Will the 2026 New York City Marathon Women's Open Division winner finish in 2:20:00 or faster?
No won
Total volume
$758
$150 in 24h
Trades
72
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-11-02
First seen
2026-10-31
last 11-01 16:21
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-12.0¢
(top1%: 5% YES on $161
vs crowd: 17% YES on $749)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $52 | $179 | $127 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $66 | $445 | $380 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2 | $7 | — | +$7 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $7 | $154 | $146 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $2 | $50 | $48 |
| Below median | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $39 | $258 | $219 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 8 | $70 | $162 | $93 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outlandish-Complicity 0x0781…c4ff | No | +191 | $154 | $154 | 3 | 10-31 01:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | Yes | +120 | $22 | $26 | 6 | 10-31 01:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | No | +120 | $97 | $97 | 6 | 10-31 01:23 |
| Muddy-Deployment 0x40a7…ecb7 | No | +100 | $96 | $96 | 5 | 11-01 15:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +91 | $17 | $17 | 5 | 10-31 00:51 |
| Authorized-Citizenship 0x475a…86ab | Yes | +68 | $1 | $1 | 8 | 11-01 15:54 |
| 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | Yes | +60 | $12 | $12 | 3 | 10-31 01:23 |
| 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | No | +60 | $50 | $50 | 3 | 10-31 01:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | Yes | +60 | $11 | $11 | 3 | 10-31 01:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | No | +59 | $49 | $49 | 3 | 10-31 01:23 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +59 | $12 | $12 | 3 | 10-31 01:23 |
| Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-01 16:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x7afc…ea2c | No | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 11-01 16:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x24bf…b12e | Yes | +40 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 10-31 01:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x24bf…b12e | No | +40 | $32 | $32 | 2 | 10-31 01:23 |
| Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | No | +40 | $32 | $32 | 2 | 10-31 00:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +40 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 10-31 00:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x0479…8177 | Yes | +40 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 10-31 01:23 |
| Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | Yes | +40 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 10-31 00:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x1491…fd70 | No | +40 | $31 | $31 | 2 | 10-31 00:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x0479…8177 | No | +40 | $32 | $32 | 2 | 10-31 01:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | +30 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 10-31 01:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xf768…f7d2 | Yes | +22 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 11-01 15:53 |
| Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 11-01 15:54 |
| Radiant-Chimpanzee 0x5210…bd53 | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 10-31 01:23 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 16:21:43 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf38237… |
| 11-01 16:21:43 | (anonymous) 0x7afc…ea2c | No | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0xf38237… |
| 11-01 15:54:49 | Authorized-Citizenship 0x475a…86ab | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x576530… |
| 11-01 15:54:49 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x576530… |
| 11-01 15:54:49 | Muddy-Deployment 0x40a7…ecb7 | No | BUY | 63 | 99¢ | $63 | 0x576530… |
| 11-01 15:54:43 | Muddy-Deployment 0x40a7…ecb7 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x803dec… |
| 11-01 15:54:43 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x803dec… |
| 11-01 15:53:27 | Muddy-Deployment 0x40a7…ecb7 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xf94d8b… |
| 11-01 15:53:27 | Authorized-Citizenship 0x475a…86ab | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf94d8b… |
| 11-01 15:53:19 | Muddy-Deployment 0x40a7…ecb7 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x16a2fd… |
| 11-01 15:53:19 | Authorized-Citizenship 0x475a…86ab | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x16a2fd… |
| 11-01 15:53:00 | Muddy-Deployment 0x40a7…ecb7 | No | BUY | 22 | 86¢ | $19 | 0x180433… |
| 11-01 15:53:00 | (anonymous) 0xf768…f7d2 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x180433… |
| 10-31 01:23:37 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 20¢ | $4 | 0x46deb1… |
| 10-31 01:23:37 | (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | No | BUY | 20 | 80¢ | $16 | 0x46deb1… |
| 10-31 01:23:37 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 20¢ | $4 | 0xfbf335… |
| 10-31 01:23:37 | (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0xba20bc… |
| 10-31 01:23:37 | (anonymous) 0x24bf…b12e | No | BUY | 20 | 78¢ | $16 | 0xacd7df… |
| 10-31 01:23:37 | Outlandish-Complicity 0x0781…c4ff | No | BUY | 95 | 78¢ | $74 | 0xba20bc… |
| 10-31 01:23:37 | (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | No | BUY | 20 | 79¢ | $16 | 0xb737eb… |
| 10-31 01:23:37 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 20¢ | $4 | 0x720b8c… |
| 10-31 01:23:37 | (anonymous) 0x0479…8177 | No | BUY | 20 | 80¢ | $16 | 0xfbf335… |
| 10-31 01:23:37 | (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0xba20bc… |
| 10-31 01:23:37 | 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | No | BUY | 20 | 80¢ | $16 | 0x720b8c… |
| 10-31 01:23:37 | 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | Yes | BUY | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0xacd7df… |
| 10-31 01:23:37 | (anonymous) 0x0479…8177 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 21¢ | $4 | 0xb737eb… |
| 10-31 01:23:37 | Radiant-Chimpanzee 0x5210…bd53 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xba20bc… |
| 10-31 01:23:37 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 22¢ | $7 | 0xba20bc… |
| 10-31 01:23:37 | (anonymous) 0x24bf…b12e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0xba20bc… |
| 10-31 00:51:01 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 11 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x930d60… |
| 10-31 00:51:01 | (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x930d60… |
| 10-31 00:50:12 | (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | No | BUY | 20 | 81¢ | $16 | 0x76ed2a… |
| 10-31 00:50:12 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 19¢ | $4 | 0x76ed2a… |
| 10-31 00:50:01 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 19¢ | $4 | 0xc6a1ae… |
| 10-31 00:50:01 | (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | No | BUY | 20 | 81¢ | $16 | 0xc6a1ae… |
| 10-31 00:49:51 | (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | No | BUY | 20 | 81¢ | $16 | 0x9fef33… |
| 10-31 00:49:51 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 19¢ | $4 | 0x9fef33… |
| 10-31 00:49:16 | (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | No | BUY | 20 | 81¢ | $16 | 0x8b4ca1… |
| 10-31 00:49:16 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 19¢ | $4 | 0x8b4ca1… |
| 10-31 00:47:21 | (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 20¢ | $4 | 0x4edd53… |
| 10-31 00:47:21 | (anonymous) 0xa2b6…4451 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 20¢ | $4 | 0x4edd53… |
| 10-31 00:46:52 | (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | No | BUY | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0x833159… |
| 10-31 00:46:52 | (anonymous) 0xa2b6…4451 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x833159… |
| 10-31 00:32:55 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 21¢ | $4 | 0xaf1506… |
| 10-31 00:32:55 | (anonymous) 0x1491…fd70 | No | BUY | 20 | 79¢ | $16 | 0xaf1506… |
| 10-31 00:32:51 | (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | No | BUY | 20 | 83¢ | $17 | 0xd778f6… |
| 10-31 00:32:51 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | No | BUY | 20 | 81¢ | $16 | 0x97790a… |
| 10-31 00:32:51 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | Yes | BUY | 20 | 21¢ | $4 | 0x65b492… |
| 10-31 00:32:51 | (anonymous) 0x0479…8177 | No | BUY | 20 | 83¢ | $17 | 0xd778f6… |
| 10-31 00:32:51 | (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 17¢ | $10 | 0xd778f6… |
| 10-31 00:32:51 | (anonymous) 0x6c1c…1ac2 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x96d580… |
| 10-31 00:32:51 | (anonymous) 0x1491…fd70 | No | BUY | 20 | 79¢ | $16 | 0x65b492… |
| 10-31 00:32:51 | (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x96d580… |
| 10-31 00:32:51 | 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | Yes | BUY | 20 | 19¢ | $4 | 0x97790a… |
| 10-31 00:32:51 | 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | No | BUY | 20 | 83¢ | $17 | 0xd778f6… |
| 10-31 00:32:51 | (anonymous) 0x6c1c…1ac2 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 18¢ | $0 | 0x97790a… |
| 10-31 00:32:51 | (anonymous) 0x0479…8177 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x721c58… |
| 10-31 00:32:51 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | No | BUY | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0x721c58… |
| 10-31 00:22:40 | 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | No | BUY | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0x5dcac3… |
| 10-31 00:22:40 | 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | Yes | BUY | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x7d9801… |
| 10-31 00:22:40 | (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x7d9801… |
| 10-31 00:22:40 | (anonymous) 0x24bf…b12e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x7d9801… |
| 10-31 00:22:40 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x8e3fa1… |
| 10-31 00:22:40 | (anonymous) 0x6c1c…1ac2 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0xf616ac… |
| 10-31 00:22:40 | (anonymous) 0x24bf…b12e | No | BUY | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0xf616ac… |
| 10-31 00:22:40 | (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x7d9801… |
| 10-31 00:22:40 | (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | No | BUY | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0x8e3fa1… |
| 10-31 00:22:40 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x5dcac3… |
| 10-31 00:22:40 | Outlandish-Complicity 0x0781…c4ff | No | BUY | 80 | 83¢ | $66 | 0x7d9801… |
| 10-31 00:05:42 | (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xd7f016… |
| 10-31 00:05:42 | Radiant-Chimpanzee 0x5210…bd53 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xd7f016… |
| 10-31 00:05:42 | Outlandish-Complicity 0x0781…c4ff | No | BUY | 16 | 84¢ | $13 | 0xd7f016… |