Realized P&L
-$205
Unrealized P&L
-$11
Hit rate
56.4%
Resolved
574
Trades
1,013
lifetime
Volume
$5.26K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$81
24 positions
First seen
2026-04-03
last 06-07 16:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 73 days
Categories
Other
51% 50% -$132
Politics
25% 49% -$44
Sports
20% 54% -$46
Crypto
4% 59% +$24
Tech
0% 60% -$7
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-07).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No -56 -$21 14¢ $-8 +$12 05-14 20:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +9 $5 92¢ $8 +$3 05-18 06:53
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +7 $5 95¢ $7 +$2 05-18 08:38
US recession by end of 2026? Yes -86 -$13 8¢ $-6 +$6 05-30 08:53
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -6 -$5 96¢ $-6 -$1 05-14 20:28
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? No +8 $5 76¢ $6 +$1 05-25 06:55
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 05-21 07:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 05-23 01:57
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +6 $3 84¢ $5 +$2 05-15 02:10
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +8 $3 55¢ $4 +$1 05-11 06:38
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +12 $5 28¢ $3 -$1 04-30 05:50
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +58 $8 4¢ $2 -$5 05-15 00:50
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +32 $3 6¢ $2 -$1 05-17 02:10
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $5 16¢ $2 -$3 05-08 04:48
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -10 -$2 17¢ $-2 +$1 05-15 06:50
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +85 $6 2¢ $2 -$4 05-11 07:11
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? Yes +16 $5 9¢ $1 -$4 05-04 05:36
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? Yes +22 $3 6¢ $1 -$2 05-17 01:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +23 $9 5¢ $1 -$8 06-05 15:49
Ebola pandemic in 2026? Yes +41 $3 3¢ $1 -$2 05-17 01:41
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Yes +38 $3 2¢ $1 -$2 05-16 04:19
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +6 $3 12¢ $1 -$2 05-17 02:10
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +13 $3 6¢ $1 -$2 05-14 17:52
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +9 $3 4¢ $0 -$3 05-15 05:46