Realized P&L
-$25
Unrealized P&L
-$15
Hit rate
86.3%
Resolved
11
Trades
246
lifetime
Volume
$5.05K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$146
7 positions
First seen
2026-04-03
last 07-04 10:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Crypto
83% 67% $-26
Other
13% 100% +$1
Politics
4%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -100 $-54 68¢ $-68 $-14 05-29 00:13
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? No -20 $-20 99¢ $-20 +$0 06-03 14:45
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No -20 $-20 98¢ $-20 +$0 06-03 14:44
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No -10 $-10 99¢ $-10 $-0 07-01 16:28
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? No -10 $-10 97¢ $-10 $-0 06-18 09:01
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -10 $-9 94¢ $-9 $-0 06-18 08:58
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No -10 $-9 92¢ $-9 $-0 06-18 08:58