Realized P&L
-$34
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
51.7%
Resolved
32
Trades
1,406
lifetime
Volume
$3.24K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$61
21 positions
First seen
2026-04-12
last 07-01 03:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Politics
46%
Other
40% 47% $-8
Sports
10% 20% $-26
Tech
2%
Crypto
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes -10 $-7 82¢ $-8 $-2 06-30 12:03
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -12 $-9 66¢ $-8 +$1 06-29 01:33
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? No -15 $-11 46¢ $-7 +$4 06-30 12:37
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -8 $-6 74¢ $-6 $-0 06-05 13:31
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -7 $-6 86¢ $-6 $-0 06-24 15:36
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No -5 $-3 70¢ $-4 $-1 06-07 21:18
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes -10 $-3 34¢ $-3 $-0 06-30 12:03
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -5 $-3 66¢ $-3 +$0 06-30 12:04
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -3 $-3 90¢ $-3 +$0 06-30 12:04
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -2 $-1 74¢ $-1 $-0 06-30 12:04
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -1 $-1 80¢ $-1 $-0 06-30 12:04
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? No -1 $-1 84¢ $-1 $-0 06-30 12:04
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? No -1 $-1 97¢ $-1 $-0 06-30 12:05
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -1 $-1 90¢ $-1 +$0 06-10 16:05
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No -1 $-1 89¢ $-1 $-0 06-30 12:04
New pandemic in 2026? No -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 $-0 06-30 12:05
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? No -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 $-0 05-31 08:12
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No -1 $-1 88¢ $-1 $-0 06-14 13:12
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -1 $-1 96¢ $-1 $-0 06-30 12:05
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +2 $1 48¢ $1 $-0 06-05 14:02
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +4 $1 14¢ $1 $-0 06-05 14:03