Fickle-Feather 0x15add1…2d4fc4
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$34
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
51.7%
Resolved
32
Trades
1,180
lifetime
Volume
$2.70K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$79
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-12
last 06-09 23:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Politics
46% — —
Other
40% 47% $-8
Sports
12% 20% $-26
Tech
2% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 92 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -12 $-7 62¢ $-7 $-0 06-06 15:48
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -8 $-6 72¢ $-6 +$0 06-05 13:31
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? No -7 $-4 90¢ $-6 $-2 05-28 02:03
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +6 $5 90¢ $5 +$0 05-28 16:56
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +6 $5 78¢ $5 $-0 06-07 05:21
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +10 $5 47¢ $5 $-0 06-03 12:00
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +5 $4 88¢ $4 +$0 06-05 14:02
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? No +5 $3 80¢ $4 +$1 06-05 14:02
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? No +29 $5 13¢ $4 $-1 06-05 14:26
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No -5 $0 76¢ $-3 $-4 06-08 04:17
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +5 $3 74¢ $3 +$0 06-03 07:25
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +5 $3 63¢ $3 +$0 06-09 14:58
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No -5 $-3 60¢ $-3 +$0 06-07 21:18
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30? Yes +7 $3 32¢ $2 $-1 06-02 08:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -3 $-2 90¢ $-2 +$0 06-02 21:25
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +2 $2 90¢ $2 +$0 06-03 05:38
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? No +19 $2 6¢ $1 $-1 06-02 20:40
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +4 $1 29¢ $1 +$0 06-05 14:03
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 06-05 14:02
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +2 $1 53¢ $1 +$0 06-05 14:02
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? No -1 $-1 92¢ $-1 $-0 05-31 08:12
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 05-28 07:26
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No -1 $-1 76¢ $-1 +$0 05-28 09:36
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-05 14:02
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor? Yes +1 $1 90¢ $1 $-0 06-08 04:24
Metamask FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +1 $1 68¢ $1 $-0 06-01 04:11
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No -1 $-1 91¢ $-1 +$0 06-07 20:42
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +16 $2 4¢ $1 $-1 06-03 11:47
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Yes +38 $1 2¢ $1 $-0 05-31 12:07
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? Yes +53 $1 1¢ $0 $-1 06-06 21:18