Fickle-Feather 0x15add1…2d4fc4
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$122
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
47.1%
Resolved
519
Trades
2,062
lifetime
Volume
$4.61K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$40
16 positions
First seen
2026-04-12
last 09-17 06:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 96 days
Categories
Politics
47% 45% -$16
Other
39% 44% -$115
Sports
10% 37% $0
Tech
2% 38% +$13
Crypto
1% 50% -$2
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -10 -$7 86¢ $-9 -$2 06-30 12:04
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -8 -$6 97¢ $-8 -$2 05-06 05:31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -9 -$6 83¢ $-7 -$1 05-19 02:01
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -7 -$4 86¢ $-6 -$2 06-05 13:31
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +2 $1 55¢ $1 +$0 05-18 06:47
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? Yes -24 -$6 5¢ $-1 +$5 05-06 05:30
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes -2 -$1 62¢ $-1 +$0 06-09 13:59
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1 $1 82¢ $1 +$0 05-18 06:48
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -62 -$2 2¢ $-1 +$2 05-06 05:30
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 $0 05-18 06:48
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 $0 05-18 06:47
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 $0 05-18 06:47
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1 $1 85¢ $1 $0 05-18 06:48
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +67 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 06-01 21:13
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? No +1 $1 12¢ $0 -$1 05-18 06:48
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +4 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 06-05 14:03