccf…5f6a | No | SELL | 17 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xf655c3… |
| 11-04 17:38:31 | (anonymous) 0x2ccf…5f6a | No | BUY | 17 | 47¢ | $8 | 0x168a4d… |
| 11-04 17:38:31 | Fake-Cassock 0x0550…c7ef | Yes | BUY | 17 | 53¢ | $9 | 0x168a4d… |
| 11-04 10:49:09 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 20 | 66¢ | $13 | 0x980640… |
| 11-04 10:49:09 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | BUY | 40 | 66¢ | $26 | 0x980640… |
| 11-04 10:49:09 | (anonymous) 0x017d…fda7 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 34¢ | $20 | 0x980640… |
| 11-04 04:45:40 | (anonymous) 0x4429…fcbd | Yes | SELL | 20 | 23¢ | $5 | 0x51e05c… |
| 11-04 04:45:40 | (anonymous) 0x3ff7…2fa2 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 23¢ | $5 | 0x51e05c… |
| 11-04 03:08:28 | (anonymous) 0x4429…fcbd | Yes | SELL | 20 | 24¢ | $5 | 0x721c43… |
| 11-04 03:08:28 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | No | SELL | 20 | 76¢ | $15 | 0x721c43… |
| 11-04 03:07:52 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | No | BUY | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0x59cdbd… |
| 11-04 03:07:52 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | No | BUY | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0x59cdbd… |
| 11-04 03:07:52 | (anonymous) 0x4429…fcbd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 16¢ | $6 | 0x59cdbd… |
| 11-03 22:13:03 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xf62a29… |
| 11-03 22:13:03 | (anonymous) 0x3ff7…2fa2 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xf62a29… |
| 11-03 21:54:51 | (anonymous) 0x3ff7…2fa2 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x58314c… |
| 11-03 21:54:51 | (anonymous) 0x4429…fcbd | Yes | SELL | 9 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x58314c… |
| 11-03 21:50:37 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | BUY | 18 | 83¢ | $15 | 0x00ceb2… |
| 11-03 21:50:37 | (anonymous) 0x4429…fcbd | Yes | BUY | 18 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x00ceb2… |
| 11-03 21:50:36 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 17¢ | $3 | 0xa4cc7b… |
| 11-03 21:50:36 | (anonymous) 0x4f1a…0613 | No | BUY | 18 | 83¢ | $15 | 0xa4cc7b… |
| 11-03 20:06:28 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 17¢ | $0 | 0xbcea82… |
| 11-03 20:06:28 | (anonymous) 0x4429…fcbd | Yes | BUY | 2 | 17¢ | $0 | 0xbcea82… |
| 11-03 20:06:27 | (anonymous) 0x24bf…b12e | No | BUY | 2 | 83¢ | $2 | 0xb70cb3… |
| 11-03 20:06:27 | (anonymous) 0x24bf…b12e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 17¢ | $0 | 0x028044… |
| 11-03 20:06:27 | (anonymous) 0x0114…f0b9 | No | BUY | 2 | 83¢ | $2 | 0x028044… |
| 11-03 20:06:27 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 17¢ | $0 | 0xb70cb3… |
| 11-03 20:06:04 | (anonymous) 0x0114…f0b9 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x31e02c… |
| 11-03 20:06:04 | (anonymous) 0x4429…fcbd | No | BUY | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0x31e02c… |
| 11-03 20:05:45 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x9c02bc… |
| 11-03 20:05:45 | (anonymous) 0x4429…fcbd | No | BUY | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0x9c02bc… |
| 11-03 20:05:42 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | BUY | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0x8ac53a… |
| 11-03 20:05:42 | (anonymous) 0x0114…f0b9 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x8ac53a… |