Realized P&L (90d)
+$26
Unrealized P&L
+$30
Hit rate
85.5%
Resolved (90d)
63
Trades (90d)
117
294 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$593
$1.95K lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$455
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-10
last 11-06 20:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 60 days
Categories
Other
44% 68% +$19
Politics
33% 85% +$15
Crypto
15% 68% +$15
Sports
6% 60% +$26
Tech
2% 100% +$1
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +62 $50 90¢ $56 +$6 07-26 17:35
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +22 $20 97¢ $22 +$2 07-17 18:13
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? No +26 $24 83¢ $21 -$3 10-22 18:42
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +22 $20 98¢ $21 +$1 08-01 15:45
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +22 $20 98¢ $21 +$1 07-31 19:20
New pandemic in 2026? No +22 $20 98¢ $21 +$1 07-31 19:15
will china blockade taiwan by in 2026 No +22 $20 97¢ $21 +$1 08-01 15:57
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? No +22 $20 98¢ $21 +$1 08-21 20:08
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +21 $20 98¢ $21 +$1 07-31 19:42
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No +21 $20 98¢ $21 +$1 07-26 17:39
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +16 $14 92¢ $15 +$1 11-01 15:36
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? Yes +16 $10 88¢ $14 +$4 08-20 17:43
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +13 $10 94¢ $12 +$2 08-20 17:22
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? No +13 $10 91¢ $12 +$2 08-20 17:44
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +12 $10 97¢ $11 +$1 10-01 18:18
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No +11 $10 98¢ $11 +$1 08-01 16:05
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? No +12 $10 94¢ $11 +$1 08-20 17:43
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No +11 $10 98¢ $11 +$1 07-26 17:38
US recession by end of 2026? No +11 $10 96¢ $11 +$1 07-15 18:31
iran coup attempt by december 31 No +11 $10 94¢ $11 +$1 07-31 19:42
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in November? No +12 $11 88¢ $11 $0 11-06 20:51
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +11 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 07-13 17:47
will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026 No +11 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 07-31 20:05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? No +11 $10 96¢ $10 +$0 11-01 15:36
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +11 $10 90¢ $10 +$0 09-19 12:50
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +9 $5 88¢ $8 +$3 11-01 15:22
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +9 $8 88¢ $8 $0 11-01 15:45
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +8 $6 98¢ $8 +$2 07-13 15:21
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? No +12 $10 60¢ $8 -$2 08-20 17:32
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +8 $7 92¢ $7 +$0 07-13 17:56