(anonymous) 0xbeff8b…20da9f
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Realized P&L
-$80
Unrealized P&L
-$11
Hit rate
31.6%
Resolved
51
Trades
684
lifetime
Volume
$7.25K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$1
24 positions
First seen
2026-04-28
last 09-21 09:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 31 days
Categories
Politics
54% 33% -$21
Other
27% 31% -$10
Crypto
10% 50% -$28
Sports
8% 44% -$22
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 $0 06-09 04:55
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 $0 06-09 15:38
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 88¢ $0 $0 06-09 15:37
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No +0 $0 90¢ $0 +$0 06-06 04:38
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +0 $2 90¢ $0 -$2 06-05 18:58
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? No +0 $0 95¢ $0 $0 06-09 15:37
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 $0 05-20 12:52
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 $0 06-06 04:38
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $1 94¢ $0 -$1 06-09 15:37
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +0 $0 54¢ $0 $0 09-21 09:20
US recession by end of 2026? No +0 $0 92¢ $0 $0 06-08 08:46
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 $0 06-08 08:37
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 84¢ $0 +$0 05-20 13:01
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No +0 $0 92¢ $0 $0 06-09 15:37
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 $0 05-20 13:01
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $1 97¢ $0 -$1 06-06 04:38
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +0 $0 90¢ $0 +$0 06-13 05:02
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +0 $3 82¢ $0 -$3 06-06 04:37
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +0 $0 92¢ $0 +$0 06-06 00:19
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +0 $1 62¢ $0 -$1 06-09 15:37
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? No +0 $0 90¢ $0 $0 06-09 15:38
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 $0 06-09 15:37
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +0 $0 40¢ $0 $0 06-06 04:38
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +0 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 06-06 01:15