Fickle-Feather 0x15add1…2d4fc4
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$34
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
51.7%
Resolved
32
Trades
1,405
lifetime
Volume
$3.24K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$83
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-12
last 06-30 12:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Politics
46% — —
Other
40% 47% $-8
Sports
10% 20% $-26
Tech
2% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 92 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -7 $-7 100¢ $-7 $-0 06-30 12:04
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -8 $-6 84¢ $-7 $-1 06-05 13:31
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -12 $-9 59¢ $-7 +$2 06-29 01:33
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes -10 $-7 68¢ $-7 $-0 06-30 12:03
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? No -7 $-4 99¢ $-7 $-3 05-28 02:03
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -7 $-6 86¢ $-6 $-0 06-24 15:36
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No -5 $0 100¢ $-5 $-5 06-08 04:17
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? No -15 $-11 26¢ $-4 +$7 06-30 12:37
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes -10 $-3 34¢ $-3 $-0 06-30 12:03
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -5 $-3 66¢ $-3 $-0 06-30 12:04
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -3 $-3 92¢ $-3 +$0 06-30 12:04
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No -5 $-3 58¢ $-3 +$0 06-07 21:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -3 $-2 100¢ $-3 $-0 06-02 21:25
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No -1 $-1 99¢ $-1 $-0 05-28 09:36
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -2 $-1 70¢ $-1 $-0 06-30 12:04
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? No -1 $-1 84¢ $-1 $-0 06-30 12:04
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? No -1 $-1 99¢ $-1 $-0 06-26 08:05
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 $-0 06-14 13:12
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -1 $-1 73¢ $-1 +$0 06-30 12:04
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No -1 $-1 99¢ $-1 $-0 06-07 20:42
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? No -1 $-1 95¢ $-1 $-0 06-30 12:05
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -1 $-1 90¢ $-1 +$0 06-10 16:05
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 $-0 06-14 13:12
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? No -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 $-0 05-31 08:12
New pandemic in 2026? No -1 $-1 90¢ $-1 $-0 06-30 12:05
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 $-0 06-18 00:28
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 $-0 06-12 11:33
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -1 $-1 96¢ $-1 $-0 06-30 12:05
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No -1 $-1 85¢ $-1 $-0 06-30 12:04
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? No -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 $-0 06-12 11:32