Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on May 17?
open
Total volume
$529
Trades
25
Unique wallets
16
Liquidity
$8,147
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-17
First seen
2026-05-15
last 05-16 16:31
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | — | $39 | $39 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $40 | $40 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 11 | $0 | $281 | $281 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $44 | $44 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $35 | $35 |
| Median | 6 | $0 | $62 | $62 |
| Below median | 3 | — | $216 | $216 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 2 | — | $3 | $3 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hidden-Serval 0xfb4e…37ec | No | +70 | $70 | $70 | 1 | 05-16 14:01 |
| Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | No | +35 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 05-15 12:42 |
| Appropriate-Bottomline 0x46e7…5e93 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-16 05:24 |
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +29 | $29 | $29 | 5 | 05-16 06:49 |
| Parallel-Steppingstone 0x6189…d6eb | No | +22 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 05-16 01:30 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-15 13:36 |
| Hard-To-Find-Councilor 0x04f6…9bcd | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-15 07:19 |
| Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-16 11:00 |
| Fine-Flanker 0x0e7f…2015 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 13:32 |
| Greedy-Gallbladder 0x3c42…28ae | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-16 11:28 |
| Pleasing-Poppy 0x7833…bc6a | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-16 16:31 |
| Witty-Locomotive 0x01b7…1dd4 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 10:55 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 16:31:38 | Pleasing-Poppy 0x7833…bc6a | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x8a12fa… |
| 05-16 14:01:08 | Hidden-Serval 0xfb4e…37ec | No | BUY | 70 | 100¢ | $70 | 0xda85a4… |
| 05-16 13:01:06 | Monumental-Octave 0x200f…88dc | No | SELL | 73 | 100¢ | $73 | 0x834fe6… |
| 05-16 13:00:59 | Monumental-Octave 0x200f…88dc | No | BUY | 73 | 100¢ | $73 | 0xd30779… |
| 05-16 13:00:59 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | SELL | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0x5e04c2… |
| 05-16 13:00:59 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | SELL | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0xf6d5a1… |
| 05-16 11:51:41 | Unhappy-Guitar 0x6afa…4fc0 | No | SELL | 73 | 100¢ | $73 | 0x9cf972… |
| 05-16 11:51:27 | Unhappy-Guitar 0x6afa…4fc0 | No | BUY | 73 | 100¢ | $73 | 0x9505dc… |
| 05-16 11:28:07 | Greedy-Gallbladder 0x3c42…28ae | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0xa463ec… |
| 05-16 11:00:51 | Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x063437… |
| 05-16 10:55:41 | Witty-Locomotive 0x01b7…1dd4 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x1ee1a1… |
| 05-16 06:49:52 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xb74e5e… |
| 05-16 05:24:20 | Appropriate-Bottomline 0x46e7…5e93 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xf25a2d… |
| 05-16 01:30:46 | Parallel-Steppingstone 0x6189…d6eb | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x118120… |
| 05-16 00:00:40 | Parallel-Steppingstone 0x6189…d6eb | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xe4723c… |
| 05-15 21:03:37 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xc76142… |
| 05-15 16:56:38 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x4bb89f… |
| 05-15 13:36:12 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xcee4d4… |
| 05-15 13:34:27 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xc5ac87… |
| 05-15 13:32:00 | Fine-Flanker 0x0e7f…2015 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xcd5dfc… |
| 05-15 12:51:40 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x819833… |
| 05-15 12:42:17 | Dense-Span 0x9eba…ef97 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6b1167… |
| 05-15 12:42:10 | Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | No | BUY | 35 | 100¢ | $35 | 0x1299a0… |
| 05-15 12:42:08 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x8ac1c0… |
| 05-15 07:19:49 | Hard-To-Find-Councilor 0x04f6…9bcd | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xee8c36… |